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2015-2018 Football Realignment Projection

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I don't see moving to 2A as improving fan interst or participation. Maybe it's just me, but Beechwood has had no problem getting fan interest in the community or player participation.

 

Ah but they do once they enter 1A District play. Sample the Beechwood fan base and see if they would prefer 4 games a year against Dayton, Bellevue, Brossart, Ludlow or if they would like to see four games against Lloyd, Holy Cross, Newport, NewCath. Beechwood can't play any JV games in 1A and usually those 4 games in 1A result in 3 or 4 running clocks and does nothing to prepare them for the postseason. Remember their glory days of the 90s was when there was only 4 classes so 1A was comprised of more teams.

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Ah but they do once they enter 1A District play. Sample the Beechwood fan base and see if they would prefer 4 games a year against Dayton, Bellevue, Brossart, Ludlow or if they would like to see four games against Lloyd, Holy Cross, Newport, NewCath. Beechwood can't play any JV games in 1A and usually those 4 games in 1A result in 3 or 4 running clocks and does nothing to prepare them for the postseason. Remember their glory days of the 90s was when there was only 4 classes so 1A was comprised of more teams.

I would agree if their out of district games weren't as strong as they are. But with them playing CCH and NCC etc each and every year it isn't much different than the 2A district play they would have anyway, their JV team p,ays the likes of Cooper, CCH etc also. I just don't see it as much of an issue, maybe I'm wrong, but I think BW would rather win state titles than anything else.

 

I will agree that I think BW moving up to 2A would basically be a 2 team race each year in the area in that class. Instead of BW rolling each year in district play as they do now, 2A I would say BW and NCC would be battling each year but that is about it. Don't see LLoyd or HC being much of a consistent threat. In other words, 2A isn't really that much stronger than 1A IMO in this area.

I would agree if their out of district games weren't as strong as they are. But with them playing CCH and NCC etc each and every year it isn't much different than the 2A district play they would have anyway, their JV team p,ays the likes of Cooper, CCH etc also. I just don't see it as much of an issue, maybe I'm wrong, but I think BW would rather win state titles than anything else.

 

I will agree that I think BW moving up to 2A would basically be a 2 team race each year in the area in that class. Instead of BW rolling each year in district play as they do now, 2A I would say BW and NCC would be battling each year but that is about it. Don't see LLoyd or HC being much of a consistent threat. In other words, 2A isn't really that much stronger than 1A IMO in this area.

 

Disagree somewhat on 2A versus 1A when you remove Beechwood and NCC. I would on average take HC, Lloyd, Newport over Dayton, Bellevue, Ludlow, Brossart in most years. I don't think Beechwood is as hung up on State Championships as everyone thinks and there is no reason they could not be competitive for a 2A title every year. If they are roughly equal to NCC since the switch to 6 classes, NCC has played in 6 finals (out of 8) since 2006 no reason to think Beechwood would not be just as competitive.

***If I don't have the actual enrollment number listed, then those are schools who are "automatics" in their class..middle of the pack, etc.****

 

Class A (32 Teams)

1.Fulton City

2.Fulton County

3.Eminence

4. Jenkins

5. Caverna

6. Dayton

7. Frankfort

8. Paris

9. Phelps

10. Bellevue

11. Paintsville

12. Harlan

13. Williamsburg

14. Lou. Holy Cross

15. Ludlow

16. South Floyd

17. Campbellsville

18. KCD

19. Russellville

20. Pineville

21. Bethlehem

22. Lynn Camp

23. Fairview

24. Hazard

25. Nicholas County

26. Raceland

27. Brossart

28. Berea

29. Bracken County (175)

30. Pikeville (179)

31. Crittenden County (182.5)

32. Beechwood (187)

Disagree somewhat on 2A versus 1A when you remove Beechwood and NCC. I would on average take HC, Lloyd, Newport over Dayton, Bellevue, Ludlow, Brossart in most years. I don't think Beechwood is as hung up on State Championships as everyone thinks and there is no reason they could not be competitive for a 2A title every year. If they are roughly equal to NCC since the switch to 6 classes, NCC has played in 6 finals (out of 8) since 2006 no reason to think Beechwood would not be just as competitive.

I would too take HC, Lloyd etc over the dayton and Bellevues etc. but that doesn't mean they are still that string and competitive. Let's face it, NCC and BW would still be the class of 2A with quite a drop off to #3 in the district. It's really no difference than it is now IMO.

I would too take HC, Lloyd etc over the dayton and Bellevues etc. but that doesn't mean they are still that string and competitive. Let's face it, NCC and BW would still be the class of 2A with quite a drop off to #3 in the district. It's really no difference than it is now IMO.

 

Well it would be a big difference because Beechwood would be in the same district as NCC and that alone would be worth it for Beechwood. Plus with new districts Beechwood may not be able to continue to schedule CovCath, NCC, Dixie, etc as those teams may have extra district games or just do not have the right weeks open.

1st Four In

1. Fort Knox (190.5)

2. Trimble County (202.5)

3. Betsy Layne (207.5)

4. Ballard Memorial (207.5)

 

5. Cov. Holy Cross

6. NewCath

7. Middlesboro

8. Newport

9. Metcalfe County

10. Allen Central (238) **They move up from 1A**

11. Murray

12. Mayfield (228) **They move up from 1A**

13. LCA

14. Owensboro Catholic

15. McLean County

16. Hancock County

17. Gallatin County

18. Clinton County

19. Green County

20. Leslie County

21. Walton-Verona

22. Danville

23. Somerset

24. Lloyd Memorial

25. Carroll County

26. Owen County

27. Washington County

28. Todd County Central

29. Glasgow

30. East Ridge

31. Shawnee

32. Monroe County (286.5) **They move DOWN from 3A**

33. Shelby Valley

34. West Carter

35. Butler County

36. Magoffin County (303) **They move DOWN from 3A**

37. Webster County (303.5) **They move DOWN from 3A**

38. Edmonson County (306) **They move DOWN from 3A**

39. Prestonsburg (308)

40. DeSales (309.5)

  • Author

40. DeSales (309.5)

 

DeSales had a male enrollment of 309 in 13/14 and 316 in 12/13 for an average of 312.5. Are you certain you're looking at the right numbers?

Going with 39 in this class

 

First Four In

 

1. Bath County (311.5)

2. Knott Co. Central ( 317)

3. Sheldon Clark (317.5)

4. CAL (318) **They move UP from 2A**

 

 

5. Bardstown (321) **They move UP from 2A**

6. Morgan County (321.5)

7. Caldwell County (321.5) **They move UP from 2A**

8. Lawrence County (321.5)

9. Jackson County

10. Russell

11. Belfry (Interesting tidbit about them, they went from 394 to 331 this year for a 362.5 Avg)

12. Henry County

13. Union County (356) **They move UP from 2A**

14. Fleming County

15. Casey County

16. Trigg County

17. Pike County Central

18. Estill County

19. Lewis County

20. Ft. Campbell

21. Garrard County

22. Powell County

23. LaRue County

24. Thomas Nelson (362) **They move UP from 2A, and the 12/13 enrollment doesnt count bc no Sr Class

25. Boyle County (384) **They move DOWN from 4A**

26. Hart County

27. Elizabethtown

28. McCreary Central

29. Western Hills

30. Adair County

31. Waggener (398) **The move DOWN from 4A**

32. Paducah Tilghman (399.5)

33. Pendleton County (403)

34. Lexington Catholic (406.5) **They move DOWN from 4A**

35. Bell County (406.5)

36. Rockcastle County (409.5)

37. Corbin (413)

38. Central (415)

39. Breck County (416.5)

  • Author

Ah, I can see I got Mercer County crossed up. Had the wrong numbers for 11/12 & 12/13 on my sheet. They're in 4A comfortably, bumping Central down into 3A as Harry has.

 

You're missing Breathitt County though. 354 & 346. Double checked that.

First Four IN

 

1. Franklin-Simpson (420.5)

2. Ashland (421)

3. Greenup County (422)

4. Spencer County (426.5)

 

5. East Carter (427.5)

6. Taylor County (430.5)

7. Allen County-Scottsville (435.5)

8. Moore (437)

9. Western (439.5)

10. Mason County (441.5) **They move UP from 3A**

11.Boyd County (444)

12. Holmes

13. Nelson County

14. Russell County

15. Mercer County

16. Knox Central

17. Bourbon County (460) **They move UP from 3A**

18. Clay County

19. Perry County Central (473.5) **They move DOWN from 5A**

20. Hopkins County Central

21. Harrison County

22. Franklin County (481) **They move DOWN from 5A**

23. Rowan County

24. Calloway County

25. Warren East

26. Marion County

27. Highlands

28. Letcher County Central (496) **They move DOWN from 5A**

29. Wayne County (486) **They move up from 3A after the Monticello IND Merger**

30. John Hardin (482) **They move DOWN from 5A**

31. Warren Central (501) **They move DOWN from 5A**

32. Shelby County (507.5) **They move DOWN from 5A**

33. Collins (514.5)

34. North Oldham (515.5)

35. Scott (519.5)

36. Madisonville (538.5)

37. Hopkinsville (540) **They move DOWN from 5A**

38. Atherton (550)

39. Valley (558)

Ah, I can see I got Mercer County crossed up. Had the wrong numbers for 11/12 & 12/13 on my sheet. They're in 4A comfortably, bumping Central down into 3A as Harry has.

 

You're missing Breathitt County though. 354 & 346. Double checked that.

 

Dang!! I did miss Breathitt, I was looking at my stuff and thinking I was one short...well, that throws a kink in things.

 

Rose Bowl is back on, my 2 year old little girl is dragging out princess dresses, Pizza just got here and my wife & Mother In Law are out shopping. I'm taking advantage. lol

 

DF....Ill let you sort that mess up out!!

DeSales had a male enrollment of 309 in 13/14 and 316 in 12/13 for an average of 312.5. Are you certain you're looking at the right numbers?

 

It was a long night when I was sitting at the table doing this lol. I probably messed that up. In that case, out goes Bath County back to 2A and insert DeSales into 3A, right?

  • Author
Dang!! I did miss Breathitt, I was looking at my stuff and thinking I was one short...well, that throws a kink in things.

 

Rose Bowl is back on, my 2 year old little girl is dragging out princess dresses, Pizza just got here and my wife & Mother In Law are out shopping. I'm taking advantage. lol

 

DF....Ill let you sort that mess up out!!

 

It should just bump Breckinridge into 4A. Bath County should be in 2A and DeSales should be in 3A. Other than that and some of the sorting issues, you're mostly fine until the top of 4A. Valley wouldn't have been in 4A anyway because they're larger than a few that will be in 5A, but they'd be bumped up since you'd missed Breathitt County. Also, you're missing Johnson Central (522 & 551 for 536.5 average) in 4A, which bumps up Atherton (which was larger than South Warren anyway). Other than that, you've got it correct. Your 5A should begin with South Warren at 544.5 and include Atherton and Valley both in it.

 

I don't know how I got Mercer County crossed up. That's the one major I've seen so far.

Well it would be a big difference because Beechwood would be in the same district as NCC and that alone would be worth it for Beechwood. Plus with new districts Beechwood may not be able to continue to schedule CovCath, NCC, Dixie, etc as those teams may have extra district games or just do not have the right weeks open.

To the bolded... Why? Is it more important for Beechwood to win state titles, or beat NewCath? I think the Beechwood faithful would prefer state titles.

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