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Kentucky is in for another hot and muggy day, with plenty of humidity fueling the chance for scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms. As the day heats up, the atmosphere will become unstable, allowing some storms to grow strong to severe. The best chance for severe weather will be across northern and central Kentucky, where storms moving in from Indiana could organize into clusters. The main concern is damaging wind gusts, but the strongest storms could also produce frequent lightning, heavy downpours, and a little hail. Not everyone will see rain, but any storm that develops could become intense in a short amount of time. If you have outdoor plans later today, keep an eye on the sky and have a way to receive weather alerts. High temperatures will climb into the upper 80s and lower 90s, while the humidity will make it feel closer to the mid and upper 90s before storms begin to develop. Stay cool, stay hydrated, and be prepared to move indoors if thunderstorms approach.

Thursday will bring another hot, muggy day across Kentucky, and those conditions will help fuel thunderstorms by the afternoon and evening. Storms are expected to develop to our west before moving into the state, with the best chance for stronger storms across western Kentucky first, then spreading east through the evening. Some of these storms could become severe, with damaging wind gusts being the biggest concern. A few storms may also produce hail, heavy downpours, frequent lightning, and localized flooding in areas that receive repeated rounds of rain. Unlike a solid line of storms, activity will likely be scattered, meaning some communities may see strong storms while others receive little or no rain. If a storm moves over your area, it could become intense in a short amount of time. The threat won't end at sunset. Storms may continue into Thursday night, especially across southern and western Kentucky, before gradually weakening overnight. Keep an eye on the forecast throughout the day, especially if you have outdoor plans. Be ready to move indoors quickly if severe thunderstorm warnings are issued for your area.

The area has been expanded. URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Jackson KY 1212 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026 KYZ087-088-104-106>120-301000- /O.NEW.KJKL.HT.Y.0002.260629T1612Z-260703T0000Z/ Bell-Harlan-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee- Breathitt-Knott-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike- Including the cities of Sandy Hook, Campton, Coal Run, Jenkins, Wheelwright, Manchester, Beattyville, Hyden, Pineville, Paintsville, South Williamson, West Liberty, Middlesboro, Cumberland, Prestonsburg, Salyersville, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hindman, Harlan, Booneville, Pikeville, Inez, Whitesburg, Jackson, and Elkhorn City 1212 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heat index values up to 105 possible in some locations. * WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast, and southeast Kentucky. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat illnesses. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Take extra precautions when outside. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing. Try to limit strenuous activities to early morning or evening. Take action when you see symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat stroke.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Jackson KY 1212 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026 KYZ052-060-301000- /O.CON.KJKL.XH.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260703T0000Z/ Rowan-Menifee- Including the cities of Frenchburg and Morehead 1212 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026 ...EXTREME HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Dangerously hot conditions with heat index values up to 105 expected. * WHERE...Menifee and Rowan Counties. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Heat related illnesses increase significantly during extreme heat and high humidity events. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Do not leave young children and pets in unattended vehicles. Car interiors will reach lethal temperatures in a matter of minutes.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Jackson KY 1212 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026 KYZ044-050-051-058-059-068-069-079-080-083>086-301000- /O.CON.KJKL.XH.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260703T0000Z/ Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Estill-Powell-Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski- Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox- Including the cities of Irvine, Camargo, Ravenna, Barbourville, Jeffersonville, Flemingsburg, Corbin, Stanton, Mount Vernon, Whitley City, Clay City, Annville, Mount Sterling, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns, Williamsburg, Burnside, McKee, Brodhead, and Owingsville 1212 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026 ...EXTREME HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Dangerously hot conditions with heat index values up to 105 expected. * WHERE...Portions of east central Kentucky. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Heat related illnesses increase significantly during extreme heat and high humidity events. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Do not leave young children and pets in unattended vehicles. Car interiors will reach lethal temperatures in a matter of m

The area has been expanded. URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Louisville KY 1147 AM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026 INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067- 070>078-081-082-300900- /O.UPG.KLMK.HT.Y.0002.260629T1600Z-260703T0100Z/ /O.NEW.KLMK.XH.W.0001.260629T1600Z-260703T0100Z/ Orange-Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Dubois-Crawford-Perry- Harrison IN-Floyd-Clark IN-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio- Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby- Franklin-Scott KY-Harrison KY-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette- Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY- Larue-Marion-Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green- Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe- Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland-Clinton- Including the cities of Columbia, Frankfort, Edmonton, Lebanon, Bowling Green, Morgantown, Albany, Hodgenville, Scottsburg, Louisville, New Castle, Harrodsburg, Hartford, Elizabethtown, Russellville, Hawesville, Brandenburg, Horse Cave, Jasper, Tompkinsville, Taylorsville, Richmond, Stanford, Campbellsville, Jamestown, Nicholasville, Danville, Franklin, Winchester, Milton, Shelbyville, Lewisport, Paoli, Tell City, Corydon, Shepherdsville, Scottsville, Greensburg, Lexington, Hardinsburg, Burkesville, Brownsville, Versailles, Bardstown, Lawrenceburg, Springfield, Leitchfield, Cynthiana, Carlisle, Providence, Salem, Madison, Paris, Georgetown, Jeffersonville, Bedford, Lancaster, Liberty, English, New Albany, Glasgow, and La Grange 1147 AM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026 /1047 AM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026/ ...EXTREME HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... * WHAT...Dangerously hot conditions with peak heat index values between 100 and 115 degrees Fahrenheit. Mild overnight temperatures will also not allow for much reprieve from the hot and humid conditions. * WHERE...Portions of south central Indiana and east central, north central, northwest, and south central Kentucky. * WHEN...Until 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ Thursday. * IMPACTS...Heat related illnesses increase significantly during extreme heat and high humidity events. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Do not leave young children and pets in unattended vehicles. Car interiors will reach lethal temperatures in a matter of minutes. Take extra precautions when outside. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing. Try to limit strenuous activities to early morning or evening. Take action when you see symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat stroke.

The seal coat business is close to my house. My wife had driven through that area right before it flooded. That is Irvine St. right before you get to the intersection of Irvine Rd. and the bypass. That intersection was completely flooded.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Nashville TN 1151 AM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026 TNZ005>008-023>028-056>062-075-093>095-290900- /O.UPG.KOHX.XH.A.0001.260629T1600Z-260703T0100Z/ /O.NEW.KOHX.XH.W.0001.260629T1600Z-260703T0100Z/ /O.CON.KOHX.HT.Y.0001.260628T1800Z-260629T0000Z/ Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Houston-Humphreys-Dickson- Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury- Marshall-Rutherford-Bedford-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles- Including the cities of Kingston Springs, Clarksville, Linden, Springfield, Pulaski, Ashland City, Smyrna, Dover, Lobelville, McEwen, New Johnson Central, Hohenwald, Hendersonville, Lewisburg, Centerville, Mount Juliet, Franklin, Goodlettsville, Erin, Shelbyville, Gallatin, Dickson, Columbia, Nashville, Clifton, Waverly, Brentwood, Murfreesboro, Waynesboro, Lebanon, Lawrenceburg, La Vergne, and Tennessee Ridge 1151 AM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026 ...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...EXTREME HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MONDAY TO 8 PM CDT THURSDAY MAJORITY OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE WEST OF THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU. ... * WHAT...For the Heat Advisory, heat index values up to 106 expected. For the Extreme Heat Warning, dangerously hot conditions with afternoon heat index values up to 110 expected. Overnight lows will also remain warm only falling into the mid to upper 70s. * WHERE...A portion of Middle Tennessee. * WHEN...For the Heat Advisory, until 7 PM CDT this evening. For the Extreme Heat Warning, from 11 AM Monday to 8 PM CDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Heat related illnesses increase significantly during extreme heat and high humidity events. Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat illnesses. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Overnight lows will remain warm only falling into the mid to upper 70s, this will bring limited relief from the heat especially to those that do not have air conditioning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Take extra precautions when outside. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing. Try to limit strenuous activities to early morning or evening. Take action when you see symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat stroke.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Louisville KY 316 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026 KYZ023-026-061-070>072-291115- /O.NEW.KLMK.HT.Y.0002.260629T1600Z-260703T0100Z/ /O.CON.KLMK.HT.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-260629T0100Z/ Hancock-Ohio-Butler-Logan-Warren-Simpson- Including the cities of Hartford, Russellville, Franklin, Bowling Green, Hawesville, Morgantown, Lewisport, and Providence 316 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026 ...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MONDAY TO 8 PM CDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the first Heat Advisory, heat index values up to 106. For the second Heat Advisory, heat index values up to 107 expected. * WHERE...Hancock, Ohio, Butler, Logan, Simpson, and Warren Counties. * WHEN...For the first Heat Advisory, until 8 PM CDT this evening. For the second Heat Advisory, from 11 AM Monday to 8 PM CDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat illnesses. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. &&

The heat advisory area has been expanded. RGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Louisville KY 316 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026 INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ024-025-027>043-045>049-053>057- 062>067-073>078-081-082-291115- /O.NEW.KLMK.HT.Y.0002.260629T1600Z-260703T0100Z/ Orange-Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Dubois-Crawford-Perry- Harrison IN-Floyd-Clark IN-Breckinridge-Meade-Grayson-Hardin- Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-Scott KY- Harrison KY-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas- Nelson-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY-Larue-Marion-Boyle- Garrard-Madison-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Allen- Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland-Clinton- Including the cities of Corydon, Leitchfield, Hodgenville, La Grange, Campbellsville, Scottsville, Edmonton, Scottsburg, Richmond, Danville, Cynthiana, Winchester, Frankfort, Albany, Nicholasville, New Albany, Carlisle, Lebanon, Lancaster, Versailles, Jamestown, Lexington, New Castle, Columbia, Bardstown, Jasper, Paoli, Lawrenceburg, Bedford, Shelbyville, Georgetown, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Hardinsburg, Taylorsville, Stanford, Salem, Horse Cave, English, Madison, Shepherdsville, Paris, Elizabethtown, Brandenburg, Harrodsburg, Liberty, Jeffersonville, Milton, Brownsville, Greensburg, Burkesville, Tell City, Springfield, and Louisville 416 PM EDT Sun Jun 28 2026 /316 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026/ ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT /11 AM CDT/ MONDAY TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heat index values up to 107 expected. * WHERE...Portions of south central Indiana and east central, north central, and south central Kentucky. * WHEN...From noon EDT /11 AM CDT/ Monday to 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ Thursday. * IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat illnesses. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. &&

The area has been expanded a little bit. URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Louisville KY 247 AM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026 KYZ023-026-061-070>072-282100- /O.NEW.KLMK.HT.Y.0001.260628T1800Z-260629T0100Z/ Hancock-Ohio-Butler-Logan-Warren-Simpson- Including the cities of Hawesville, Bowling Green, Lewisport, Franklin, Hartford, Russellville, Morgantown, and Providence 247 AM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Heat index values up to 106 expected. * WHERE...Hancock, Ohio, Butler, Logan, Simpson, and Warren Counties. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 8 PM CDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat illnesses. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Paducah KY 1152 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-100- 107>112-114-281900- /O.CON.KPAH.HT.Y.0002.260628T1700Z-260629T0100Z/ /O.CON.KPAH.XH.A.0001.260629T1600Z-260703T0100Z/ Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-Muhlenberg- Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-Ripley- Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- Including the cities of Rockport, Madisonville, Murphysboro, Greenville, Cadiz, Charleston, Owensboro, Cape Girardeau, Harrisburg, Herrin, Dixon, Benton, New Madrid, Pinckneyville, Elizabethtown, Calhoun, Murray, Poplar Bluff, Mount Carmel, Marble Hill, Metropolis, Poseyville, Wickliffe, Carmi, Mount Vernon, McLeansboro, Albion, Clinton, Paducah, Morganfield, Vienna, Smithland, Perryville, Eddyville, Jackson, Hopkinsville, Carbondale, Jonesboro, Hickman, Bloomfield, Sikeston, Golconda, Piedmont, Boonville, Evansville, Fairfield, Marion, Princeton, Henderson, West Frankfort, Doniphan, Van Buren, Petersburg, Shawneetown, Bardwell, Elkton, Cairo, Mound City, Fort Branch, and Mayfield 1152 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026 /1252 AM EDT Sun Jun 28 2026/ ...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /1 PM EDT/ TO 8 PM CDT /9 PM EDT/ SUNDAY... ...EXTREME HEAT WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... * WHAT...For the Heat Advisory, heat index values up to 107 expected. For the Extreme Heat Watch, dangerously hot conditions with heat index values up to 111 possible. * WHERE...Portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. * WHEN...For the Heat Advisory, from noon CDT /1 PM EDT/ to 8 PM CDT /9 PM EDT/ Sunday. For the Extreme Heat Watch, from Monday morning through Thursday evening. * IMPACTS...Heat related illnesses increase significantly during extreme heat and high humidity events. Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat illnesses. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Paducah KY 1152 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-100- 107>112-114-281900- /O.CON.KPAH.HT.Y.0002.260628T1700Z-260629T0100Z/ /O.CON.KPAH.XH.A.0001.260629T1600Z-260703T0100Z/ Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-Muhlenberg- Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-Ripley- Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- Including the cities of Rockport, Madisonville, Murphysboro, Greenville, Cadiz, Charleston, Owensboro, Cape Girardeau, Harrisburg, Herrin, Dixon, Benton, New Madrid, Pinckneyville, Elizabethtown, Calhoun, Murray, Poplar Bluff, Mount Carmel, Marble Hill, Metropolis, Poseyville, Wickliffe, Carmi, Mount Vernon, McLeansboro, Albion, Clinton, Paducah, Morganfield, Vienna, Smithland, Perryville, Eddyville, Jackson, Hopkinsville, Carbondale, Jonesboro, Hickman, Bloomfield, Sikeston, Golconda, Piedmont, Boonville, Evansville, Fairfield, Marion, Princeton, Henderson, West Frankfort, Doniphan, Van Buren, Petersburg, Shawneetown, Bardwell, Elkton, Cairo, Mound City, Fort Branch, and Mayfield 1152 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026 /1252 AM EDT Sun Jun 28 2026/ ...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /1 PM EDT/ TO 8 PM CDT /9 PM EDT/ SUNDAY... ...EXTREME HEAT WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... * WHAT...For the Heat Advisory, heat index values up to 107 expected. For the Extreme Heat Watch, dangerously hot conditions with heat index values up to 111 possible. * WHERE...Portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. * WHEN...For the Heat Advisory, from noon CDT /1 PM EDT/ to 8 PM CDT /9 PM EDT/ Sunday. For the Extreme Heat Watch, from Monday morning through Thursday evening. * IMPACTS...Heat related illnesses increase significantly during extreme heat and high humidity events. Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat illnesses. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors.

I forgot about the 1982-83 year.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 403 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southern Illinois Western and Central Kentucky Far Southeast Missouri Northern Tennessee * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 1255 PM until 800 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Clusters of storms and potentially some supercells are expected within a very moist environment across the region this afternoon. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west southwest of Cape Girardeau MO to 45 miles east northeast of Nashville TN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes.

This could be the strongest El Niño in recorded history. Here is the summer outlook for Kentucky according to the Climate Prediction Center. The strongest years were '83-'84, '97-'98, and 2015-'16. With '97-'98 and 2015-'16 being the strongest. With El Niño now officially in place and expected to strengthen through the remainder of the year, Kentucky's summer weather will likely continue to feature a warm, humid pattern with frequent opportunities for thunderstorms. While El Niño typically has its greatest influence during fall and winter, it can still shape weather patterns during the second half of summer. Across Kentucky, temperatures are expected to average near to slightly above normal, with highs frequently reaching the upper 80s and lower 90s. Several periods of intense heat are likely, especially during July and August, when heat index values could climb above 100 degrees on the hottest afternoons. Rainfall is expected to be near to above average, thanks to a more active storm track across the Ohio Valley. Rather than prolonged drought, Kentucky should experience repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms that help keep vegetation green but also increase the risk of localized flash flooding. Thunderstorm activity is expected to remain above normal throughout the summer. Some storms could become severe, producing damaging wind gusts, large hail, frequent lightning, and torrential rainfall. The greatest severe weather threat will likely come from organized thunderstorm complexes moving in from the Midwest during the late afternoon and overnight hours. While tornadoes are always possible during the summer, the primary threats across Kentucky will be damaging straight-line winds, heavy rainfall, and dangerous lightning. Farmers and gardeners should benefit from the increased rainfall overall, though periods of excessive moisture may delay field work or stress crops in poorly drained areas. Summer Highlights Temperatures averaging near to slightly above normal. Several significant heat waves, especially in July and August. Near-to-above-normal rainfall across much of Kentucky. Frequent rounds of thunderstorms with the potential for damaging winds, hail, and localized flooding. Overall, a more active and stormy summer pattern than average, with humidity remaining high throughout the season. Bottom Line: Expect a classic Kentucky summer with plenty of heat and humidity, but also a more active thunderstorm pattern. While there will be stretches of hot, dry weather, they will likely be interrupted by periodic rounds of showers and storms, reducing the risk of widespread drought while increasing the potential for severe weather and heavy rainfall.

Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday

Scattered thunderstorms will become more common across Kentucky this afternoon and evening, and some could become severe. The highest risk is in northern and central Kentucky, especially near the Ohio River, where warm, humid air and stronger winds will make storms more likely. Some storms could turn into supercells that bring damaging wind gusts, large hail, or even an isolated tornado, especially from late afternoon into early evening. As storms merge into clusters, the main threat may become strong straight-line winds as they move east across the state. Not everyone will experience severe weather, but any storm that develops could intensify quickly. Kentuckians should remain weather-aware throughout the afternoon and evening, have multiple ways to receive warnings, and be prepared to move indoors if severe thunderstorms or tornado warnings are issued.

A cold front will move through the Ohio Valley today, bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms to Kentucky during the afternoon and evening. While most storms will remain below severe limits, a few could become strong as they move across the state. Cloud cover and only modest humidity will limit how unstable the atmosphere becomes, but strong winds aloft will still help storms organize. Because of this, the strongest storms may produce wind gusts of up to 60 mph and small hail. The better chance for more significant severe weather will stay north of Kentucky, mainly across Ohio, keeping the tornado threat across the Commonwealth very low. The primary concerns for Kentucky will be isolated damaging wind gusts, small hail, frequent lightning, and brief heavy downpours. Not everyone will see a storm, and many areas may stay dry. Overall, expect a typical summer day with scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms, with only a low risk that a few could briefly become severe before weakening later tonight.

This information is from the NOAA. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and researchers note that states like Mississippi, Alabama, Tennessee, and Kentucky now routinely experience more active and prolonged tornado seasons than parts of Oklahoma or Kansas

Kentucky is in Dixie Alley. Western and southern Kentucky. Tornado Alley is mostly in the Midwest and the plain states. I believe that tornadoes are becoming less concentrated in Tornado Alley. They are increasing in Dixie Alley.

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