Ladies & gentlemen, it's that time of year again where I break out my Hensley Rating System.

 

You may be asking yourself...what is the Hensley Rating Sysytem? Well the answer to this question is VERY simple. It's the AVERAGE power rating for a school using the Lex. Herald-Leader's Cantral Ratings and the Lou. Courier-Journal's Litkenhous Ratings.

 

When I apply this to each game, I simple subtract the highest average power rating by the lowest of the two AND I give each HOME TEAM 6 points for home field advantage.

 

If you think about it, it's really simple.

 

Last year I did this for a couple a playoff games and it was right around 50-50 with the games. I even got maybe 5-6 exactly correct.

 

Now ladies & gentlemen, remember that this isn't exactly how I necessarily think that these games will go, but this is how my system thinks they will go.

 

So with that out of the way, here is how I think the games should go according to the Hensley Rating System:

 

 

CLASS A

Mayfield 78.05

@Metcalfe County 66.2

 

(The difference is 11.85 and giving MC the 6 points for HFA, Mayfield will win this game by 5.85 points)

 

Bethlehem 73.35

@Danville 88.25

 

(The difference is 14.9 and giving DHS the 6 points for HFA, Danville will win this game by 20.9 points)

 

NewCath 86.95

@Raceland 74.15

 

(The difference is 12.8 and giving RHS the 6 points for HFA, NCC will win this game by 6.8 points)

 

Hazard 48.55

@Somerset 73.95

 

(The difference is 25.4 and giving SHS the 6 points for HFA, Somerset will win this game by 31.4 points)

 

 

CLASS 2A

Trigg County 77.35

@Owensboro Catholic 72.75

 

(The difference is 4.6 and giving OCHS the 6 points for HFA, Owensboro Catholic will win this game by 1.4 points)

 

LaRue County 79.8

@Mercer County 96.2

 

(The difference is 16.4 and giving MCHS the 6 points for HFA, Mercer County will win this game by 22.4 points)

 

Corbin 72.2

@Russell 77.85

 

(The difference is 5.65 and giving RHS the 6 points for HFA, Russell will win this game by 11.65 points)

 

Middlesboro 75.95

@Belfry 78.20

 

(The difference is 2.25 and giving BHS the 6 points for HFA, Belfry will win this game by 8.25 points)

 

 

CLASS 3A

Hopkinsville 86.1

@Bowling Green 100.9

 

(The difference is 14.8 and giving BGHS the 6 points for HFA, Bowling Green will win this game by 20.8 points)

 

Louisville Central 91.00

@Southwestern 80.05

 

(The difference is 10.95 and giving SHS the 6 points for HFA, Lou. Central will win this game by 4.95 points)

 

CovCath 108.8

@LexCath 96.55

 

(The difference is 12.25 and giving LCHS the 6 points for HFA, CovCath will win this game by 6.25 points)

 

Rockcastle County 87.25

@Johnson Central 94.9

 

(The difference is 7.65 and giving JCHS the 6 points for HFA, Johnson Central will win this game by 13.65 points)

 

 

CLASS 4A

Henderson County 94.25

@Warren Central 96.25

 

(The difference is 2 and giving WCHS the 6 points for HFA, Warren Central will win this game by 8 points)

 

Meade County 85.3

@Larry A. Ryle 97.05

 

(The difference is 11.75 and giving LARHS the 6 points for HFA, Larry A. Ryle will win this game by 17.75 points)

 

Louisville Trinity 109.85

@Louisville Male 118.95

 

(The difference is 9.1 and giving LMHS the 6 points for HFA, Louisville Male will win this game by 15.1 points)

 

Henry Clay 102.95

@George Rogers Clark 77.5

 

(The difference is 25.45 and giving GRCHS the 6 points for HFA, Henry Clay will win this game by 19.45 points)

Regardless, of how accurate you will be, this takes a considerable amount of time, research and is very impressive.....:thumb:

Regardless, of how accurate you will be, this takes a considerable amount of time, research and is very impressive.....:thumb:

 

Thanks.

 

It didn't take more than 30-45 minutes to do it.

Statman you obviously are a fan of h.s. football :thumb: :walk: ! Your ratings/predictions look pretty good. I just hope that your "computer" has had a malfunction on the Raceland/NCC prediction. Nice thread and post, :thumb: I enjoyed them.

Very nice, Statman! It will be interesting to see how it ends up.

Central/ Southwestern game under 5 points. Better hope the other team doesn't fumble!!!!!!!!!!

Statman did this last year and was pretty close on most of his ratings.

Good work Statman!!!!

 

Watusi, hadn't noticed your avatar before. Where did you get your Glamor Shot done??!!??

Hey Statman...ever consider throwing the MASSEY RATINGS into the mix as well? The Massey System was pretty accurate during the season on many of the teams I was watching...

 

Just a thought maybe for next year...

 

 

Great work - :thumb:

Good work Statman!!!!

 

Watusi, hadn't noticed your avatar before. Where did you get your Glamor Shot done??!!??

 

That is great grandpa Tootsweiger. :thumb:

 

He played on Belfry's first football team back in the 20's. His family came over from the old country when he was a kid. We eventually dropped the weiger from the family name. :lol:

First result in, NCC 46, Raceland 27.

Winner correct. Margin of victory 19 (7 predicted)

Next result in:

 

Johnson Central 29, Rockcastle County 7

Winner correct, margin of victory 22 (14 predicted)

Mercer 56, Larue 14

Winner correct, margin of victory 42 (22 predicted)

He's tough....:thumb:

Trinity 38, Male 34

Winner incorrect (predicted 15-point Male win)

 

Russell 31, Corbin 23

Winner correct, margin of victory 8 (predicted 12)