Corbin vs. Johnson Central Predictions/Updates

[MorrowManiac]

JC coming off a 5 game win streak after their loss at Madison Central the first game of the season. Corbin coming off a win against Hazard at home 51-28 lost to Frederick Douglass at FD. 

[Paul Dean]

May be the most intriguing game of the week.

[Rebel]

Something going to give this week as the states leading rushing team (Johnson Central 401 yards per game) against the states leading rushing defense team (Corbin 45 yards per game).  

 

 

(playing a minimum of 2 games)

(ranked by Rushing Yards Allowed per Game)

Rank School Games Yds Avg 1 Corbin 5 225 45

 

(playing a minimum of 2 games)

(ranked by Rushing Yards per Game)

rank School Games Yds Avg 1 Johnson Central 6 2404 401

[MorrowManiac]

I think this one is gonna be a defensive battle 21-14 JC. I do not think Corbin is gonna be able to stop the JC run game they keep getting better as the weeks go on and Zach McCoart is on fire. 

[BEChargers]

I think I would have picked Corbin at the start of the year, but for some reason I guess I'm picking JC.  Maybe because they are at home.  

[Rebel]

3 hours ago, BEChargers said:

I think I would have picked Corbin at the start of the year, but for some reason I guess I'm picking JC.  Maybe because they are at home.  

I'm the same way.  I though Corbin earlier this year but thinking Johnson Central at home will be the deciding factor. 

[Paul Dean]

6 hours ago, MorrowManiac said:

I think this one is gonna be a defensive battle 21-14 JC. I do not think Corbin is gonna be able to stop the JC run game they keep getting better as the weeks go on and Zach McCoart is on fire. 

Can JC stop the passing attack of Corbin.  Elam is tough.

[TCR]

To echo many that have posted, I am excited for this one as it should be a great back and forth game between two of 4A's best.

Reviewing Rebel's stats on rushing, something has to give. Either the strong rushing offense of Johnson Central prevails, or the defense of Corbin. It helps Johnson Central to not have any major injuries like they have the past couple of seasons. Last year they still succeeded in winning the district despite missing Zack McCoart. Along with McCoart, Logan Music was injured for part of the season. Having them both healthy gives Johnson Central two backs that are always a threat to score. Both have great breakaway speed and their running vision is impressive. To compare, last year Johnson Central ran for 4,164 yards in 13 games averaging 6.34 yards per rush. Without McCoart and Music, they still utilized their strong depth although they were more of a team that relied on their ability to grind out games with long, time consuming drives. This year, if they play 13 games they are on pace to rush for 5,209 yards, currently averaging 8.44 yards per rush. Having McCoart and Music back is a huge help, and it certainly is nice for them to have Christian Barnes and the powerful running of Logan Morrow. The latter two combined for 1,618 rushing yards and 24 touchdowns last season.

Just given the location I am and the teams that I cover, I see Johnson Central way more and am nowhere near as knowledgeable on Corbin, but do respect that Corbin has a great program and is a load to handle regardless of who the opponent is. Elam at QB is a clean, accurate passer that hits his receivers in stride but other than past clips of him, I have not seen Corbin play this season. Reviewing them statistically, as one would expect with a QB like Elam it looks like they spread the ball around nicely and should provide a good test for Johnson Central's passing defense. It's likely that Johnson Central will send heavy pressure at Elam. What I can say, is that I have seen Coach Salmons at Cabell Midland multiple times and his defense always was difficult to run on as the statistics shared by Rebel indicate. They played a physical style of ball that emphasized stuffing the run and I am not surprised that he has brought that mentality to Corbin. At Cabell Midland Salmons devised good defensive schemes and I'm sure his defense will bring a challenge to the Johnson Central rushing attack.

Definitely a game worth catching. Always enjoy going to watch a game at Johnson Central. Been there quite a few times over the years. The facilities are great, and I think are a reflection of the tremendous strides the program has made over the last two decades. I think Corbin fans will really enjoy the experience. 

[gchs_uk9]

On 9/29/2024 at 10:10 AM, Paul Dean said:

May be the most intriguing game of the week.

Agreed. I think Johnson Central's loss to Madison Central in Week 1 scared away some folks, but now that we see Madison Central is really solid, that loss looks better. Is Corbin at the level of Boyle/Franklin/Tilghman? I don't know. Is Johnson Central at the level of Corbin? We'll find out this weekend. Either way, this game has huge RPI/playoff home game implications.

[mcpapa]

One of the best matchups of the week. 

[DevilMayCare]

13 hours ago, TCR said:

Reviewing them statistically, as one would expect with a QB like Elam it looks like they spread the ball around nicely and should provide a good test for Johnson Central's passing defense.

This makes all the difference for me. Elam and the Hounds present a more refined, sophisticated passing game than anything JC has seen. And the Golden Eagles were carved up by Belfry. That's no slight to the Pirates, but if they're finding holes in JC's secondary, I would anticipate Elam doing the same.

I think they trade scores via the ground (JC) and air (Corbin) with the Hounds getting the timely stops necessary to gain separation and win by multiple scores. 

[TCR]

On 10/1/2024 at 3:46 PM, DevilMayCare said:

This makes all the difference for me. Elam and the Hounds present a more refined, sophisticated passing game than anything JC has seen. And the Golden Eagles were carved up by Belfry. That's no slight to the Pirates, but if they're finding holes in JC's secondary, I would anticipate Elam doing the same.

I think they trade scores via the ground (JC) and air (Corbin) with the Hounds getting the timely stops necessary to gain separation and win by multiple scores. 

That's an interesting point and Elam can sure pick a defense apart! Do you know much about how Corbin's line is the season? I know little about them. But Johnson Central will likely be sending a lot of pressure at him. Typically their defensive line will run schemes to confuse the offensive side while a backer and/or defensive back will blitz.

[Red Dead Redemption]

11 hours ago, TCR said:

That's an interesting point and Elam can sure pick a defense apart! Do you know much about how Corbin's line is the season? I know little about them. But Johnson Central will likely be sending a lot of pressure at him. Typically their defensive line will run schemes to confuse the offensive side while a backer and/or defensive back will blitz.

 He has already played against the pressure of North Hardin and FD that both had some big D1 talent on the defensive side of the ball this season with FD having one of the best edge rushers in the nation with Cedric Works. so I expect him to be prepared for the pressure. Corbin's line this year is smaller than past several years but they are very conditioned. but JC is always tough, they make you earn it every play. 

[theguru]

NFHS Video:

https://www.nfhsnetwork.com/events/johnson-central-high-school-paintsville-ky/gam021601acca

[theguru]

Bump.