February 12, 20197 yr The National Champion will be a team that is top 20 in both offensive and defensive efficiency. That being said the National Champion will come from the below group: Duke Gonzaga Virginia Kentucky Michigan State Virginia Tech Agree? Anyone not listed have a shot?
February 12, 20197 yr Author Add Tennessee to that list and I'd say you're safe betting that group. They're #3 in offensive efficiency, but #40 in defensive. Was a little surprised to see how low they were on defense. The only outlier going back all the way to 2002 was the 2014 UConn team. They were #10 defensively, but #39 offensively.
February 12, 20197 yr Author 3 teams just on the outskirts of top 20 in both are Louisville, North Carolina, and Kansas.
February 12, 20197 yr The National Champion will be a team that is top 20 in both offensive and defensive efficiency. That being said the National Champion will come from the below group: Duke Gonzaga Virginia Kentucky Michigan State Virginia Tech Agree? Anyone not listed have a shot? That list looks short this year. How many teams are there usually on the list? Also, the list can keep changing, right?
February 12, 20197 yr Author That list looks short this year. How many teams are there usually on the list? Also, the list can keep changing, right? It can. Probably only teams that could join are Louisville, Kansas, UNC, and maybe Michigan and Tennessee, but they are probably long shots IMO.
February 12, 20197 yr I’ll take “history”. My sense is there are a lot of good teams this season. However, this year, none will top the short list of REALLY good teams as National Champ.
February 18, 20197 yr Author Updated as of this morning.... Duke Virginia North Carolina Michigan State Kentucky Louisville Maryland & Gonzaga are right on the cusp of joining the list.
February 18, 20197 yr Updated as of this morning.... Duke Virginia North Carolina Michigan State Kentucky Louisville Maryland & Gonzaga are right on the cusp of joining the list. Louisville will have played everyone on that list. Seven games (at least) to be exact. Tough sledding.
February 18, 20197 yr That near-disaster of a game on Saturday pushed Louisville into the top 20 defensively. There's comedy in that, somewhere.
March 11, 20197 yr According to last year's thread on this 20 of the last 21 years the national champ has been top 30 in offensive and defensive efficiency (according to Kenpom ratings). As of today that is a pretty big list unless I'm not reading the rankings right. Michigan Virginia Duke Kentucky Michigan St. UNC Houston Gonzaga Louisville Maryland Tennessee Purdue Nevada
March 11, 20197 yr The only outlier going back all the way to 2002 was the 2014 UConn team. They were #10 defensively, but #39 offensively. Most of that tournament seemed like an outlier. What about 2011 UConn?
March 11, 20197 yr According to last year's thread on this 20 of the last 21 years the national champ has been top 30 in offensive and defensive efficiency (according to Kenpom ratings). As of today that is a pretty big list unless I'm not reading the rankings right. Michigan Virginia Duke Kentucky Michigan St. UNC Houston Gonzaga Louisville Maryland Tennessee Purdue Nevada This article (What does Kenpom tell us about Past Champions? - VU Hoops) suggests it is Top 20.
March 11, 20197 yr Most of that tournament seemed like an outlier. What about 2011 UConn? The article I shared above says 2011 UConn was 19 O and 15 D, so Top 20 in both.
March 11, 20197 yr The article I shared above says 2011 UConn was 19 O and 15 D, so Top 20 in both. Thanks. :thumb:
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