Formula uses avg. margin of victory/loss capped at 36pts and applied to strength of schedule played. There is an exception used for vastly better (more than 40 pt difference in ratings) teams where a running clock is used to keep the ratings more accurate.

 

Class 6A:

Trinity		94.64
Frederick Douglass		87.43
Male		87.4
St. Xavier		77.43
Bryan Station		71.35
Manual		70.53
Ballard		69.89
Ryle		59.02
Bullitt East		57.34
Henderson County		56.49
Simon Kenton		52.75
Pleasure Ridge Park		52.18
Central Hardin		50
North Hardin		49.65
Meade County		49.21
Fern Creek		48.52
Tates Creek		47.47
Campbell County		44.4
George Rogers Clark		44.01
McCracken County		42.63
Great Crossing		42.52
Madison Central		39.48
Oldham County		33.59
Eastern		30.12
Barren County		29.7
Christian County		29.04
Daviess County		28.39
Paul Dunbar		25.1
Lafayette		16.67
Warren Central		11.88
Henry Clay		9.19
Southern		0.45

 

Class 5A:

Highlands		78.75
Bowling Green		74.78
South Warren		74.68
Scott County		70.38
Southwestern		67.51
Cooper		62.95
Owensboro		61.56
Dixie Heights		58.38
Woodford County		54.78
South Oldham		54.08
Greenwood		53.3
North Laurel		47.41
Graves County		45.39
Madisonville N. Hopkins		44.08
Collins		41.74
Pulaski County		39.92
Conner		38.43
Fairdale		34.59
Atherton		32.41
Grayson County		30.24
Madison Southern		29.72
Apollo		26.77
Butler		21.97
Seneca		21.65
West Jessamine		20.12
Moore		16.63
Montgomery County		14.69
North Bullitt		12.7
South Laurel		12.04
East Jessamine		9.38
Bullitt Central		8.87
Marshall County		8.26
Harlan County		7.45
Boone County		2.86
Scott		1.84
Anderson County		1.6
Muhlenberg County		-4.13
Ohio County		-6.02
Iroquois		-28.55

 

Class 4A:

Boyle County		90.36
Corbin		82.76
Covington Catholic		77.81
Paducah Tilghman		72.06
Franklin County		66.46
Ashland Blazer		64.89
Taylor County		52.53
Johnson Central		51.2
Whitley County		43.25
Bardstown		42.98
North Oldham		41.92
Logan County		39.33
Warren East		38.05
DeSales		36.82
Henry County		36.45
Boyd County		35.71
Shelby County		35.62
Allen Co. Scottsville		34.06
Perry Co. Central		33.47
Hopkinsville		32.01
Mason County		31.29
Spencer County		30.81
Greenup County		29.42
Letcher Co. Central		28.76
Nelson County		28.58
Lincoln County		27.22
Wayne County		25.15
Jeffersontown		22.13
John Hardin		20.47
Russell County		13.7
Calloway County		6.54
Western Hills		5.94
Western		4.33
Breckinridge County		4.24
Rowan County		4.05
Harrison County		3.52
Grant County		1.46
Thomas Nelson		-3.49
Doss		-4.63
Waggener		-8.77
Valley		-16.99
Holmes		-22.53

 

Class 3A:

Christian Academy - Lou		75.79
Lexington Catholic		67.61
Central		57.54
Bell County		50.74
Belfry		50.34
Union County		49.76
Mercer County		49.45
Russell		46.96
Glasgow		45.89
Hart County		42.76
Franklin Simpson		42.47
Rockcastle County		42.08
Lloyd Memorial		41.03
Adair County		38.3
Lawrence County		31.31
Elizabethtown		28.24
McClean County		27.84
Clay County		26.56
Knox Central		26.32
Hopkins Co. Central		26.27
Fleming County		26.12
East Carter		25.5
Hancock County		25.34
Casey County		24.41
Webster County		22.88
LaRue County		22.24
Garrard County		19.41
Marion County		14.63
Trigg County		11.66
West Carter		11.03
McCreary Central		9.82
Estill County		8.52
Butler County		6.14
Magoffin County		5.36
Lewis County		-0.12
Powell County		-6.11
Morgan County		-11.03
Bourbon County		-12
Pendleton County		-22.63
Bath County		-27.3

 

Class 2A:

Lexington Christian Academy		77.51
Mayfield		71.58
Owensboro Catholic		69.73
Beechwood		68.09
Somerset		42.01
Green County		41.86
Murray		32.36
Crittenden County		31.46
Shelby Valley		28.67
Breathitt County		28.52
Washington County		26
Monroe County		21.71
Martin County		16.48
Carroll County		15.41
Metcalfe County		15.36
Caldwell County		14.39
Bracken County		13.52
Danville		12.84
Betsy Lane		11.35
Leslie County		11.04
Fort Campbell		9.88
Todd Co. Central		6.17
Pike Co. Central		4.62
Walton-Verona		4.36
Owen County		2.95
Prestonsburg		2.86
Gallatin County		1.57
Floyd Central		1.1
Jackson County		-2.09
Clinton County		-3.74
WEB DuBois		-3.79
East Ridge		-4.39
Edmonson County		-5.1
Shawnee		-5.62
Fort Knox		-15.9
Knott County Central		-27.6

 

Class 1A:

Pikeville		60.04
Raceland		54.57
Campbellsville		48.62
KY Country Day		40.8
Paris		34.81
Bethlehem		30.51
Newport Cent. Catholic		29.53
Lou. Holy Cross		26.56
Eminence		19.56
Middlesboro		18.83
Newport		14.85
Ludlow		13.09
Williamsburg		8.96
Bishop Brossart		3.4
Dayton		3.08
Frankfort		2.52
Paintsville		2.12
Hazard		1.88
Cov. Holy Cross		0.25
Caverna		-0.29
Russellville		-2.75
Nicholas County		-4.55
Harlan		-6.51
Pineville		-8.46
Sayre		-16.69
Trimble County		-16.69
Bellevue		-17.81
Lynn Camp		-19.72
Fulton County		-26.83
Berea		-27.6
Ballard Memorial		-28.67
Fairview		-36.3
Jenkins		-49.16
Phelps		-56.11

 

Top 20:

Trinity		94.64
Boyle County		90.36
Frederick Douglass		87.43
Male		87.4
Corbin		82.76
Highlands		78.75
Covington Catholic		77.81
Lexington Christian Academy		77.51
St. Xavier		77.43
Christian Academy - Lou.		75.79
Bowling Green		74.78
South Warren		74.68
Paducah Tilghman		72.06
Mayfield		71.58
Bryan Station		71.35
Manual		70.53
Scott County		70.38
Ballard		69.89
Owensboro Catholic		69.73
Beechwood		68.09

 

 

Good job @Tigerpride94thanks for all of your hard work.

Definitely appreciate the work that goes into this.  I do have one odd question and it pertains to Sayre.  Are you sure their rating is correct?  I know their schedule hasn't been the toughest, but they're 8-0 and all but one of the teams they beat has a higher TP94 rating than they do.

Dixie is 58.3 and Simon Kenton beat them and they are 52.75 makes no sense!

I say it every time you release these but I honestly think these are the most accurate rankings out there by far.

24 minutes ago, MaddenCurse44 said:

Dixie is 58.3 and Simon Kenton beat them and they are 52.75 makes no sense!

Evergreen ...

BOYS, AND THE ALGORITHM IS DISRESPECTING US. ARE WE GONNA TAKE IT? LET'S GOOOO!

2 hours ago, MaddenCurse44 said:

Dixie is 58.3 and Simon Kenton beat them and they are 52.75 makes no sense!

Math is hard. 

Dixie's opponents' W/L record is better than SK's, and SK got waxed by CovCath. Those things matter in a rating system like this. 

2 hours ago, Unrivaled97 said:

Definitely appreciate the work that goes into this.  I do have one odd question and it pertains to Sayre.  Are you sure their rating is correct?  I know their schedule hasn't been the toughest, but they're 8-0 and all but one of the teams they beat has a higher TP94 rating than they do.

 

Thanks for catching that. I accidently put Trimble county's rating in their cell on my excel spread sheet. Here is 1A Corrected.

Pikeville		60.04
Raceland		54.57
Campbellsville		48.62
KY Country Day		40.8
Paris		34.81
Sayre		31.91
Bethlehem		30.51
Newport Cent. Cath		29.53
Lou. Holy Cross		26.56
Eminence		19.56
Middlesboro		18.83
Newport		14.85
Ludlow		13.09
Williamsburg		8.96
Frankfort		4.2
Bishop Brossart		3.4
Dayton		3.08
Paintsville		2.12
Hazard		1.88
Cov. Holy Cross		0.25
Caverna		-0.29
Russellville		-2.75
Nicholas County		-4.55
Harlan		-6.51
Pineville		-8.46
Trimble County		-16.69
Bellevue		-17.81
Lynn Camp		-19.72
Fulton County		-26.83
Berea		-27.6
Ballard Memorial		-28.67
Fairview		-36.3
Jenkins		-49.16

 

Phelps -56.11

2 hours ago, TheDeuce said:

Math is hard. 

Dixie's opponents' W/L record is better than SK's, and SK got waxed by CovCath. Those things matter in a rating system like this. 

Dixie played Scott and Boone County. The math is wrong! Nice try though. Dixie is 4-4

SK is 5-2 and a tougher schedule than Dixie but whatever. 

I think this is very cool. Thanks for the hard work putting this together!

50 minutes ago, MaddenCurse44 said:

Dixie played Scott and Boone County. The math is wrong! Nice try though. Dixie is 4-4

SK is 5-2 and a tougher schedule than Dixie but whatever. 

Their games with Boone and Scott combined are 3-14. Two of your 5 wins are against PLD and Great Crossing who also are a combined 3-14. Also they played both teams that beat you Cov. Cath. and Beechwood better than SK did. One last thing they also defeated Conner by 27 points to SK 21 points. I think @Tigerpride94 math's looks pretty good to someone not looking at it through SK colored glasses.?

1 hour ago, MaddenCurse44 said:

Dixie played Scott and Boone County. The math is wrong! Nice try though. Dixie is 4-4

SK is 5-2 and a tougher schedule than Dixie but whatever. 

SK’s opponents are 28-24, Dixie’s are 36-22. SK has most certainly not played a tougher schedule. 

Glad to see that you are able to laugh @MaddenCurse44when you can plainly see you have been proven wrong by myself and @TheDeuce?

44 minutes ago, 16thBBall Fan said:

Glad to see that you are able to laugh @MaddenCurse44when you can plainly see you have been proven wrong by myself and @TheDeuce?

I'm not proven wrong. 

I think best way to look at these is the rating is the team's average for the season. Sometimes teams play above average and sometimes below average. Trying to measure what high school kids are going to do is not easy. If two teams rating is 7 points or less apart, the difference in a game could be one or two plays or a turnover. Maybe if two teams play 10 times, one might win 6,7, or 8 times which means in a 1 game sample the other team could win. 
 

Looking at College ratings, Louisville beat Notre Dame handily but every ranking has Notre Dame higher than Louisville. Pitt beat Louisville and they're still below Louisville. No 100% system.