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INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ073-074-077>082-088-161615- /O.NEW.KILN.WW.Y.0006.240216T1700Z-240217T0600Z/ Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton- Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Ross- Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto- Including the cities of Batesville, Milan, Versailles, Osgood, Bright, Lawrenceburg, Hidden Valley, Greendale, Aurora, Dillsboro, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport, Fort Thomas, Highland Heights, Bellevue, Dayton, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, Mount Olivet, Maysville, Tollesboro, Head Of Grassy, Camp Dix, Vanceburg, Chillicothe, Logan, Downtown Cincinnati, Milford, Summerside, Mount Carmel, Mount Repose, Withamsville, Mulberry, Day Heights, Georgetown, Mount Orab, Ripley, Aberdeen, Hillsboro, Greenfield, West Union, Manchester, Peebles, Seaman, Winchester, Waverly, Pike Lake, Piketon, Portsmouth, and Wheelersburg 308 AM EST Fri Feb 16 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Indiana, northeast and northern Kentucky and central, south central and southwest Ohio. * WHEN...From noon today to 1 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Additional information can be found at www.weather.gov/iln as well as on our Facebook and Twitter pages.

KYZ058-068-069-088-110>118-120-162200- /O.NEW.KJKL.WW.Y.0008.240216T2100Z-240217T0900Z/ Estill-Rockcastle-Jackson-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-Owsley- Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike- Including the cities of Irvine, Ravenna, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville, Cumberland, Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson 255 AM EST Fri Feb 16 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches with the highest amounts generally in the higher elevations and northern portions of the counties with lesser amounts elsewhere. * WHERE...Portions of east central, south central and southeast Kentucky. * WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A brief period of sleet will be possible as rain transitions to snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for Kentucky can be found by visiting https://goky.ky.gov.

INZ076>079-083-084-090>092-KYZ029>043-048-049-057-162000- /O.NEW.KLMK.WW.Y.0005.240216T1700Z-240217T0600Z/ Orange-Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Dubois-Crawford- Harrison IN-Floyd-Clark IN-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry- Shelby-Franklin-Scott KY-Harrison KY-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford- Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Jessamine-Clark KY-Madison- Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, Jasper, English, Corydon, New Albany, Jeffersonville, Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford, Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana, Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle, Nicholasville, Winchester, and Richmond 245 AM EST Fri Feb 16 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of between one and two inches. * WHERE...Portions of and south central Indiana and east central and north central Kentucky. * WHEN...From noon today to 1 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Indiana, for Indiana Road Conditions please visit http://pws.trafficwise.org In Kentucky, for Kentucky Road Conditions please visit http://goky.ky.gov

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>025-028>043-045>049-053>057- 161000- Orange-Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Dubois-Crawford-Perry- Harrison IN-Floyd-Clark IN-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Hardin- Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-Scott KY- Harrison KY-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas- Nelson-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY-Larue-Marion-Boyle- Garrard-Madison- Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, Jasper, English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany, Jeffersonville, Lewisport, Hawesville, Hardinsburg, Brandenburg, Elizabethtown, Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford, Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana, Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle, Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, Winchester, Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, and Richmond 412 PM EST Thu Feb 15 2024 /312 PM CST Thu Feb 15 2024/ ...SNOW WITH SLEET POSSIBLE FRIDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY NIGHT... Rain and light snow will begin to move into southern Indiana and north central Kentucky early Friday afternoon. The mix will continue eastward across central Kentucky throughout the afternoon and evening hours before coming to an end early Friday night. 0.5 to 1 inch of snow is possible along and north of Interstate 64. Periods of sleet will also be possible at times. The wintry precipitation could impact the evening rush hour. This remains a developing situation. Subsequent forecasts could lead to changes in the amounts and locations of the highest amounts. Freezing temperatures Friday night will cause any remaining untreated water to freeze.

I just received this from the National Weather Service-Louisville office.

It seems that this system is currently moving in a more southerly direction. Rain is expected to precede precipitation. The rain should change into snow as arctic air takes over. The amount of possible accumulation varies throughout the models. Some areas of the Cumberland Parkway to the south and east may have seen light freezing rain. According to the forecast, everything will begin on Friday afternoon or evening and end early on Sunday morning. Since this system will be moving quickly, regions that may get snow accumulations shouldn't expect more than 1-4 inches.

Another sign of the system taking a more southerly track. KYZ061>067-070>078-130000- /O.EXA.KLMK.WW.Y.0004.240213T0000Z-240213T1200Z/ Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Logan-Warren- Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell- Including the cities of Morgantown, Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty, Stanford, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin, Providence, Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, Columbia, and Jamestown 1056 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2024 /956 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ TUESDAY... * WHAT...Rain is expected to quickly change over to a brief period of wet snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Many areas within the advisory will see less than 1 inch of snowfall; however, localized amounts of 1 to 3 inches of snow are possible. * WHERE...Portions of south central Kentucky. * WHEN...From 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ Monday to 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...It is likely that a narrow band of heavy snow will develop with this system. At this time, it is very difficult to determine where this band may set up. This advisory highlights the areas at most risk for impactful snow and subsequent changes in the forecast may be required. Stay tuned for future forecast updates. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. For Kentucky Road Conditions please visit http://goky.ky.gov

The cancelation of the advisory for Cincinnati/NKY is a sign that the storm is taking a more southerly track.

The Winter Weather Advisory for Cincinnati/NKY has been canceled. INZ075-080-KYZ089>093-OHZ077-078-121615- /O.CAN.KILN.WW.Y.0005.240213T0000Z-240213T1200Z/ Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Hamilton- Clermont- Including the cities of Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport, Fort Thomas, Highland Heights, Bellevue, Dayton, Alexandria, Downtown Cincinnati, Milford, Summerside, Mount Carmel, Mount Repose, Withamsville, Mulberry, and Day Heights 1008 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Rain may mix with snow at times tonight but significant snow accumulations are no longer expected. Therefore, the Winter Weather Advisory has been canceled.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-122100- /O.NEW.KJKL.WW.Y.0007.240213T0200Z-240213T1400Z/ Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee- Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville, Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton, and Frenchburg 425 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...A small period of moderate to at times heavy wet snow is expected. The snow will peak late tonight and into the pre-dawn hours, before ending before daybreak. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches are forecast, with locally up to 3 inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of east central Kentucky. * WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 9 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions late tonight into early Tuesday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for Kentucky can be found by visiting https://goky.ky.gov.

KYZ061>067-070>078-081-082-122200- Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Logan-Warren- Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland- Clinton- Including the cities of Morgantown, Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty, Stanford, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin, Providence, Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown, Burkesville, and Albany 401 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2024 /301 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024/ ...RAIN TO CHANGE OVER TO WET SNOW TONIGHT... An area of low pressure is expected to move across northern Tennessee and into southeast Kentucky tonight. As the low moves into southeast Kentucky, colder air is expected wrap into the region behind the low. Rain is expected to change over to wet snow as this colder air pushes in. Initially, surface temperatures will start off well above freezing when the snow begins, but temperatures are expected to fall to near freezing overnight. Some minor snow accumulations will be possible with a non-zero chance of impactful snowfall. Slick road conditions could be possible Tuesday morning. If the track of this system continues trending southward in subsequent forecasts, higher snowfall accumulations may occur and a Winter Weather Advisory may be issued in later forecasts. Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and your local media for the latest on this winter weather situation.

I just received this from the National Weather Service-Louisville office.

Just posted it.

Without a doubt, the snow field that was there this morning has narrowed, and the track has moved south. The piling snow on both the north and south sides of the track will have a quick cutoff. Either the north or south side of the track may have dusting to 1"; generally speaking, 2-4" will be feasible.

Cincinnati/NKY has just been added. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wilmington OH 340 PM EST Sun Feb 11 2024 INZ075-080-KYZ089>099-OHZ077>079-120500- /O.NEW.KILN.WW.Y.0005.240213T0000Z-240213T1200Z/ Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen- Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown- Including the cities of Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport, Fort Thomas, Highland Heights, Bellevue, Dayton, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, Mount Olivet, Maysville, Downtown Cincinnati, Milford, Summerside, Mount Carmel, Mount Repose, Withamsville, Mulberry, Day Heights, Georgetown, Mount Orab, Ripley, and Aberdeen 340 PM EST Sun Feb 11 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Indiana, northern Kentucky and southwest Ohio. * WHEN...From 7 PM Monday to 7 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Additional information can be found at www.weather.gov/iln as well as on our Facebook and Twitter pages.

Here's a better map.

Ha Ha, I know how you feel. The 18z NAM now shows the snow going straight through southcentral and central Kentucky. This morning, it was showing snow along the Ohio River. I'm waiting for the 18z run of the GFS and ICON to be issued later today to see what it shows. They were both showing the heaviest snow north of Cincinnati. I am really interested to see what it shows. I want to see if it brings the snow back towards the south.

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-121000- /O.NEW.KLMK.WW.Y.0004.240213T0000Z-240213T1200Z/ Orange-Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Dubois-Crawford-Perry- Harrison IN-Floyd-Clark IN-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio- Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby- Franklin-Scott KY-Harrison KY-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette- Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY- Larue-Marion-Boyle-Garrard-Madison- Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, Jasper, English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany, Jeffersonville, Lewisport, Hawesville, Hardinsburg, Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield, Elizabethtown, Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford, Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana, Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle, Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, Winchester, Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, and Richmond 322 PM EST Sun Feb 11 2024 /222 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2024/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ MONDAY TO 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ TUESDAY... * WHAT...Rain is expected to quickly change over to wet snow Monday evening. The snow could be heavy at times and accumulations of up to 4 inches in some locations is possible. * WHERE...Portions of and south central Indiana and east central, north central, northwest and south central Kentucky. * WHEN...From 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ Monday to 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...It is likely that a narrow band of heavy snow will develop with this system. At this time, it is impossible to determine where this band may set up. This advisory highlights the areas of southern Indiana and central Kentucky at most risk for impactful snow and subsequent changes in the forecast may be required. Stay tuned for future forecast updates. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Indiana, for Indiana Road Conditions please visit http://pws.trafficwise.org In Kentucky, for Kentucky Road Conditions please visit http://goky.ky.gov

The heaviest snow accumulations have moved further north than yesterday, and there is a slight difference in the three models I am using this morning. The NAM is still coming in with the highest totals. This is the second call for possible snow accumulations. As I mentioned in my previous post, I expected the totals to lower slightly. In the Cincinnati/NKY area, I am now projecting 2-4"; there is a chance for 6-8" just north of Cincinnati.

This is just a preliminary outlook. It will change and probably go down. With possible snowfall rates of 1/2 to 1" per hour, it wouldn't take long to start to accumulate, even with the warm weather. The 06z run of the GFS has risen to the high end of my prediction, but don't take just one individual run to make predictions. They can change between runs.