November 16, 201411 yr A winter storm warning has just been issued for northern KY. I post more later.
November 16, 201411 yr Author Here's my prediction from yesterday. As of now I'm staying with the forecast totals. I'll make my final call this evening. 4-6" Owensboro Louisville Jeffersonville Ft Knox Williamstown Falmouth Cincinnati 2-4" Murray Paducah Madisonville Hopkinsville Elizabethtown Nicholasville Frankfort Lexington Paris Flemingsburg Maysville 1-2" Fort Campbell Russellville Bowling Green Campbellsville Berea Richmond Winchester Stanton Mt. Sterling Morehead Ashland Most of Southeast Kentucky is looking at a dusting to around 1" Areas along the I-75 Corridor from the Tennessee state line to around Richmond have a small chance to see some freezing rain or sleet. This area is bordered on the west by Columbia and goes to the northeast to around Somerset and Mt. Vernon.
November 16, 201411 yr Temps are supposed to be in the 40's today and low s tonight above freezing, how is this not going to be all rain? Just wondering
November 16, 201411 yr Author Temps are supposed to be in the 40's today and low s tonight above freezing, how is this not going to be all rain? Just wondering Do you not read all of my posts? I've said there is a chance of freezing rain in some areas of Kentucky. The rain will change over to snow. That is why some parts of the state won't see much snow.
November 16, 201411 yr Always been curious......are the predictions required to be in 2 inch increments? Industry standard.........would find it funny for someone to officially report "we will be getting between 2 and 2 .467 inches " Sorry...I digress......thx NWO
November 16, 201411 yr Author Always been curious......are the predictions required to be in 2 inch increments? Industry standard.........would find it funny for someone to officially report "we will be getting between 2 and 2 .467 inches " Sorry...I digress......thx NWO I don't know about industry standards. But I base mine on percentage chance of snow. For instance. In the area where I predicted 4-6" they are: 1" 90-95% 2" 80-90% It goes from 2"-4" in what I use 4" 50-60% 6" 20-30% Now some areas are have a chance to see 8" but that chance is 10-20%. So you can see it is a good chance that the area I'm talking about will see 4". Now the chance start to diminish on anything above that amount. But there is a chance to get more than 4". Since there is no percentage for 5" I go to the next amount 6". There is a slight chance to see 6" but it is low. Now I can do like some do and give a wide range but I try to be more precise. And I want to emphasize I'm not a registered meteorologist. I just do this as a hobby.
November 16, 201411 yr Looks like some schools in CKY/NKY will be closed if this holds true. This means I will have some grandkiddos. I guess I better get prepared.
November 16, 201411 yr Here's my prediction from yesterday. As of now I'm staying with the forecast totals. I'll make my final call this evening. 4-6" Owensboro Louisville Jeffersonville Ft Knox Williamstown Falmouth Cincinnati 2-4" Murray Paducah Madisonville Hopkinsville Elizabethtown Nicholasville Frankfort Lexington Paris Flemingsburg Maysville 1-2" Fort Campbell Russellville Bowling Green Campbellsville Berea Richmond Winchester Stanton Mt. Sterling Morehead Ashland Most of Southeast Kentucky is looking at a dusting to around 1" Areas along the I-75 Corridor from the Tennessee state line to around Richmond have a small chance to see some freezing rain or sleet. This area is bordered on the west by Columbia and goes to the northeast to around Somerset and Mt. Vernon. I assume Georgetown is in the 2-4 area. son traveling to Toyota for work in the morning and am concerned.
November 16, 201411 yr Last year was a bad winter with extreme cold weather and snow. However, we in eastern Kentucky didn't get the amounts of snow that the rest of the state received. Maybe that trend is going to be similar this year. I want to add, though, that in the hills of east Kentucky that one inch of snow with an extended cold weather pattern will still close schools for several days. It doesn't take much accumulations in the hills and hollows to cause major headaches.
November 16, 201411 yr Do you not read all of my posts? I've said there is a chance of freezing rain in some areas of Kentucky. The rain will change over to snow. That is why some parts of the state won't see much snow. I only posted because the title of the the thread was winter storm warning for NKY. I live in Mason/Bracken and it is 45 here right now, we don't get Northern Kentucky weather and we don't get Lexington weather, just wondering what to expect,probably a tornado,lol.
November 16, 201411 yr I don't know about industry standards. But I base mine on percentage chance of snow. For instance. In the area where I predicted 4-6" they are: 1" 90-95% 2" 80-90% It goes from 2"-4" in what I use 4" 50-60% 6" 20-30% Now some areas are have a chance to see 8" but that chance is 10-20%. So you can see it is a good chance that the area I'm talking about will see 4". Now the chance start to diminish on anything above that amount. But there is a chance to get more than 4". Since there is no percentage for 5" I go to the next amount 6". There is a slight chance to see 6" but it is low. Now I can do like some do and give a wide range but I try to be more precise. And I want to emphasize I'm not a registered meteorologist. I just do this as a hobby. Believing in this guys predictions.....keep up the good work nWo and thank you for your time and effort. Be safe folks, slow your roll, and drive defensively...could be an interesting morning rush statewide!
November 16, 201411 yr Let it snow, I have a PTO day tomorrow. ......just another day of an extended honeymoon !!
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