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NKY 4A Playoff Picture

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Ten interesting thoughts that I believe to be facts:

 

1)Campbell can help Dixie and Ryle by beating Boone but both teams need extra help to get the #1 seed (assuming either would win out - only one can win out). For Dixie, they would also need Boone to lose to Holmes or Conner. For Ryle, they must also have Campbell beat Dixie the following week for it to help them in the playoff seeding if the Raiders win out and Boone wins out (other than the Campbell game). Why? In a 3-way tie with Boone, Campbell and Ryle all at 6-1, Ryle gets the #1 seed because NewCath/Dunbar will win more games than West Jessamine/Bourbon Co. But, in a 2-way tie with Boone and Ryle at 6-1, Boone gets the #1 seed.

 

2)Dixie and Ryle could meet 2 weeks in a row regardless of who wins the season finale. And, the game could be at Ryle both times. It is most likely that the winner of the season finale would host the rematch unless Dixie loses to Campbell or Holmes. If Boone beats Campbell and Ryle beats SK, there is a strong possibility of a week 10 and 11 rematch because the Rebels would then only have to beat Conner OR Holmes to assure themselves of a #1seed. However, Campbell beating Dixie would most likely move Dixie to a #4 seed.

 

3)Four teams remain in contention for the #1 seed but only Boone controls their own fate.

 

4)There could be a 4-way tie at 5-2 for first place with Boone, Campbell, Dixie and Ryle all ending up at 5-2. If that happened, the seeds would be Ryle- 1, Campbell - 2 and then I do not know how they would break the tie between Boone and Dixie unless they went head-to-head and awarded the #3 seed to BC.

 

5)If Ryle beats SK and Scott, the only way for Dixie to get a #1 seed is to win out and have Boone lose 2 of their last 3 games.

 

6) Simon Kenton owns all 3-or more way tiebreaker advantages within the district due to wins by Holy Cross/Lloyd/Seneca.

 

7)Holmes is still very much alive and they control their own fate as far as making the playoffs. They have 3 tough games left but the Dawgs have a chance to slip in at 4-3 because they could win certain tiebreaker scenarios. They must win at least 2 games and have some help and those 2 wins would probably need to be over Campbell and Dixie for them to have a chance to win a 3-way tie at 4-3 with Dixie and Campbell. In a 3-way tie at 4-3 with Holmes, Dixie and Campbell, Dixie is out and Holmes is the #3 seed. 3 Holmes wins and they are in for sure.

 

8)Four losses equals no chance to advance. So, Scott and Conner are out. SK is playing for survival this weekend, making them a very dangerous opponent for Ryle.

 

9)The Dixie/Campbell loser will probably not host a 1st round playoff game.

 

10) SK is the only team left in contention for a playoff berth that could win out and still not make the playoffs.

 

Each team just needs to win, baby. All of this stuff takes care of itself. Good luck to all teams!!

You had a lot of free time this weekend:D :lol: .

  • Author
You had a lot of free time this weekend:D :lol: .

 

Idle time watching the Chargers and Steelers. Have a great week S32.

WOW!!!! That is a very in-depth look into the playoff picture. You kind of ruined the thread because no one can add anything. Great job making everything so clear

And this is why this week's NKY contest contains all 4 4A district games. ;)

The point that CC would win a 4-way tie only would make coaches want to schedule lightly in pre-district games.

And this is why this week's NKY contest contains all 4 4A district games. ;)

 

Boone vs. Campbell - two teams battling for a top spot

 

Dixie vs. Holmes - one team trying to stay in the playoffs with a high seed and another trying to get into the picture

 

SK vs. Ryle - one team with their back against the wall and one trying to earn a top spot

 

:fire: Game of the Week:fire:

Conner vs. Scott - battle for who gets the ever so covetted 8th in the district

Boone vs. Campbell - two teams battling for a top spot

 

Dixie vs. Holmes - one team trying to stay in the playoffs with a high seed and another trying to get into the picture

 

SK vs. Ryle - one team with their back against the wall and one trying to earn a top spot

 

:fire: Game of the Week:fire:

Conner vs. Scott - battle for who gets the ever so covetted 8th in the district

 

IMO, 4 very good games on paper. Although the Conner/Scott game doesn't have playoff implications, it may turn out to be the best game of the 4.

Very nice breakdown. One thing's for sure. The playoff picture will become less cloudy and a little more clear after this week.

Thanks for the great breakdown. I was wondering how things stood at this point, outside of Scott and Conner.

My prediction as of right now will have Ryle getting the 1 seed followed at 2 by Campbell with Boone coming in at 3 (via the 3 way tie-break situation) and Dixie rounding things out in the 4 hole.

I didn't know SK could finish 4-3 and still not make it, that would be a bitter pill to swallow.

I didn't know SK could finish 4-3 and still not make it, that would be a bitter pill to swallow.

 

The majority of the people that I have talked to didn't realize that either. They just figured last week was a must win because SK still has Ryle on the schedule and they were going to go ahead and ring that up in the L column, but even if they beat Ryle they still do not control their own destiny.:cry:

It sounds like it's going to be a fun friday night.

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