Rounds 1 and 2: Higher Seed Hosts the first round matchup. Highest seed of the winners hosts the District Championship Game.

 

District 1:

1) Mayfield (4-0 RPI: 0.739) vs

4) Ft. Campbell (1-3 RPI: 0.397)

 

2) Caldwell County (3-1 RPI: 0.673) vs

3) Murray (2-2 RPI: 0.620)

 

Eliminated: Ballard Memorial 0-4

Tie-Breaker: None

 

District 2:

1) Owensboro Catholic (4-0 RPI: 0.689) vs

4) Todd County Central (1-3 RPI: 0.508)

 

2) McLean County (3-1 RPI: 0.543) vs

3) Hancock County (2-2 RPI: 0.437)

 

Eliminated: Butler County 0-4

Tie-Breaker: None

 

District 3:

1) Edmonson County (3-1 RPI: 0.414) vs

4) Green County (1-3 RPI: 0.338)

 

2) Monroe County (3-1 RPI: 0.474) vs

3) Clinton County (2-2 RPI: 0.459)

 

Eliminated: Metcalfe County 1-3

Tie-Breakers: Edmonson defeated Monroe County head to head. Green County defeated Metcalfe County head to head.

 

District 4:

1) Lexington Christian (3-0 RPI: 0.773) vs

4) Washington County (0-3 RPI: 0.567)

 

2) Somerset (2-1 RPI: 0.741) vs

3) Danville (1-2 RPI: 0.557)

 

Eliminated: None

Tie-Breaker: None

 

District 5:

1) Walton-Verona (4-0 RPI: 0.551) vs

4) Gallatin County (1-3 RPI: 0.305)

 

2) Carroll County (3-1 RPI: 0.482) vs

3) Owen County (2-2 RPI: 0.396)

 

Eliminated: Shawnee 0-4

Tie-Breakers: None

 

District 6:

1) Beechwood (3-0 RPI: 0.655) vs

4) Holy Cross (0-3 RPI: 0.441)

 

2) Lloyd Memorial (2-1 RPI: 0.635) vs

3) Newport (1-2 RPI: 0.591)

 

Eliminated: None

Tie-Breaker: None

 

District 7:

1) Breathitt County (4-0 RPI: 0.654) vs

4) Knott County Central (1-3 RPI: 0.391)

 

2) Middlesboro (3-1 RPI: 0.597) vs

3) Leslie County (2-2 RPI: 0.510)

 

Eliminated: Morgan County 0-4

Tie-Breakers: None

 

District 8:

1) West Carter (5-0 RPI: 0.592) vs

4) Bath County (2-3 RPI: 0.435)

 

2) Shelby Valley (4-1 RPI: 0.607) vs

3) Martin County (3-2 RPI: 0.536)

 

Eliminated: Prestonsburg 1-4 and East Ridge 0-5

Tie-Breakers: None

 

 

Round 3: Winners of Districts 1, 2, 3, and 4 are seeded by RPI value (RPI will change pending on last regular season games). Highest RPI will host Lowest RPI

Next Highest RPI will host Next Lowest RPI

 

Winners of Districts 5, 6, 7, and 8 are seeded by RPI value (RPI will change pending on last regular season games). Highest RPI will host Lowest RPI

Next Highest RPI will host Next Lowest RPI

 

 

Round 4: Winners of Round 3 will be paired by RPI value (RPI will change pending on the last regular season games).

Highest RPI will host Lowest RPI

Next Highest RPI will host Next Lowest RPI

 

 

State Championship Game: Winners of the Round 4 matchup will play and the winner of that game is the 2A State Champion!

Edited October 26, 20196 yr by BWTigers

Rounds 1 and 2: Higher Seed Hosts the first round matchup. Highest seed of the winners hosts the District Championship Game.

 

District 1:

1) Mayfield (4-0 RPI: 0.739) vs

4) Ft. Campbell (1-3 RPI: 0.397)

 

2) Caldwell County (3-1 RPI: 0.673) vs

3) Murray (2-2 RPI: 0.620)

 

Eliminated: Ballard Memorial 0-4

Tie-Breaker: None

 

District 2:

1) Owensboro Catholic (4-0 RPI: 0.689) vs

4) Todd County Central (1-3 RPI: 0.508)

 

2) McLean County (3-1 RPI: 0.543) vs

3) Hancock County (2-2 RPI: 0.437)

 

Eliminated: Butler County 0-4

Tie-Breaker: None

 

District 3:

1) Edmonson County (3-1 RPI: 0.414) vs

4) Green County (1-3 RPI: 0.338)

 

2) Monroe County (3-1 RPI: 0.474) vs

3) Clinton County (2-2 RPI: 0.459)

 

Eliminated: Metcalfe County 1-3

Tie-Breakers: Edmonson defeated Monroe County head to head. Green County defeated Metcalfe County head to head.

 

District 4:

1) Lexington Christian (3-0 RPI: 0.773) vs

4) Washington County (0-4 RPI: 0.567)

 

2) Somerset (2-2 RPI: 0.741) vs

3) Danville (1-3 RPI: 0.557)

 

Eliminated: None

Tie-Breaker: None

 

District 5:

1) Walton-Verona (4-0 RPI: 0.551) vs

4) Gallatin County (1-3 RPI: 0.305)

 

2) Carroll County (3-1 RPI: 0.482) vs

3) Owen County (2-2 RPI: 0.396)

 

Eliminated: Shawnee 0-4

Tie-Breakers: None

 

District 6:

1) Beechwood (3-0 RPI: 0.655) vs

4) Holy Cross (0-3 RPI: 0.441)

 

2) Lloyd Memorial (2-1 RPI: 0.635) vs

3) Newport (1-2 RPI: 0.591)

 

Eliminated: None

Tie-Breaker: None

 

District 7:

1) Breathitt County (4-0 RPI: 0.654) vs

4) Knott County Central (1-3 RPI: 0.391)

 

2) Middlesboro (3-1 RPI: 0.597) vs

3) Leslie County (2-2 RPI: 0.510)

 

Eliminated: Morgan County 0-4

Tie-Breakers: None

 

District 8:

1) West Carter (5-0 RPI: 0.592) vs

4) Bath County (2-3 RPI: 0.435)

 

2) Shelby County (4-1 RPI: 0.607) vs

3) Martin County (3-2 RPI: 0.536)

 

Eliminated: Prestonsburg 1-4 and East Ridge 0-5

Tie-Breakers: None

 

 

Round 3: Winners of Districts 1, 2, 3, and 4 are seeded by RPI value (RPI will change pending on last regular season games). Highest RPI will host Lowest RPI

Next Highest RPI will host Next Lowest RPI

 

Winners of Districts 5, 6, 7, and 8 are seeded by RPI value (RPI will change pending on last regular season games). Highest RPI will host Lowest RPI

Next Highest RPI will host Next Lowest RPI

 

 

Round 4: Winners of Round 3 will be paired by RPI value (RPI will change pending on the last regular season games).

Highest RPI will host Lowest RPI

Next Highest RPI will host Next Lowest RPI

 

 

State Championship Game: Winners of the Round 4 matchup will play and the winner of that game is the 2A State Champion!

 

Looks good one thing is:

 

District 8 #2 should be Shelby Valley instead of Shelby Co.

Edited October 26, 20196 yr by 16thBBall Fan

Looks one thing is:

 

District 8 #2 should be Shelby Valley instead of Shelby Co.

 

Change made thanks for noticing to many County teams in 2A lol.

Beechwood now ahead of Breathitt County in RPI. That certainly could could change this Friday. If both win it will be interesting to see the RPI impact.

Beechwood now ahead of Breathitt County in RPI. That certainly could could change this Friday. If both win it will be interesting to see the RPI impact.

 

I just can't see Beechwood losing or being challenged too much by NCC (7-2). Breathitt - on the other hand - could have their hands full with AAA Pike County Central (7-2).

 

My guess is - barring something unforeseen - Beechwood ends up just slightly ahead of Breathitt in final RPI standings. Unfortunately, for the Ft. Mitchell faithful, based on eventual possible fourth round playoff matchups, the preferred slot would be Breathitt ahead of Beechwood.

 

Again, all of this is speculative until the games are played, but it looks like the higher of Beechwood/Breathitt will be taking the trip to a red-hot Mayfield in week four.

I just can't see Beechwood losing or being challenged too much by NCC (7-2). Breathitt - on the other hand - could have their hands full with AAA Pike County Central (7-2).

 

My guess is - barring something unforeseen - Beechwood ends up just slightly ahead of Breathitt in final RPI standings. Unfortunately, for the Ft. Mitchell faithful, based on eventual possible fourth round playoff matchups, the preferred slot would be Breathitt ahead of Beechwood.

 

Again, all of this is speculative until the games are played, but it looks like the higher of Beechwood/Breathitt will be taking the trip to a red-hot Mayfield in week four.

 

Breathitt County will have about as much trouble with Pike County Central as Beechwood had with Lloyd and Newport. I think Beechwood has more of a challenge this Friday than Breathitt County.

 

That said, I expect both to win and that will make the RPI impact very interesting. Breathitt will get a win over a 3A 7 win team and Beechwood will get a win over a 7 win 2A team. Will Beechwood get enough residual points from their opponents and opponents opponents wins to hold off Breathitt County?

Something to keep an eye on: Mayfield jumping Somerset in RPI. Somerset could very well beat LCA in rematch and if Mayfield jumps them then they would be #1 out West.

Something to keep an eye on: Mayfield jumping Somerset in RPI. Somerset could very well beat LCA in rematch and if Mayfield jumps them then they would be #1 out West.

 

RPI locks at the end of the regular season and Somerset/LCA won't match up until week two of the playoffs.

 

The only possiblity of Mayfield moving up to #1 - unless I'm missing something - is if LexChristian (Paintsville) and Somerset (Corbin) lose their final regular season matchups as Mayfield will likely defeat Madisonville-North Hopkins in their final game.

RPI locks at the end of the regular season and Somerset/LCA won't match up until week two of the playoffs.

 

The only possiblity of Mayfield moving up to #1 - unless I'm missing something - is if LexChristian (Paintsville) and Somerset (Corbin) lose their final regular season matchups as Mayfield will likely defeat Madisonville-North Hopkins in their final game.

 

I was implying that if Mayfield jumps Somerset with win over Madisonville and then Somerset turns around and beats LCA in Rd 2, that Mayfield would be #1 on West side for Round 3.

I was implying that if Mayfield jumps Somerset with win over Madisonville and then Somerset turns around and beats LCA in Rd 2, that Mayfield would be #1 on West side for Round 3.

 

RPI locks at the end of the regular season. So extrapolating, unless LexChristian loses next week to Paintsville, they're going to be the #1 no matter what happens with Mayfield/Somerset next week.

 

The RPI isn't reconfigured after each round. It stops being calculated completely after the final regular season games.

RPI locks at the end of the regular season. So extrapolating, unless LexChristian loses next week to Paintsville, they're going to be the #1 no matter what happens with Mayfield/Somerset next week.

 

The RPI isn't reconfigured after each round. It stops being calculated completely after the final regular season games.

 

Correct. But RPI doesn't come into play until Round 3. If Mayfield jumps Somerset after win against Madisonville then if Somerset was to beat LCA in Round 2, then in Round 3 Mayfield would have best RPI left.

Correct. But RPI doesn't come into play until Round 3. If Mayfield jumps Somerset after win against Madisonville then if Somerset was to beat LCA in Round 2, then in Round 3 Mayfield would have best RPI left.

 

At that point then, I guess it depends on whether or not we think Mayfield winning and Somerset winning (which both will do) would move the needle. I don't think it will. MNH is not that far ahead of Corbin in the RPI and Somerset is above Mayfield.

 

Gonna be interesting to see. Thanks for the dialogue. Informative for sure.

Beechwood now ahead of Breathitt County in RPI. That certainly could could change this Friday. If both win it will be interesting to see the RPI impact.

Looks to me like BW cannot beat Breathitt which is playing 3A Pike Co. Central (9-0) if Breathitt wins. BW is playing a strong traditional foe NCC (7-2), unfortunately a reclassed 1A. Our only chance is Breathitt loses and Tigers win. Both Caldwell Co. and Owensboro Catholic ahead of BW are playing up also. The playing up/down multipliers are just too great to overcome if both win.

Sounds like barring some crazy changes in the RPI, Mayfield will be at home in round 4 if they keep winning regardless of next weeks outcome with Madisonville?

Looks to me like BW cannot beat Breathitt which is playing 3A Pike Co. Central (9-0) if Breathitt wins. BW is playing a strong traditional foe NCC (7-2), unfortunately a reclassed 1A. Our only chance is Breathitt loses and Tigers win. Both Caldwell Co. and Owensboro Catholic ahead of BW are playing up also. The playing up/down multipliers are just too great to overcome if both win.

 

Probably a typo, but Pike County Central is 7-2, not 9-0. Let's see if we can predict Beechwood and Breathitt County.

 

If one wins and the other loses, then whoever wins should finish ahead of the other.

 

If both lose, Breathitt's chances of passing Beechwood are better than if both win.

 

Factor 1 = Winning Percentage (WP)

 

Beechwood currently 0.675; NCC win value 0.8698; Final WP = 0.695

 

Breathitt currently 1.081; PCC win value 1.1499; Final WP = 1.088

 

Beechwood actually gains more points in WP by beating NCC. That doesn't sound like it should be right but I double checked my numbers. I think I am right. The reason is Beechwood only has 5 wins and that win value from beating NCC has a bigger impact on their WP than the win value Breathitt gets from beating PCC.

 

Beechwood gets a 0.1948 boost to their WP value which raises their WP by 0.02.

 

Breathitt gets a 0.0689 boost to their WP value which raises their WP by 0.007.

 

End result if both win is Beechwood's win increase their WP by 0.013 more than Breathitt's.

 

Factor 2 - Opponents WP (OWP)

 

This is too difficult to calculate. The one thing we can look at is will each teams opponents get a win.

 

Two of Breathitt's opponents are OPEN this week so no point gains there. Two of Breathitt's opponents are playing each other, so no points gain from one of them. Looking at the rest of Breathitt's opponents. The other 4 opponents all have games that are tossups.

 

Two of Beechwood's opponents are OPEN this week also - no points. Two of Beechwoods' opponents play each other so no points from one. The other 4 opponents all have tossup games. So this all looks very similar to Breathitt and makes it impossible to predict RPI impact. Breathitt's OWP is so low though that every win by one of their opponents will have a much bigger boost to their RPI than wins by Beechwood opponents. We will give Breathitt an advantage in this category.

 

Factor 3 - Opponents Opponents WP (OOWP)

 

I am not even going to attempt to predict this. All I will say here Beechwood's opponents are playing better opponents than Breathitt's. That gives Beechwood the advantage here.

 

Conclusion

 

If both win, I don't think there is much chance at all for Breathitt to overtake Beechwood. The only hope for Breathitt is all of Beechwood's opponents lose this week and all of Breathitt's win. Then Breathitt might get enough of a boost in OWP to outweigh the boost Beechwood will get in WP and OOWP.

 

Are we having fun? Is all this RPI stuff good or bad?

Edited October 26, 20196 yr by Voice of Reason