UC has won 9 or more games in 12 of the past 16 years. Expectations for UC football should always be to make a bowl game and compete for the conference championship.
Given the circumstances of a new coaching staff, roster turnover, and conference transition, I think 6-6 would be a win for Satterfield in year 1.
The years UC didn't win 9 games:
2010- Year 1 of Butch Jones
4-8 followed by back to back 10 win seasons
2015-2017- Final two years of Tuberville (7-6 ; 4-8) and year 1 of Fickell (4-8).
Followed by a 4 year span of going 44-7.