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Here's my prediction from yesterday. As of now I'm staying with the forecast totals. I'll make my final call this evening.

 

4-6"

Owensboro

Louisville

Jeffersonville

Ft Knox

Williamstown

Falmouth

Cincinnati

 

2-4"

 

Murray

Paducah

Madisonville

Hopkinsville

Elizabethtown

Nicholasville

Frankfort

Lexington

Paris

Flemingsburg

Maysville

 

1-2"

 

Fort Campbell

Russellville

Bowling Green

Campbellsville

Berea

Richmond

Winchester

Stanton

Mt. Sterling

Morehead

Ashland

 

Most of Southeast Kentucky is looking at a dusting to around 1"

 

Areas along the I-75 Corridor from the Tennessee state line to around Richmond have a small chance to see some freezing rain or sleet. This area is bordered on the west by Columbia and goes to the northeast to around Somerset and Mt. Vernon.

Posted
Temps are supposed to be in the 40's today and low

s tonight above freezing, how is this not going to be all rain? Just wondering

 

Do you not read all of my posts? I've said there is a chance of freezing rain in some areas of Kentucky. The rain will change over to snow. That is why some parts of the state won't see much snow.

Posted

Always been curious......are the predictions required to be in 2 inch increments? Industry standard.........would find it funny for someone to officially report "we will be getting between 2 and 2 .467 inches "

 

Sorry...I digress......thx NWO

Posted
Always been curious......are the predictions required to be in 2 inch increments? Industry standard.........would find it funny for someone to officially report "we will be getting between 2 and 2 .467 inches "

 

Sorry...I digress......thx NWO

 

I don't know about industry standards. But I base mine on percentage chance of snow. For instance. In the area where I predicted 4-6" they are:

 

1" 90-95%

2" 80-90%

 

It goes from 2"-4" in what I use

 

4" 50-60%

6" 20-30%

 

Now some areas are have a chance to see 8" but that chance is 10-20%. So you can see it is a good chance that the area I'm talking about will see 4". Now the chance start to diminish on anything above that amount. But there is a chance to get more than 4". Since there is no percentage for 5" I go to the next amount 6". There is a slight chance to see 6" but it is low.

 

Now I can do like some do and give a wide range but I try to be more precise. And I want to emphasize I'm not a registered meteorologist. I just do this as a hobby.

Posted
Here's my prediction from yesterday. As of now I'm staying with the forecast totals. I'll make my final call this evening.

 

4-6"

Owensboro

Louisville

Jeffersonville

Ft Knox

Williamstown

Falmouth

Cincinnati

 

2-4"

 

Murray

Paducah

Madisonville

Hopkinsville

Elizabethtown

Nicholasville

Frankfort

Lexington

Paris

Flemingsburg

Maysville

 

1-2"

 

Fort Campbell

Russellville

Bowling Green

Campbellsville

Berea

Richmond

Winchester

Stanton

Mt. Sterling

Morehead

Ashland

 

Most of Southeast Kentucky is looking at a dusting to around 1"

 

Areas along the I-75 Corridor from the Tennessee state line to around Richmond have a small chance to see some freezing rain or sleet. This area is bordered on the west by Columbia and goes to the northeast to around Somerset and Mt. Vernon.

 

I assume Georgetown is in the 2-4 area. son traveling to Toyota for work in the morning and am concerned.

Posted

Last year was a bad winter with extreme cold weather and snow. However, we in eastern Kentucky didn't get the amounts of snow that the rest of the state received. Maybe that trend is going to be similar this year.

I want to add, though, that in the hills of east Kentucky that one inch of snow with an extended cold weather pattern will still close schools for several days. It doesn't take much accumulations in the hills and hollows to cause major headaches.

Posted
Do you not read all of my posts? I've said there is a chance of freezing rain in some areas of Kentucky. The rain will change over to snow. That is why some parts of the state won't see much snow.

 

I only posted because the title of the the thread was winter storm warning for NKY. I live in Mason/Bracken and it is 45 here right now, we don't get Northern Kentucky weather and we don't get Lexington weather, just wondering what to expect,probably a tornado,lol.

Posted
I don't know about industry standards. But I base mine on percentage chance of snow. For instance. In the area where I predicted 4-6" they are:

 

1" 90-95%

2" 80-90%

 

It goes from 2"-4" in what I use

 

4" 50-60%

6" 20-30%

 

Now some areas are have a chance to see 8" but that chance is 10-20%. So you can see it is a good chance that the area I'm talking about will see 4". Now the chance start to diminish on anything above that amount. But there is a chance to get more than 4". Since there is no percentage for 5" I go to the next amount 6". There is a slight chance to see 6" but it is low.

 

Now I can do like some do and give a wide range but I try to be more precise. And I want to emphasize I'm not a registered meteorologist. I just do this as a hobby.

 

Believing in this guys predictions.....keep up the good work nWo and thank you for your time and effort. Be safe folks, slow your roll, and drive defensively...could be an interesting morning rush statewide!

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