November 6, 201213 yr I think Sabato usually does pretty well, doesn't he? Sabato is usually very good. Used to teach at the University of Virginia and I think he's still on staff there. He knows political science like nobody's business.
November 6, 201213 yr I think I am surprised... I'm starting to lean toward Obama getting Florida and hitting 332 for his electoral college total. Not going to happen imo. I think Romney wins Florida and Ohio by comfortable margins. The polls show tight races in most of the swing states but I'm hearing that Romney has a 60-40 advantage with the independent vote that will be voting today. Obama worked the early vote really hard, but that was votes he was going to get anyway, regardless when they were cast. Romney's votes will be today. He started his momentum with the first debate and it hasn't slowed very much since, with the exception of a few days during the storm. It's been back on track the last 4 or 5 days and will continue right into the closing of all the polls tonight.
November 6, 201213 yr Not going to happen imo. I think Romney wins Florida and Ohio by comfortable margins. The polls show tight races in most of the swing states but I'm hearing that Romney has a 60-40 advantage with the independent vote that will be voting today. Obama worked the early vote really hard, but that was votes he was going to get anyway, regardless when they were cast. Romney's votes will be today. He started his momentum with the first debate and it hasn't slowed very much since, with the exception of a few days during the storm. It's been back on track the last 4 or 5 days and will continue right into the closing of all the polls tonight. So IF Obama wins you're going to be shocked and dismayed, huh?
November 6, 201213 yr Not going to happen imo. I think Romney wins Florida and Ohio by comfortable margins. The polls show tight races in most of the swing states but I'm hearing that Romney has a 60-40 advantage with the independent vote that will be voting today. Obama worked the early vote really hard, but that was votes he was going to get anyway, regardless when they were cast. Romney's votes will be today. He started his momentum with the first debate and it hasn't slowed very much since, with the exception of a few days during the storm. It's been back on track the last 4 or 5 days and will continue right into the closing of all the polls tonight. We'll see tonight, but I rate Romney as a significant underdog in Ohio. I think that's Obama's best firewall.
November 6, 201213 yr Also, Professor, may I direct you to my avatar challenge? I really want at least one taker. http://bluegrasspreps.com/kentucky-national-politics/avatar-challenge-244653.html
November 6, 201213 yr Also, Professor, may I direct you to my avatar challenge? I really want at least one taker. http://bluegrasspreps.com/kentucky-national-politics/avatar-challenge-244653.html Not the smartest thing to do when most who would participate already have an avatar bet they're committed to. Won't get much play.
November 6, 201213 yr Sabato is usually very good. Used to teach at the University of Virginia and I think he's still on staff there. He knows political science like nobody's business. I thought he was pretty accurate. I used to get his newsletter until I changed emails a while back.
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