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Reds keeping Homer Bailey?

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No chance I give Homer a long-term deal. Latos is the cat you hitch your wagon to. Trade Homer for some solid pieces, and go all in to get Latos wrapped up long-term.

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Extremely wishful thinking, that's not going to get it done.

 

That's what I was thinking.

No chance I give Homer a long-term deal. Latos is the cat you hitch your wagon to. Trade Homer for some solid pieces, and go all in to get Latos wrapped up long-term.

Wish that was the case.

What is your projected rotation without Homer?

Latos, Cueto, Leake, Cingrani, WBP(with obvious disclaimer)

Chapman may be in play if the manager has his way.

Latos, Cueto, Leake, Cingrani, WBP(with obvious disclaimer)

 

I think you're correct on what the rotation would look like, and therefore let me reiterate that I can't believe anyone thinks this is still a 90 win team.

 

The Reds aren't now, nor likely ever going to be, in a position to have three $10-12+ million earning starting pitchers. That said, has Leake even been good enough to be on a post-season roster yet? I'm not going to look it up, but wasn't he left off the roster against SF last year? Not that it matters for one-game, but was he on the Pittsburgh roster this year?

Mine would be Latos, Cueto, Cingrani, Leake, Chapman

 

Never say never, but I'll be shocked if Chapman is starting games for the Reds at any point in the future.

Never say never, but I'll be shocked if Chapman is starting games for the Reds at any point in the future.

I agree.

Never say never, but I'll be shocked if Chapman is starting games for the Reds at any point in the future.

 

I'll third that. I don't think Chapman is going to crack the rotation.

 

My rotation:

 

1. Latos

2. Cueto

3. Arroyo

4. Leake

5. Cingrani / Stephenson

 

Looks like a solid rotation to me and certainly capable of winning over 81 games.

If Cingrani can become more pitch efficient, he has the chance to be a star. I'm excited to have a wrong handed guy to watch every 5th.

I'll third that. I don't think Chapman is going to crack the rotation.

 

My rotation:

 

1. Latos

2. Cueto

3. Arroyo

4. Leake

5. Cingrani / Stephenson

 

Looks like a solid rotation to me and certainly capable of winning over 81 games.

 

Last year their starters won 66 of their 90 wins (I think it was 90).

 

So if Latos wins 15 (would be a career high), Cueto stays healthy and wins 15 (he has only won north of 12 once, but I'm assuming he is back to 2012 level and healthy), and Arroyo gets 12 (solid albeit a year older), that is 42. So either Leake and Cingrani have to combine for 20 wins (color me skeptical), or you'll need a lot more bully victories, which are a crap-shoot, you have to agree. If they repeat 73% of their wins from their SP, and I give them 55 wins (my opinion....best case), that gets them 75 wins. A number I've been consistently harping on for months.

 

Keep in mind, I'm being generous on some of those predictions (especially with Cueto, given the back of his card). I do think Latos could take a big jump forward this year, but I also think Cueto or Arroyo (if he is back) are equally likely to not be able to reach double digit wins.

Last year their starters won 66 of their 90 wins (I think it was 90).

 

So if Latos wins 15 (would be a career high), Cueto stays healthy and wins 15 (he has only won north of 12 once, but I'm assuming he is back to 2012 level and healthy), and Arroyo gets 12 (solid albeit a year older), that is 42. So either Leake and Cingrani have to combine for 20 wins (color me skeptical), or you'll need a lot more bully victories, which are a crap-shoot, you have to agree. If they repeat 73% of their wins from their SP, and I give them 55 wins (my opinion....best case), that gets them 75 wins. A number I've been consistently harping on for months.

 

Keep in mind, I'm being generous on some of those predictions (especially with Cueto, given the back of his card). I do think Latos could take a big jump forward this year, but I also think Cueto or Arroyo (if he is back) are equally likely to not be able to reach double digit wins.

 

Leake and Cingrani won 21 games last year and Cingrani pitched in only half the season....

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