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Swing States- Predict the winner.

Featured Replies

Let's see how well BGP posters measure up to the professionals. Predict the winner of each swing state:

 

Colorado

Florida

Iowa

Nevada

New Hampshire

North Carolina

Pennsylvania

Ohio

Virginia

Wisconsin

 

Tie Breaker: Who wins & Electoral vote total

_______________________________________________

 

Flotsam the Greek says Obama wins Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, New Hamshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Virginia & Wisconsin.

 

Romney wins Florida and North Carolina.

 

Winner - Obama 295 Electoral Votes.

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Pennsylvania stays blue - barely.

Iowa - they are odd birds - keep them blue.

New Hampster - OK, blue.

Nevada - it should go red but will keep it blue for now. With Harry Reid and 20% unemployment - how can they go blue? And see where Obama has been going lately! Its at least in play.

 

Rest break easily to the red column.

 

Ohio - normally a heavily Republican state anyway.

NC - was there this summer. Outside of Chapel Hill and Charlotte its deep red. Romney.

Virginia - outside of beltway burbs this will go heavily red.

Florida - Romney. Favored son Rubio will delivery the Latino vote.

Colorado - Red this time. Seems in the bag.

Wisconsin - Since 2008 this state has gone on Red Rage (for all you UL fans!). 2010 mid-terms were heavily red, the recall went against the Dems and unions. The VP is from there and they are loyal up there. This one may look like a shocker. But not really.

 

Romney: over 300 electoral votes.

Colorado - Romney barely

Florida - Romney by 2-3%

Iowa - Obama - by 1%

Nevada - Obama - by 2.5%

New Hampshire - Obama - by 1%

North Carolina - Romney by 6%

Pennsylvania - Obama by 2%

Ohio - Obama by 1 vote

Virginia - Romney by 1.5%

Wisconsin - Obama by 2%

Popular - Romney by 2%

Electoral - Obama 281 Romney 257

Colorado-Romney

Florida-Romney

Iowa-Obama

Nevada-Obama

New Hampshire-Obama

North Carolina-Romney

Pennsylvania-Obama

Ohio-Romney

Wisconsin-Romney

Virginia-Romney

 

Romney 285 Obama 253

Colorado - Romney barely

Florida - Romney by 2-3%

Iowa - Obama - by 1%

Nevada - Obama - by 2.5%

New Hampshire - Obama - by 1%

North Carolina - Romney by 6%

Pennsylvania - Obama by 2%

Ohio - Obama by 1 vote

Virginia - Romney by 1.5%

Wisconsin - Obama by 2%

Popular - Romney by 2%

Electoral - Obama 281 Romney 257

:lol:

The Greek nailed it Obama 295 but he's now got a slight lead in Florida so don't count the President out. Lotta Seniors there in that 47%!!!:dancingpa

Wow better lay off the drugs bro lol!:ohbrother:

Pennsylvania stays blue - barely.

Iowa - they are odd birds - keep them blue.

New Hampster - OK, blue.

Nevada - it should go red but will keep it blue for now. With Harry Reid and 20% unemployment - how can they go blue? And see where Obama has been going lately! Its at least in play.

 

Rest break easily to the red column.

 

Ohio - normally a heavily Republican state anyway.

NC - was there this summer. Outside of Chapel Hill and Charlotte its deep red. Romney.

Virginia - outside of beltway burbs this will go heavily red.

Florida - Romney. Favored son Rubio will delivery the Latino vote.

Colorado - Red this time. Seems in the bag.

Wisconsin - Since 2008 this state has gone on Red Rage (for all you UL fans!). 2010 mid-terms were heavily red, the recall went against the Dems and unions. The VP is from there and they are loyal up there. This one may look like a shocker. But not really.

 

Romney: over 300 electoral votes.

Popular Vote- Obama wins by 2.5%.

Electoral College- Obama 294-Romney 244

 

Obama wins Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Ohio, Nevada, & New Hampshire

Romney wins Florida, Colorado, & North Carolina

 

These numbers have essentially been my feeling all along--a similar breakdown to 2004 in both popular & electoral. I feel very confident in each state I picked, with the exception of two: Virginia & Colorado.

Iowa - Romney

Michigan - Obama

Wisconsin - Obama

Pennsylvania - Obama

Virginia - Romney

Ohio - Obama

Nevada - Obama

New Hampshire - Obama

Florida - Romney

Colorado - Romney

North Carolina - Romney

 

Obama - 275

Romney - 263

 

Romney wins the popular vote by 1.75%

^ Your prediction highlights something I'm anticipating. I feel like the Electoral college is pretty well in the President's favor. I'm curious to see how the popular vote breaks down & if we indeed see Romney win it but lose the Presidency. I don't think it will happen, but it will be an interesting thing to watch.

 

For the country's sake, I hope whomever wins the Presidency wins both the popular & electoral vote.

Obama:

 

Nevada

Colorado

Iowa

Wisconsin

Ohio

Virginia

New Hampshire

Pennsylvania

 

 

Romney:

 

Florida

North Carolina

 

 

Obama gets 303 electoral votes.

Obama:

 

Nevada

Colorado

Iowa

Wisconsin

Ohio

Virginia

New Hampshire

Pennsylvania

 

 

Romney:

 

Florida

North Carolina

 

 

Obama gets 303 electoral votes.

 

I almost went this route as well. If this is how it ends up, I'm really going to hate you. :lol:

^ Your prediction highlights something I'm anticipating. I feel like the Electoral college is pretty well in the President's favor. I'm curious to see how the popular vote breaks down & if we indeed see Romney win it but lose the Presidency. I don't think it will happen, but it will be an interesting thing to watch.

 

For the country's sake, I hope whomever wins the Presidency wins both the popular & electoral vote.

 

No doubt. It'll be Bush/Gore 2000 all over again on Facebook.

I almost went this route as well. If this is how it ends up, I'm really going to hate you. :lol:

 

:lol: :lol:

No doubt. It'll be Bush/Gore 2000 all over again on Facebook.

 

Yep. It's a tough situation...on the one hand, the country doesn't need to relive that whole scenario again. On the other hand, I would be thoroughly entertained. :lol:

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