^ Job well done!

Don't forget the wipers and the door.

There will be. It will be a big hit among older drivers that have trouble seeing at night. You know, the ones that have no business with a drivers license but they have voting rights. Eventually you won't even have to be a licensed driver. Additionally, think about how much more fun you could have on a night out on the town, at a party, a wedding, a sporting event, etc. if your computer car could drive you home? Long drives may not be so bad in the future when you can sleep (and cars are set up for sleeping) while the car drives you to Florida. Eventually, because the cars will be so much safer, you will have to carry extra insurance to drive your car in a manual mode. In other words, there will not only be demand, it will be a takeover.

 

All good points. What would you suspect is the time frame for a full-on takeover? Five years? 10? 20?

The future may be bright in thus area, but it's not there yet. Rushing this out before it's ready will kill people.

All good points. What would you suspect is the time frame for a full-on takeover? Five years? 10? 20?

 

Hard to speculate with anything other than speculation.

 

Switching gears and thinking on tangent, we already have varying levels of artificial intelligence. For example, even the best/smartest/elite humans are no match for computers when it comes playing chess or playing Jeopardy. Chess is a finite system and I think computers are pretty much unbeatable in a closed system. Jeopardy is more open than chess but I suppose you could still argue the game is finite. However, being more open allowed the human players to win some rounds in the game but overall the computer crushed the humans. Finally, driving is much more complex than playing finite games and sure enough the Google computer failed on one of the complexities of driving.

 

With all that said, as artificial intelligence improves in the not too distant future we will get to the point where the artificial intelligence itself figures out how to improve its skills (versus today human programmers add more lines of code) and when that day comes (the AI figuring things out) I would say the takeover will come in less than a year, maybe just seconds, no one can say for sure...

IMO, this will only become viable if all cars are self-driving because it will be difficult for current AI to predict all human behavior and tendencies. It'd be easier if all cars were self-driving and were "linked" together somehow so they would follow the same protocol and thus no accidents would occur. See the Minority Report and I, Robot as examples of this to a degree.

IMO, this will only become viable if all cars are self-driving because it will be difficult for current AI to predict all human behavior and tendencies. It'd be easier if all cars were self-driving and were "linked" together somehow so they would follow the same protocol and thus no accidents would occur. See the Minority Report and I, Robot as examples of this to a degree.

 

Several cars, mine for one, already have accident avoidance systems in them. At the most basic level think adaptive cruise control. In other words, the AI doesn't have to predict anything, only react, or put another way, quickly execute some simple algorithms which cars/computers already do today.

 

I need to watch Minority Report again but I watch I Robot about once a year and it is an excellent example of machines driving cars. I also just finished watching Extant on Amazon Prime and thought to myself whoever wrote the Extant script ripped off I Robot in many ways including how the all knowing AI got rid of people in cars it wanted dead.

So the Google car does not look over its shoulder before switching lanes?

 

Or did it assume the bus would break if it was cut off to go around the sandbags.

 

Asimov had it right with his laws for robots.

So the Google car does not look over its shoulder before switching lanes?

 

Or did it assume the bus would break if it was cut off to go around the sandbags.

 

Asimov had it right with his laws for robots.

 

I would think it was a shortcoming in the coding. Something along the lines of committing to an action based on time and distance, being too cautious and therefore too slow when maneuvering around a traffic anomaly and then failing to recalculate the buses probable acceleration multiple times per second versus it's own slow maneuver speed and weighing that risk against the many dangers of backing up which probably had too much weight in the algorithm.

So if your wife is better at coding than you, after work you say to your autonomous car, " take me to the bar". The car says "sorry John, your wife said to take to you to Kroger, don't forget milk and cereal and then I am to bring you straight home." You'll have to call an automated Uber to get away..Total electronic leash I tell you...lol

There will be. It will be a big hit among older drivers that have trouble seeing at night. You know, the ones that have no business with a drivers license but they have voting rights. Eventually you won't even have to be a licensed driver. Additionally, think about how much more fun you could have on a night out on the town, at a party, a wedding, a sporting event, etc. if your computer car could drive you home? Long drives may not be so bad in the future when you can sleep (and cars are set up for sleeping) while the car drives you to Florida. Eventually, because the cars will be so much safer, you will have to carry extra insurance to drive your car in a manual mode. In other words, there will not only be demand, it will be a takeover.

 

Do you think you could do that? Would you trust the computer driven car enough to fall asleep?

In other words, there will not only be demand, it will be a takeover.

 

Not likely, IMO. For one, everybody won't be able to afford one of these. And two, that kind of technology on a grand scale is still decades away.

Do you think you could do that? Would you trust the computer driven car enough to fall asleep?

 

I can't even sleep in the car when another person is driving. Gives me anxiety.

Not likely, IMO. For one, everybody won't be able to afford one of these. And two, that kind of technology on a grand scale is still decades away.

 

At least.

I can't even sleep in the car when another person is driving. Gives me anxiety.

 

I'm the same way.