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Survivor: South Pacific (Updates)

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I can see why Cochran flipped but to me his strongest ally in the game was Dawn and he burned that bridge. Cochran probably could have sniffed out who they were voting for or at least could have got it down to two people by feeding false information. This would have left Ozzy's tribe with a 50% chance that the idol would have worked. He keeps good graces within a "broken tribe"---already evidenced by the blindside vote of Ozzy's girlfriend---once Ozzy's tribe got good numbers he could have tried to play his game by dealing with a more fractured tribe. Now Cochran burned every bridge he had with them to become the 7th person on a 6 man tribe. Like Ozzy's tribe said, they had the upper hand but Cochran ditched all of that based on emotion. Poor move if you ask me.

 

Think about this...there is absolutely no way Cochran will win the game now. The only way he gets to the final three is with two of Coach's former tribe which means there are 6 people on the jury who will absolutely not vote for him.

 

 

P.S. Who thinks Ozzy's tribe would have been better off sending Cochran to Redemption and hoping Christine beats him out? I think they could have gotten Christine on board.

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I can see why Cochran flipped but to me his strongest ally in the game was Dawn and he burned that bridge. Cochran probably could have sniffed out who they were voting for or at least could have got it down to two people by feeding false information. This would have left Ozzy's tribe with a 50% chance that the idol would have worked. He keeps good graces within a "broken tribe"---already evidenced by the blindside vote of Ozzy's girlfriend---once Ozzy's tribe got good numbers he could have tried to play his game by dealing with a more fractured tribe. Now Cochran burned every bridge he had with them to become the 7th person on a 6 man tribe. Like Ozzy's tribe said, they had the upper hand but Cochran ditched all of that based on emotion. Poor move if you ask me.

 

Think about this...there is absolutely no way Cochran will win the game now. The only way he gets to the final three is with two of Coach's former tribe which means there are 6 people on the jury who will absolutely not vote for him.

 

 

P.S. Who thinks Ozzy's tribe would have been better off sending Cochran to Redemption and hoping Christine beats him out? I think they could have gotten Christine on board.

 

Bold is true, except his tribe immediately began calling him coward and who knows what will happen when they get back to camp. If it gets ugly, they will drive Dawn right back to wanting to align with Cochran over the rest of her tribe.

 

As to flipping, would you rather be the 6th man in a 6 man tribe with no leverage in the game, or the 7th man in a tribe that has control of the next few votes? I am not sure if flipping was the right move, but he guaranteed he would be safe for that night and not have to worry about pulling the wrong stone and he now knows he is likely safe for the next 4 votes. So I could see why he would make the move. He was on the outside looking in on his tribe.

  • Author
Bold is true, except his tribe immediately began calling him coward and who knows what will happen when they get back to camp. If it gets ugly, they will drive Dawn right back to wanting to align with Cochran over the rest of her tribe.

 

As to flipping, would you rather be the 6th man in a 6 man tribe with no leverage in the game, or the 7th man in a tribe that has control of the next few votes? I am not sure if flipping was the right move, but he guaranteed he would be safe for that night and not have to worry about pulling the wrong stone and he now knows he is likely safe for the next 4 votes. So I could see why he would make the move. He was on the outside looking in on his tribe.

There isn't much difference in staying around until 7 people or 6 people are left to me. I'm playing to win and I think this move was counter-productive towards that goal. Cochran was getting in good with Coach's tribe, he could have used that to try and fish out who they were voting for. With both Ozzy and Dawn having immunity they had a much better chance of playing their immunity idol correctly and then becoming a 6 man tribe with all of the control and Cochran keeps his best shot of winning alive. Hell, I think he could have talked Ozzy and Dawn into a final three pact pretty easily. Once final tribal comes he plays like he was the mastermind and I think he could have won against them.

All that's going to happen is the Coachites will act all nice to the geek and as soon as his other tribe members are gone vote him out.

 

I can't stand Cochran and haven't been able to since his whole I'm embarrassed to take my shirt off rant in the first episode. I hope they make his life miserable. We know Whitney called him scum to his face, I hope it gets worse and he gets airlifetd out with an massive anxiety attack. He over thought the game and shot himself in the foot just because he wanted to go down in survivor history for making a big move. He did that, he sealed the win for Coach or one of his mindless minions. Even if he gets to the finals, and I don't think that happens, he won't have enough jury votes to win.

There isn't much difference in staying around until 7 people or 6 people are left to me. I'm playing to win and I think this move was counter-productive towards that goal. Cochran was getting in good with Coach's tribe, he could have used that to try and fish out who they were voting for. With both Ozzy and Dawn having immunity they had a much better chance of playing their immunity idol correctly and then becoming a 6 man tribe with all of the control and Cochran keeps his best shot of winning alive. Hell, I think he could have talked Ozzy and Dawn into a final three pact pretty easily. Once final tribal comes he plays like he was the mastermind and I think he could have won against them.

 

What better way to get in good and win trust than to actually flip a vote? Is this the method to Cochran's madness? Coach's tribe didn't believe Ozzie's RI story and they clearly didn't trust Cochran. Will they trust him and share now that he has flipped a vote? That is what Cochran has to sell to his tribe and then he needs to play it very well if Coach's tribe begins to confide in him.

I can't stand Cochran and haven't been able to since his whole I'm embarrassed to take my shirt off rant in the first episode. I hope they make his life miserable. We know Whitney called him scum to his face, I hope it gets worse and he gets airlifetd out with an massive anxiety attack. He over thought the game and shot himself in the foot just because he wanted to go down in survivor history for making a big move. He did that, he sealed the win for Coach or one of his mindless minions. Even if he gets to the finals, and I don't think that happens, he won't have enough jury votes to win.

:thumb:

Cochran just keeps hanging in there and won't go away. Time for Darryl from Walking Dead to do his thing and take him out for good! :lol:

  • Author
What better way to get in good and win trust than to actually flip a vote? Is this the method to Cochran's madness? Coach's tribe didn't believe Ozzie's RI story and they clearly didn't trust Cochran. Will they trust him and share now that he has flipped a vote? That is what Cochran has to sell to his tribe and then he needs to play it very well if Coach's tribe begins to confide in him.
That's not a bad idea as something he can sell. After last night's reactions though I don't know how well it will work.

How can he expect them to trust him when he was so blatantly untrustworthy to the other tribe? The geek sealed his fate. He will be the last member of his tribe left but ultimately he will be on the jury voting for which Coachite gets the money.

 

Can't wait for the reunion show. I'll bet Jim has some kind things to say about the boy on live national TV.

Potential members of the Cochran alliance as the game moves on - Dawn, Edna (the Cochran of Coach's tribe, at the bottom of the pecking order), Brandon (kindred spirits and Brandon is unpredictable). As the game moves on and members of Coach's tribe start looking to the end game, someone else will be open to forming a new alliance to get them to the end.

^Zero chance that happens.

 

I'll just go ahead and predict it, Cochran will be one of the next 2 voted out.

  • Author
Potential members of the Cochran alliance as the game moves on - Dawn, Edna (the Cochran of Coach's tribe, at the bottom of the pecking order), Brandon (kindred spirits and Brandon is unpredictable). As the game moves on and members of Coach's tribe start looking to the end game, someone else will be open to forming a new alliance to get them to the end.
Edna and Brandon are FIRMLY on the Coach train. Hell, I actually think at this point in the game Coach plans on taking Brandon and Edna to the final three with him.
Edna and Brandon are FIRMLY on the Coach train. Hell, I actually think at this point in the game Coach plans on taking Brandon and Edna to the final three with him.

 

That would be a good move for Coach. What do you see as the pecking order in Coach's tribe? Who is going to be the first one in that tribe to go, etc.? As that time nears for Coach's tribe to start voting their own off, opportunity opens for Cochran or someone else to from their own alliance and blindside someone.

Didn't watch this week's episode until last night. While I don't think it was a good move at all for his game, I give Cochran credit for making it. Can't blame someone for getting tired of being pushed around and always told what to do. He definitely took control of his game last night, which is why its destined for the crapper now. I've watched every season of Survivor and too many people just worry about getting to the end. The true players are the ones who strategically plan who they put in the finals with them.

 

I really like Albert's chances to bring this home. He's eventually going to blindside someone at the right now. Might be a few weeks from now.

 

Anyone else think it was real funny how she was all about going with Cochran because she hated how he was treated, until she won that immunity, changes her tune and wants to stick it out with the "mean tribe"? Haha!

  • Author
That would be a good move for Coach. What do you see as the pecking order in Coach's tribe? Who is going to be the first one in that tribe to go, etc.? As that time nears for Coach's tribe to start voting their own off, opportunity opens for Cochran or someone else to from their own alliance and blindside someone.
I would say that Coach's pecking order is:

Coach

Brandon

Edna

Cowboy

Sophie

Albert

I just watched this week's episode last night. I like Seth Green and I hope he can find a way to survive but he never should have told them he flipped. He could have played that a whole lot better than he did and caused confusion and distrust in that tribe. Now, he is a dead man walking and as soon as Coach's tribe has no use for him he is done. If he makes it to the final 3 then he deserves to win.

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