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Phillies @ Reds (4/3 - 4/6)

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I'll be shocked if this game starts on time. Phillies don't came back though. They will wanna get this in.

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I'll take the over on the steals and the under on the OBP. Peraza swings at anything thrown between the 2 fungo circles. If they could get their combined OBP to .350 that could be a devastating 1-2 punch.

 

Perazas BABIP should come down a little but he see him at .345 and Hamilton in the .315 range for OBP.

On opening day the Cowboy said Peraza might get close to .400 OBP.

 

:popcorn:

 

He must be planning on him hitting .360 then. Given his walk rate that's the only way that happens.

He must be planning on him hitting .360 then. Given his walk rate that's the only way that happens.

 

That is probably what it would take. The second half of last year Peraza hit .335 and his OBP was .366.

@AverageJoesGym - not a Peraza fan?

 

I think he's a good player. It just frustrates me that he and Hamilton have so much speed but don't get on base enough to take full advantage of it. They could be a devastating 1-2 punch hitting in front of Votto--especially given his patience at the plate.

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^ at this point how can you say that about Peraza. He has got on base at a good clip.

^ at this point how can you say that about Peraza. He has got on base at a good clip.

 

His peripheral stats just don't show that average to be repeatable. And given his walk percentage he projects to about a .280 hitter--but with only about a .315-.320 OBP.

Peraza hit .299 in the minors (2,127 at bats) beginning at age 17 (in 2011).

 

He's hit .315 in 80 games in the majors.

 

In 7 seasons as a professional, he has hit .301 with .341 OBP (2,394 AB's).

Peraza hit .299 in the minors (2,127 at bats) beginning at age 17 (in 2011).

 

He's hit .315 in 80 games in the majors.

 

In 7 seasons as a professional, he has hit .301 with .341 OBP (2,394 AB's).

 

With a 3.2% walk percentage. Those kind of free swingers tend to get exposed the more opposing teams see them. And his .361 batting average on balls in play is likely to drop at least 40 points.

I'm bullish on Peraza's value, I think he has the potential to be very good. I'm generally opposed to players participating in the WBC, but I wish Peraza had played on Team Venezuela with Jose Altuve.

With a 3.2% walk percentage. Those kind of free swingers tend to get exposed the more opposing teams see them. And his .361 batting average on balls in play is likely to drop at least 40 points.

 

Do you have a link to the stats, or can you compare them to a couple other players?

I'm bullish on Peraza's value, I think he has the potential to be very good. I'm generally opposed to players participating in the WBC, but I wish Peraza had played on Team Venezuela with Jose Altuve.

 

Agreed. But a .400 OBP is out there for him.

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