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TP94 Power Ratings (10/23/24)

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Ratings use avg. margin of victory/loss applied to avg. rating of strength of schedule played. There is a cap of 40 points on margin for teams that have 40 point or less differential to prevent ratings increase by running up the score. When there is more than 40-point differential between teams the higher rated team is not penalized for keeping score smaller by substitution and running clock. This comes more into play during district contests where there can be a wide disparity in teams' ratings.

Class 6A:

Ryle     96.71
Trinity     93.86
Male     93.10
St. Xavier     93.00
Frederick Douglass   90.21
Manual     84.01
Bryan Station   78.93
Great Crossing   75.68
Madison Central   75.19
Fern Creek   68.20
Ballard     67.13
George Rogers Clark   64.51
Bullitt East   63.64
North Hardin   63.55
Oldham County   63.41
Henderson County   62.63
Simon Kenton   61.49
McCracken County   54.64
Meade County   54.15
Barren County   53.78
Campbell County   53.57
Tates Creek   48.50
Central Hardin   41.42
Lafayette     36.94
Pleasure Ridge Park   36.39
Paul Dunbar   32.94
Daviess County   31.61
Henry Clay   31.24
Eastern     29.14
Warren Central   20.97
Christian County   12.82
Southern     10.07

Class 5A:

 

Cooper     95.87
Highlands     91.89
Bowling Green   85.99
Woodford County   81.33
South Warren   81.01
Scott County   76.74
Owensboro   76.11
South Oldham   73.15
Pulaski County   70.94
Conner     68.96
Graves County   64.35
Madisonville N. Hopkins 61.51
Dixie Heights   56.36
Atherton     55.56
Apollo     54.18
Southwestern   53.16
Collins     52.88
Greenwood   51.95
North Laurel   42.35
South Laurel   41.40
Marshall County   38.89
Anderson County   38.51
Madison Southern   38.37
Grayson County   38.13
East Jessamine   35.37
Montgomery County   32.42
West Jessamine   31.36
North Bullitt   31.23
Harlan County   30.48
Bullitt Central   30.43
Moore     29.06
Seneca     28.20
Scott     27.19
Boone County   23.79
Butler     23.41
Fairdale     21.52
Muhlenberg County   16.22
Ohio County   -8.91
Iroquois     -9.52

 

Class 4A:

Boyle County   109.08
Paducah Tilghman   94.95
Franklin County   92.03
Ashland Blazer   86.90
Corbin     84.84
Covington Catholic   84.69
Johnson Central   78.24
North Oldham   70.69
Allen Co. Scottsville   64.58
Greenup County   62.55
Letcher Co. Central   58.50
Boyd County   57.59
Bardstown   55.71
Spencer County   55.48
Warren East   55.25
Mason County   55.05
Henry County   51.24
Wayne County   48.08
Russell County   47.95
Logan County   46.99
Hopkinsville   46.20
John Hardin   44.76
Taylor County   43.66
Lincoln County   42.59
Western Hills   41.92
Whitley County   41.84
DeSales     40.99
Perry Co. Central   39.59
Rowan County   28.44
Nelson County   25.97
Grant County   25.84
Doss     23.37
Valley     18.25
Jeffersontown   11.58
Western     9.86
Shelby County   7.74
Harrison County   1.76
Waggener   -3.09
Calloway County   -4.60
Thomas Nelson   -5.18
Holmes     -5.22
Breckinridge County   -8.88

 

Class 3A:

 

Christian Academy - Lou.   87.87
Central     79.05
Belfry     71.08
Lexington Catholic   66.16
Bell County   58.62
Hart County   57.70
Lloyd Memorial   55.23
Union County   52.88
Adair County   52.71
Rockcastle County   48.77
Russell     47.26
Franklin Simpson   46.47
Glasgow     44.83
Hancock County   43.92
Lawrence County   43.66
Garrard County   42.41
Mercer County   42.23
East Carter   40.67
Knox Central   39.27
Elizabethtown   39.03
Clay County   37.22
Marion County   30.72
McCreary Central   26.78
McClean County   25.58
West Carter   23.57
Estill County   23.19
Fleming County   18.98
Trigg County   17.39
Powell County   17.29
Magoffin County   17.19
Hopkins Co. Central   16.46
Larue County   16.24
Butler County   15.92
Bath County   11.69
Bourbon County   2.57
Webster County   2.33
Casey County   -2.78
Morgan County   -4.93
Lewis County   -7.63
Pendleton County   -14.30

 

Class 2A:

Owensboro Catholic   97.62
Lexington Christian Academy   85.76
Beechwood   71.34
Mayfield     66.42
Somerset     54.42
Bracken County   50.43
Murray     50.31
Monroe County   43.26
Breathitt County   40.20
Caldwell County   35.59
Prestonsburg   34.86
Crittenden County   33.46
Martin County   31.07
Fort Campbell   30.35
Leslie County   27.29
Metcalfe County   27.15
Owen County   26.26
Shelby Valley   24.60
Betsy Lane   24.31
Edmonson County   23.36
Washington County   22.13
WEB. Dubois   21.08
Pike Co. Central   16.90
Green County   16.23
Clinton County   15.12
Walton Verona   13.36
Danville     6.05
Jackson County   5.98
Knott Co. Central   5.19
Todd Co. Central   0.16
Carroll County   -0.65
East Ridge   -2.90
Shawnee     -3.50
Floyd Central   -6.07
Fort Knox     -11.62
Gallatin County   -13.21

 

Class 1A:

Campbellsville   70.01
Pikeville     68.21
Raceland     67.83
Sayre     64.17
Hazard     55.97
Newport Cen. Catholic   55.37
KY. Country Day   46.17
Paris     45.86
Bethlehem   45.17
Bishop Brossart   39.39
Lou. Holy Cross   37.72
Ludlow     35.09
Caverna     33.73
Williamsburg   33.11
Russellville   28.73
Newport     27.65
Frankfort     26.79
Eminence     24.81
Paintsville     21.61
Middlesboro   18.71
Ballard Memorial   17.06
Nicholas County   15.90
Fulton County   15.40
Cov. Holy Cross   13.80
Bellevue     8.39
Harlan     0.18
Fairview     -0.85
Pineville     -4.51
Lynn Camp   -6.65
Dayton     -13.24
Phelps     -24.06
Trimble County   -24.06
Berea     -26.06
Jenkins     -37.17

 

Top 20:

Boyle County   109.08
Owensboro Catholic   97.62
Ryle     96.71
Cooper     95.87
Paducah Tilghman   94.95
Trinity     93.86
Male     93.10
St. Xavier     93.00
Franklin County   92.03
Highlands     91.89
Frederick Douglass   90.21
Christian Academy   87.87
Ashland Blazer   86.90
Bowling Green   85.99
Lexington Christian   85.76
Corbin     84.84
Covington Catholic   84.69
Manual     84.01
Woodford County   81.33
South Warren   81.01

 

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  • Tigerpride94
    Tigerpride94

    I'm going to do a pickem contest starting in the 2nd round of playoffs between the TP94, Calpreps, and Massey ratings and see which system picks the most winners. I think it will be an interesting com

  • Right, a month ago Calpreps was dead, but now we are back on the bandwagon, lol. 

  • After watching the SW vs BG game and seeing how BG struggled with SW’s QB, I do feel like Atwell would give the Purples even more problems. But the Aces defense can’t slow down the Purples offense IMO

46 minutes ago, Tigerpride94 said:

Ratings use avg. margin of victory/loss applied to avg. rating of strength of schedule played. There is a cap of 40 points on margin for teams that have 40 point or less differential to prevent ratings increase by running up the score. When there is more than 40-point differential between teams the higher rated team is not penalized for keeping score smaller by substitution and running clock. This comes more into play during district contests where there can be a wide disparity in teams' ratings.

Class 6A:

 

Ryle     96.71
Trinity     93.86
Male     93.10
St. Xavier     93.00
Frederick Douglass   90.21
Manual     84.01
Bryan Station   78.93
Great Crossing   75.68
Madison Central   75.19
Fern Creek   68.20
Ballard     67.13
George Rogers Clark   64.51
Bullitt East   63.64
North Hardin   63.55
Oldham County   63.41
Henderson County   62.63
Simon Kenton   61.49
McCracken County   54.64
Meade County   54.15
Barren County   53.78
Campbell County   53.57
Tates Creek   48.50
Central Hardin   41.42
Lafayette     36.94
Pleasure Ridge Park   36.39
Paul Dunbar   32.94
Daviess County   31.61
Henry Clay   31.24
Eastern     29.14
Warren Central   20.97
Christian County   12.82
Southern     10.07

Class 5A:

 

 

Cooper     95.87
Highlands     91.89
Bowling Green   85.99
Woodford County   81.33
South Warren   81.01
Scott County   76.74
Owensboro   76.11
South Oldham   73.15
Pulaski County   70.94
Conner     68.96
Graves County   64.35
Madisonville N. Hopkins 61.51
Dixie Heights   56.36
Atherton     55.56
Apollo     54.18
Southwestern   53.16
Collins     52.88
Greenwood   51.95
North Laurel   42.35
South Laurel   41.40
Marshall County   38.89
Anderson County   38.51
Madison Southern   38.37
Grayson County   38.13
East Jessamine   35.37
Montgomery County   32.42
West Jessamine   31.36
North Bullitt   31.23
Harlan County   30.48
Bullitt Central   30.43
Moore     29.06
Seneca     28.20
Scott     27.19
Boone County   23.79
Butler     23.41
Fairdale     21.52
Muhlenberg County   16.22
Ohio County   -8.91
Iroquois     -9.52

 

Class 4A:

 

Boyle County   109.08
Paducah Tilghman   94.95
Franklin County   92.03
Ashland Blazer   86.90
Corbin     84.84
Covington Catholic   84.69
Johnson Central   78.24
North Oldham   70.69
Allen Co. Scottsville   64.58
Greenup County   62.55
Letcher Co. Central   58.50
Boyd County   57.59
Bardstown   55.71
Spencer County   55.48
Warren East   55.25
Mason County   55.05
Henry County   51.24
Wayne County   48.08
Russell County   47.95
Logan County   46.99
Hopkinsville   46.20
John Hardin   44.76
Taylor County   43.66
Lincoln County   42.59
Western Hills   41.92
Whitley County   41.84
DeSales     40.99
Perry Co. Central   39.59
Rowan County   28.44
Nelson County   25.97
Grant County   25.84
Doss     23.37
Valley     18.25
Jeffersontown   11.58
Western     9.86
Shelby County   7.74
Harrison County   1.76
Waggener   -3.09
Calloway County   -4.60
Thomas Nelson   -5.18
Holmes     -5.22
Breckinridge County   -8.88

 

Class 3A:

 

 

Christian Academy - Lou.   87.87
Central     79.05
Belfry     71.08
Lexington Catholic   66.16
Bell County   58.62
Hart County   57.70
Lloyd Memorial   55.23
Union County   52.88
Adair County   52.71
Rockcastle County   48.77
Russell     47.26
Franklin Simpson   46.47
Glasgow     44.83
Hancock County   43.92
Lawrence County   43.66
Garrard County   42.41
Mercer County   42.23
East Carter   40.67
Knox Central   39.27
Elizabethtown   39.03
Clay County   37.22
Marion County   30.72
McCreary Central   26.78
McClean County   25.58
West Carter   23.57
Estill County   23.19
Fleming County   18.98
Trigg County   17.39
Powell County   17.29
Magoffin County   17.19
Hopkins Co. Central   16.46
Larue County   16.24
Butler County   15.92
Bath County   11.69
Bourbon County   2.57
Webster County   2.33
Casey County   -2.78
Morgan County   -4.93
Lewis County   -7.63
Pendleton County   -14.30

 

Class 2A:

Owensboro Catholic   97.62
Lexington Christian Academy   85.76
Beechwood   71.34
Mayfield     66.42
Somerset     54.42
Bracken County   50.43
Murray     50.31
Monroe County   43.26
Breathitt County   40.20
Caldwell County   35.59
Prestonsburg   34.86
Crittenden County   33.46
Martin County   31.07
Fort Campbell   30.35
Leslie County   27.29
Metcalfe County   27.15
Owen County   26.26
Shelby Valley   24.60
Betsy Lane   24.31
Edmonson County   23.36
Washington County   22.13
WEB. Dubois   21.08
Pike Co. Central   16.90
Green County   16.23
Clinton County   15.12
Walton Verona   13.36
Danville     6.05
Jackson County   5.98
Knott Co. Central   5.19
Todd Co. Central   0.16
Carroll County   -0.65
East Ridge   -2.90
Shawnee     -3.50
Floyd Central   -6.07
Fort Knox     -11.62
Gallatin County   -13.21

 

Class 1A:

 

Campbellsville   70.01
Pikeville     68.21
Raceland     67.83
Sayre     64.17
Hazard     55.97
Newport Cen. Catholic   55.37
KY. Country Day   46.17
Paris     45.86
Bethlehem   45.17
Bishop Brossart   39.39
Lou. Holy Cross   37.72
Ludlow     35.09
Caverna     33.73
Williamsburg   33.11
Russellville   28.73
Newport     27.65
Frankfort     26.79
Eminence     24.81
Paintsville     21.61
Middlesboro   18.71
Ballard Memorial   17.06
Nicholas County   15.90
Fulton County   15.40
Cov. Holy Cross   13.80
Bellevue     8.39
Harlan     0.18
Fairview     -0.85
Pineville     -4.51
Lynn Camp   -6.65
Dayton     -13.24
Phelps     -24.06
Trimble County   -24.06
Berea     -26.06
Jenkins     -37.17

 

Top 20:

 

Boyle County   109.08
Owensboro Catholic   97.62
Ryle     96.71
Cooper     95.87
Paducah Tilghman   94.95
Trinity     93.86
Male     93.10
St. Xavier     93.00
Franklin County   92.03
Highlands     91.89
Frederick Douglass   90.21
Christian Academy   87.87
Ashland Blazer   86.90
Bowling Green   85.99
Lexington Christian   85.76
Corbin     84.84
Covington Catholic   84.69
Manual     84.01
Woodford County   81.33
South Warren   81.01

 

Owensboro Catholic is not better then Bowling Green, Trinity, Frederick Douglass, X, South Warren, Lou Manual, CAL, etc. They are getting WAY TOO MUCH credit for a average schedule. 

 

 

  • Author
1 hour ago, TimeWillTell said:

Owensboro Catholic is not better then Bowling Green, Trinity, Frederick Douglass, X, South Warren, Lou Manual, CAL, etc. They are getting WAY TOO MUCH credit for a average schedule. 

 

 

Manual got beat handily by CAL so wouldn't be a stretch to think Owensboro Catholic could do the same. St. X beat Meade County by 24 and Owensboro Catholic is much better than Meade County so I think Owensboro Catholic could beat some of those teams and wouldn't be a surprise to me.

1 hour ago, TimeWillTell said:

Owensboro Catholic is not better then Bowling Green, Trinity, Frederick Douglass, X, South Warren, Lou Manual, CAL, etc. They are getting WAY TOO MUCH credit for a average schedule. 

 

 

Calpreps.com projection:

Owensboro Catholic 31 Bowling Green 30

Owensboro Catholic 2024 Football Schedule
Fri, Aug 23, 24    Apollo    away    (W)    50    -    13 
Fri, Aug 30, 24    Daviess County    at Steele Stadium    (W)    58    -    8 
Fri, Sep 6, 24    Greenwood    away    (W)    49    -    16 
Fri, Sep 13, 24    Owensboro    at Steele Stadium    (W)    43    -    31 
Fri, Sep 20, 24    Henderson County    away    (W)    28    -    2 
Sat, Sep 28, 24    Crittenden County    at Steele Stadium    (W)    51    -    0 
Fri, Oct 4, 24    Todd County Central    at Steele Stadium    (W)    61    -    6 
Fri, Oct 18, 24    Edmonson County    away    (W)    44    -    0 
Fri, Oct 25, 24    Fort Campbell    away 
Fri, Nov 1, 24    North Hardin    at Steele Stadium    

30 minutes ago, Voice of Reason said:

Calpreps.com projection:

Owensboro Catholic 31 Bowling Green 30

? we are using Calpreps now.

1 minute ago, TimeWillTell said:

? we are using Calpreps now.

Right, a month ago Calpreps was dead, but now we are back on the bandwagon, lol. 

57 minutes ago, Voice of Reason said:

Calpreps.com projection:

Owensboro Catholic 31 Bowling Green 30

? 

55 minutes ago, Voice of Reason said:

Calpreps.com projection:

Owensboro Catholic 31 Bowling Green 30

Comparative score against Owensboro makes that projection null and void IMO. Have a hard time believing the Aces would keep up realistically.  Would love to hear thoughts from @Devils Fan and @Brown on the matter. 

Just now, BillNye said:

Comparative score against Owensboro makes that projection null and void IMO. Have a hard time believing the Aces would keep up realistically.  Would love to hear thoughts from @Devils Fan and @Brown on the matter. 

After watching the SW vs BG game and seeing how BG struggled with SW’s QB, I do feel like Atwell would give the Purples even more problems. But the Aces defense can’t slow down the Purples offense IMO. I feel the Purples win by 1-2 scores in a high scoring game.

14 minutes ago, Devils Fan said:

After watching the SW vs BG game and seeing how BG struggled with SW’s QB, I do feel like Atwell would give the Purples even more problems. But the Aces defense can’t slow down the Purples offense IMO. I feel the Purples win by 1-2 scores in a high scoring game.

If Atwell ankle is not healed, then no BG wins by 3 TDs. If Atwell is healthy the game is closer by TD. 

If OCath is better than BG we should just mail them the 2A Trophy. 

You all give OC too much credit, mail in the trophy?  Maybe play a tougher schedule like LCA and Beechwood and win and I’d feel different about OC.

1 hour ago, The_Bull44 said:

You all give OC too much credit, mail in the trophy?  Maybe play a tougher schedule like LCA and Beechwood and win and I’d feel different about OC.

I guess I am "You all" here but I mostly agree with you, play a tougher schedule Owensboro Catholic.

With that said, OC played a little girl's schedule last year too and nearly won 2A.  Additionally, they have an amazing high school QB and if he is healthy look out. 

  • Author

I'm going to do a pickem contest starting in the 2nd round of playoffs between the TP94, Calpreps, and Massey ratings and see which system picks the most winners. I think it will be an interesting competition.

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