Mixed bag this weekend?

[nWo]

First let me say this is not a prediction but just a snap shot or picture in time that the GFS model is showing of the possible weather for this coming Saturday. According to this mornings 06z GFS model it will depend where you live in Kentucky as to what type of weather you might get this coming Saturday.

 

Those in NKY could see some sleet and freezing rain with temps in the upper 20s Saturday afternoon into the night. a swath through CKY could see temps in the low 40s dropping into the high 30s. with showers. SKY looks to see some strong to severe storms during the same time period with temps in the low 60s. WKY could see temps in the mid to upper 60s and chance of severe storms. The Storm Prediction Center has already issued a probability of severe storms on Saturday for WKY.

 

Now as everyone can see this will be a tough weather weekend to predict. As we get closer everything will come into closer focus. I'll update either later today or in the morning.

 

 

 

 

[nWo]

Some are not going to like what the GFS is now showing for this weekend. Snow is now back in the picture. I'm not going to post any totals tonight because things will more than likely fluctuate between now and then. All I'm willing to say tonight is if the trend continues winter is definitely not over.

[nWo]

This weekend is looking to be....

 

 

Both the CFS and GFS models are coming into agreement on the type of precipitation for this Saturday into Sunday. The differ on the timing. The GFS has in coming in sooner. Good chance we'll see some snow. One tell tale sign is now the Storm Prediction Center is no longer showing the chance of severe weather for WKY.

 

By Saturday night almost the entire state could see temps in the mid to upper 20s. A low pressure systems looks to form around Texas and move up through Tennessee. This combination could produce some decent snow for much of Kentucky. It all depends on the track of the Low Pressure system. The model are taking in on a more southerly track the last few runs. I'm not ready to say how much snow yet. Two main reasons. First, the accumulation totals will waver up and down until we get closer to the time period. Second, people wouldn't believe what they are showing anyway. :thumb:

 

I'll try and post an update this evening.

 

[KentuckyJoe]

Supposed to be doing work on my daughters softball teams new practice field here in NKY on Saturday with all the coaches and dads from the team. This should be fun.....

[nWo]

Supposed to be doing work on my daughters softball teams new practice field here in NKY on Saturday with all the coaches and dads from the team. This should be fun.....

The midday run of the GFS almost matched exactly the CFS from this morning. So that means a good chance of getting what it is showing. I may give some totals this evening after the 18z run.

[Content1]

What in the tarnation...

 

:taz:

 

:lol2:

 

It's the transition period...i remember snow flurries doing Opening day for the REDS and a few inches of snow on the ground at Easter! Keep up the good work nWo and thank you!

[nWo]

What in the tarnation...

 

:taz:

 

:lol2:

 

It's the transition period...i remember snow flurries doing Opening day for the REDS and a few inches of snow on the ground at Easter! Keep up the good work nWo and thank you!

 

Thanks, I'm going to wait on giving any totals. Just looked over the 18z GFS run. Still showing snow but as expected there is a back and forth on the path of the system that will come through this weekend. The path will make all the difference on who gets snow and how much snow accumulates. Should get a good read on the possible system tomorrow.

[nWo]

Looks like we have two shots at accumulating snows. Saturday into Sunday then again Monday through Tuesday. So check back for updates.

[UKMustangFan]

So for those of us doing the Mini-Heart Sunday morning in downtown Cincy....It's gonna be a cold and nasty one?

[gchs_uk9]

It's the transition period...i remember snow flurries doing Opening day for the REDS and a few inches of snow on the ground at Easter! Keep up the good work nWo and thank you!

 

Yes. I remember several region basketball tournaments, which are always this exact week on the calendar, being affected by snow in 2015. Unusual, but not impossible.

[nWo]

So for those of us doing the Mini-Heart Sunday morning in downtown Cincy....It's gonna be a cold and nasty one?

Yep temps in the low 20s with possible snow.

[nWo]

All of the models I use, NAM, GFS and CFS are now showing a system that could produce snow hitting Kentucky this weekend. Where they differ is the timing and track. I'm not ready to forecast any numbers but I will say this maybe the first winter storm of the season.

[Jumper_Dad]

NWS calling for 1-2" for Somerset Saturday starting around 7pm - 8pm

Weather Channel calling for 1-3" afternoon into the evening.

[gold sunrise]

What about Cleveland my friend.

[ggclfan]

So for those of us doing the Mini-Heart Sunday morning in downtown Cincy....It's gonna be a cold and nasty one?

 

Which run are you doing UKMF? I am doing the 15k...7:30am (which will really be like 6:30 because of daylight savings time)...it is going to be COLD:)!!