April 4, 20179 yr I'm issuing a Severe Weather Alert for Wednesday 4/5/17 for strong to severe storms. Timing is in the afternoon into the evening hours. Got some good information from this afternoon's conference call with the NWS-Louisville office. Scattered thunderstorms are likely to develop Wednesday afternoon west of I-65. Confidence is increasing for the potential for severe weather. The main threats look to be damaging winds, large hail, and a few tornadoes. The chance for hail is in the high category. The potential for golf ball size hail and above. The area with the best chance for tornadoes look to be along and east of I-65. This situation is more serious than the one last week. It is along the same lines as the one around March 1st. It was also mentioned that parts of Kentucky should see some sunshine and that people should allow that a reason to lower your guard. Any cloud cover could limit the severe potential in that area. It was also mentioned that the April 3,1974 and the outbreak in 2012 started out as sunny days. Not let me say this. This DOES NOT MEAN, that we will see anything like those two events just that the setup will be similar. The Storm Prediction Center has moved the Enhanced Risk Area line a little further west than this morning. Also the SPC may move the Moderate Risk Area closer if not into Kentucky tomorrow. I will update more in the morning. Everyone should be going over their Emergency Action Plan today in case the severe weather comes to fruition.
April 4, 20179 yr I'm in Pigeon Forge with limited WiFi...what am I looking at tomorrow and what time? Appreciate any info you can pass on.
April 5, 20179 yr Author I'm in Pigeon Forge with limited WiFi...what am I looking at tomorrow and what time? Appreciate any info you can pass on. Look for the storms to start around the 1-2 pm EDT time period. The possible storms could form and go severe rather rapidly so be alert. The Pigeon Forge area is in a Enhanced Risk Area for strong to severe storms.
April 5, 20179 yr Author The Storm Prediction has moved the Moderate Risk Area into parts of Kentucky. This area is from just west of Bowling Green up to around Elizabethtown and then bordered on the east between Russel Springs and Somerset. An outbreak of severe thunderstorms is likely this afternoon. These will include supercell development with a risk for tornadoes, some of which will be strong and long-lived. Large to very large hail and damaging straight-line winds also appear likely. Let me say that everyone may not see these storms for it looks like there maybe only about 30% coverage as discussed in yesterday's conference call. That is indeed what the HRRR radar is showing. This morning that radar is showing the main areas seeing these storms will be just west of I-65 eastward. I would not be surprised to see the Moderate Risk area move to around the I-75 corridor later today. I'm seeing these storms firing up rather rapidly after 3 pm EDT. Everyone should be weather aware later today. Go over you emergency action plan this morning before the storms hit. I will post on here when I can. Follow our twitter feed for rapid updates and any warning being issued. Here are some maps to show everyone what I've looked at this morning.
April 5, 20179 yr Look for the storms to start around the 1-2 pm EDT time period. The possible storms could form and go severe rather rapidly so be alert. The Pigeon Forge area is in a Enhanced Risk Area for strong to severe storms. Thanks nWo
April 5, 20179 yr I am flying out of Cincy to Tampa at 4:00PM. It's gonna be close it looks like for beating the chance of delays.
April 5, 20179 yr Author Another conference call is scheduled for 11:30 am EDT this morning. I will post an update afterwards. Thunderstorm outlook for later today. 12-4 pm EDT 4-8 pm EDT 8-12 am EDT
April 5, 20179 yr On the ongoing NWS call, they are saying on a scale of 1-10, this event could be an 8. More sunshine means more warmth, low 80s are possible for some. Up to tennis ball sized hail is possible. NWS saws there WILL be a couple tornadoes with the rotating super cells in the area. Everyone needs to be alert this evening.
April 5, 20179 yr Well I guess I'm a little late. Sorry. :lol2: I was just following along on twitter so I posted what I saw real quick. Trying to lighten your load.
April 5, 20179 yr On the ongoing NWS call, they are saying on a scale of 1-10, this event could be an 8. More sunshine means more warmth, low 80s are possible for some. Up to tennis ball sized hail is possible. NWS saws there WILL be a couple tornadoes with the rotating super cells in the area. Everyone needs to be alert this evening. Stay in your lane! lol
April 5, 20179 yr Stay in your lane! lol "You're out of your element Donnie!" :lol2: I'm definitely not out of my element.
April 5, 20179 yr Some voice just came over my phone and advised there is a tornado watch. I guess it was nWo's voice. He sounded a bit tense.
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