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Newport Central Catholic/Belfry Predictions

Who do you think wins? 44 members have voted

  1. 1. Who do you think wins?

    • Newport Central Catholic
      31%
    • Belfry
      68%

Please sign in or register to vote in this poll.

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only 4 hours. :eek:

Piece of cake. LOL

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Where is Belfry? Pike county?

Where is Belfry? Pike county?
Yes, about 25 miles northeast of Pikeville. Literally right on the WV border, about as far east you can go and still be in KY.
Piece of cake. LOL

 

:stop::lol2:

 

Let's see.....I drive at least 100 miles a day for work, the last thing I look forward to is driving anywhere, especially a 4 hour junket.

I get it, it is a long haul. :thumb:

 

The last two years we had regular season trips to Harlan, Gallipolis OH, Knoxville TN, and Somerset x2.

Where is Belfry? Pike county?

 

Yes... not sure which way it will bring those coming. One option is I75 to I64 to Mountain Parkway... then once you pick up US23 in Prestonsburg you take it until you turn on US119 just north of Pikeville.

 

The other option would be to take the AA Highway and down US52 over on the West Virginia side of the river. This is what google maps recommends as the shortest route.

 

Either way Belfry High School is literally something you won't be able to miss along US119 as it sits right next to the road.

 

Just my opinion, but I suggest tor those making the trip to come US23 to US119, the best place to get food will be on US23 right before you turn off. Numerous restaurant options ranging from fast food to sit down dining in the Coal Run area North of Pikeville. If you are wanting a nicer meal... or you are planning to spend the night at a hotel... the US23 route is definitely the one I would recommend. The other route may be simpler and a little shorter, but the 23 route gives much better roads and a few more late night conveniences.

NewCath Offensive Starters

WR #6 Trent Wrobleski 6'3 160 Jr

WR #12 Erik Anderson 6'3 175 Sr

 

TE #10 Griffin McHugh 6'2 195 Sr

 

T #7 8 Kameron Winter 6'4 285 Sr

G #5 5 Bryson Hightchew 5'11 220 Sr

C #6 3 Tyler Brooks 6'0 310 Jr

G #6 4 Brady Hicks 5'11 200 Soph

T #7 7 Hunter Pittman 6'0 245 Jr

 

QB #16 Patrick Henschen 6'4 205 Jr

 

FB #21 John Harris 5'9 185 Sr

 

HB #3 Jacob Smith 6'0 185 Sr

 

 

 

 

NewCath Defense

 

DE #7 Luke Kues 6'1 190 Sr

DT #7 4 Konner Camack 5'11 198 Sr

DT #7 2 Maleek Lawrence 5'10 230 Sr

DE #3 2 Austin Neff 6'2 200 Jr

 

LB #46 Kole Cammack 5'10 185 Jr

LB #5 Kobe Tallon 6'1 215 Sr

LB #44 Kurtis Sutkamp 6'0 200 Jr

 

CB #12 Erik Anderson 6'3 175 Sr

S #28 Josh Schneider 5'10 175 Sr

S #3 3 Peyton Davis 5'11 170 Sr

CB #24 Job Freppon 6'1 185 Jr

Where is Belfry? Pike county?

 

It's farther than Pike County. Right Watusi? :lol2:

All things considered, I would sacrifice the extra few minutes and just go I75 to Lexington and then I64/Mountain Parkway east. The roads are better, more populated and there are more places for gas and pit stops along the way. Those things would be especially more important if you are returning back after the game late at night.

 

ATLCat is right, eating in Pikeville or Prestonsburg is going to be your best bet and if you are spending the night do it in Pikeville.

Belfry Offensive Starters

 

SE #2 7 Austin Woolum 5'8 145 Jr

 

TE #44 Cole Bentley 6'4 301 Jr

T #61 Austin Dotson 6'6 276 Jr

G #76 Jordan Scott 6'5 305 Jr

C #5 6 Brayden Preece 5'9 200 Jr

G #5 4 Jordan Wolford 5'11 307 Jr

T #5 3 Austin Gibbs 6'2 276 Sr

 

QB #8 Avery Browning 5'9 150 Fr

 

FB #1 Andrew Fletcher 6'0 222 Jr

 

HB #1 0 Cameron Catron 5'9 173 Jr

HB #1 3 Justin Adkins 5'9 170 Soph

 

 

Belfry Defense

DE #2 TJ Dotson 5'11 175 Sr

DT #2 3 Rayquan Horton 6'2 290 Jr

NG #44 Cole Bentley 6'4 301 Jr

DT #2 0 Chase Dove 6'0 170 Jr

DE #40 Austin Hall 6'2 197 Jr

 

LB #5 Derek Wellman 5'11 183 Soph

LB #1 1 Nate Sanger 6'0 195 Sr

 

CB #2 8 Taveon Hunter 5'9 155 Soph

S #1 3 Justin Adkins 5'9 170 Soph

S #1 0 Cameron Catron 5'9 173 Jr

CB #1 5 Devin Varney 6'0 160 Soph

With Willis out Belfry only has 3 Senior Starters.. 1 on Offense and 2 on Defense

 

:eek:

Will this be a game? I've read multiple people mention it will come down to line play. The Belfry line looks a lot bigger than Ncc. Ncc hasn't ever been known for big, strong, line play and the offense hasn't completely clicked yet. Belfry does look to have a frosh at Qb. I don't see how that can be good.

 

I'm considering skipping the Highlands game and spending the evening with my NCC relatives, but 4 hours is a long drive. Especially if this is going to be a running clock type of game.

With all their starters in the game I think Belfry is probably a 2-3 touchdown favorite but without their starting QB and RB, who knows? There is no word yet on the status of starting QB Corbett and RB Willis for this game, they missed last week because of suspension. They may miss this one too.

 

Another big question mark is Belfry's ability to stop the short passing game of NCC. Tates Creek made a living doing that against Belfry's defense in week 1 and it looks like NCC has been almost completely a passing team. I'm sure they got a good lesson from the TC film.

Will this be a game? I've read multiple people mention it will come down to line play. The Belfry line looks a lot bigger than Ncc. Ncc hasn't ever been known for big, strong, line play and the offense hasn't completely clicked yet. Belfry does look to have a frosh at Qb. I don't see how that can be good.

 

I'm considering skipping the Highlands game and spending the evening with my NCC relatives, but 4 hours is a long drive. Especially if this is going to be a running clock type of game.

 

I don't see a running clock. In fact I think this will be a pretty darn good game.

 

Here is my honest breakdown after watching some video on NewCath:

 

 

Belfry O vs. NewCath D

Belfry does have a big size advantage up front, but they have a big size advantage against everyone they play. NewCath though makes up for their size with quickness and Lawrence is going to be an absolute handful for Belfry. I anticipate NewCath will use him on the side with the less experienced Wolford and Gibbs. I also anticipate they will move him around and let him line up at DE. Lawrence is probably the best mix of skill and quickness this Belfry line has seen in a long time. If they can keep a body in front of him the entire game Belfry will be tough to keep from moving the sticks and eating clock.

 

Browning looked great last week in his first start at QB, but just being honest Harlan County was beat the second Belfry stepped on the field. Pirates were bigger, stronger, faster, and more athletic and HC couldn't stop the FB dive. Game over. Browning really wasn't asked to read very much as every option was there. The speed of the game will probably double this week and Lawrence is always a threat to penetrate and destroy the mesh point. I anticipate NewCath to spend all week working inside out and their primary focus will be taking away the FB and the Option Pitch. Browning is going to have to make very good reads and know when it is time to give it to the 2nd man thru. With Belfry's best HB suspended as well it will be critical for Catron to step up as a threat between tackles if the Fullback is taken away. Corbett would have been a bad matchup for the Breds if he was playing because his speed off the edge. Browning is not the running threat as Corbett.

 

All in all this comes down to time of possession and execution. If Belfry rpotects the ball and is able to assert the ability to gain 4 yards with the FB when they want it, expect a long night once those big linemen spend three quarters laying on the Breds. If NC can take away the Fullback and force a couple turnovers it will drastically change this game.

 

 

NewCath Offense vs. Belfry Defense

This is tougher. It all comes down to Jacob Smith and his ability to be on the field. I like the Harris kid a lot, but he is going to have a hard time against Belfry by himself. Belfry's run defense is really, really stout.. especially for teams who are trying to run Power. Smith has that X Factor ability to bounce runs outside and break tackles.The Belfry LB'ers have not been tested yet with a back who can make them think on their feet. The Belfry DB's are small as well so if you can get to the second level in a 1 on 1 you may be a missed tackle from a big run.

 

I don't see NewCath beating Belfry 3 yards at a time running the ball... Horton will eventually make you pay and create a big loss and if Dotson is back as expected those DE's will make plays as well.

 

NewCath's biggest advantage on Offense is their tall receivers against the short and young Belfry DB's. The Breds have to get enough of a run game going that Belfry freezes on Play Action and they have to be patient enough to settle for intermediate and short passes that Belfry will give them. Henschen has to play well. He shows promise and throws a pretty ball, but against Belfry he has to be accurate and consistent. Belfry wants him to throw on the run trying to lob something down the field or trying to force a pass between the DE dropping and the LB. He has to stand strong in the pocket and throw the short stuff to move the sticks and soften Belfry.

 

One thing I really like about NewCath is how Harris and McHugh impact block. Both are very good at getting helmets on their men and hitting them clean and hard. Belfry has to be decisive and attack the ball carrier instead of waiting for him and letting either of these guys wipe them out of the play.

 

Special Teams

Both teams have their positives and negatives. Both have quality place kicking and the ability to hit Field Goals generally from 40 yards or less. Both aren't winning awards for their kick coverage, but do an adequate job. I like Belfry's punter a little better. Wellman does a really good job and is very good at keeping the returner from having a shot at even fielding the ball. The NCC Punter hits more line drives... this could be very good or very bad. If Belfry fields it cleanly it should help field position and potentially give a return opportunity... on that note fielding punts is still a scary venture for Belfry so I fear for a muffed punt or just letting it hit the ground and rolling for a mile. Once again this is also where Smith plays a big role in Special Teams. The kid is filthy on kickoff returns and a weapon.. Belfry's Woolum has hit probably 75% of his kicks so far for Touchbacks and needs to continue that.

 

SUMMARY

I think this is a game that moves very fast. I dont see a blowout for that reason because I dont see a lot of sudden change possessions or big plays. The teams will score with long play drives and I think both teams get their share of Defensive plays and tackles for loss or no gain.

 

Ultimately I think size and depth play a big role. NewCath doesn't use as many 2 way guys as I expected, but I also don't see a ton of depth on either side of the ball. Belfry will constantly be rotating fresh legs in.. even without Willis you can expect to see 4 or 5 different HB's, two different FB's (IMHO the best FB will see the least action because they want him Fresh on Defense), 3 or 4 different SE's, 2-3 different TE's, and a couple different linemen. On Defense, Belfry will completely switch up their DLine and go basically 2 deep at each DB spot. Between all these fresh legs and their shear size up front the last thing NewCath wants to do is see Belfry controlling the ball for a 2:1 ratio.

 

I see this one being in the 28-10 or 28-14 range in Belfry's favor. Super tight for a Half with Belfry making their hay late in the 2nd Quarter and as the game clock starts running down.

  • Author

Hopefully Jacob Smith can have a big game. Belfry is huge I would love to see them get on SK's schedule next year.

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