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Dave Cantrall's Rating the State: Feb. 13


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Boys

TOP 25

School (record) This week Rating

1. Louisville Trinity (24-3) Tuesday vs. Elizabethtown; Friday vs. Jeffersonville (Ind.) 88.2

2. Pleasure Ridge Park (22-5) Friday at (5) Moore 85.9

3. Ballard (20-6) Monday at (11) Jeffersontown; Friday at Male 85.4

4. Scott Co. (24-4) Tuesday at (20) Eastern; Thursday vs. Western 84.5

5. Moore (24-4) Tuesday vs. Iroquois; Friday vs. (2) Pleasure Ridge Park 84.0

6. Madison Central (26-1) Monday vs. South Laurel; Friday at Covington Catholic 81.7

7. Perry Central (21-4) Tuesday vs. Breathitt Co.; Friday vs. Sheldon Clark 81.1

8. Henry Clay (22-6) Tuesday vs. Lafayette; Thursday at (25) Clark Co. 80.5

9. Bullitt East (20-4) Monday at Bullitt Central; Thursday vs. Elizabethtown 80.4

10. Oldham Co. (23-5) Thursday vs. Owen Co. 80.3

11. Jeffersontown (18-9) Monday vs. (3) Ballard; Friday vs. Southern 79.9

12. Lexington Catholic (20-7) Tuesday vs. Lincoln Co.; Friday at Wayne Co. 79.6

13. Dixie Heights (17-8) Tuesday vs. Cooper; Wednesday at Beechwood; Friday at Boone Co. 79.5

14. Bowling Green (22-6) Tuesday at Russellville; Thursday vs. University Heights 78.4

15. Cov. Holy Cross (27-2) Friday at St. Henry 77.9

16. Warren Central (20-7) Tuesday vs. Allen Co.-Scottsville; Thursday at Daviess Co. 77.7

16. St. Xavier (17-8) Tuesday at Lou. Holy Cross; Friday vs. (22) Manual 77.7

18. Fern Creek (15-13) Tuesday at Doss; Friday at Butler 77.2

19. Southwestern (20-8) Monday vs. Somerset; Friday at Mercer Co. 77.1

20. Eastern (14-12) Tuesday vs. (4) Scott Co.; Friday vs. Shawnee 76.9

21. John Hardin (15-8) Tuesday vs. Marion Co.; Friday at Taylor Co. 76.5

22. Manual (16-9) Tuesday vs. Fairdale; Friday at (16) St. Xavier 76.3

23. Ashland Blazer (18-10) Tuesday at West Carter; Friday at Russell 76.2

24. Marshall Co. (25-2) Tuesday vs. Mayfield; Thursday at Christian Co. 76.0

25. Clark Co. (23-5) Tuesday at Franklin Co.; Thursday vs. (8) Henry Clay 75.9

 

Read more here: http://www.kentucky.com/2012/02/13/2066608/dave-cantralls-rating-the-state.html#storylink=cpy

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First impression...Yes, and I know these are computer ratings.

 

Grossly underrated includes Madison Central, Marshall County and Clark County.

 

Grossly overrated includes any team in this ranking who has 9 or more losses, especially Eastern and Fern Creek, because 12 or 13 losses is still 12 or 13 losses. You may play a tough schedule and I commend that, but you still have to win some of those games. Let me add, that one of those two may very well go on to win the State Championship, but for the sake of putting together a Top 25, they should not be ranked.

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First impression...Yes, and I know these are computer ratings.

 

Grossly underrated includes Madison Central, Marshall County and Clark County.

 

Grossly overrated includes any team in this ranking who has 9 or more losses, especially Eastern and Fern Creek, because 12 or 13 losses is still 12 or 13 losses. You may play a tough schedule and I commend that, but you still have to win some of those games. Let me add, that one of those two may very well go on to win the State Championship, but for the sake of putting together a Top 25, they should not be ranked.

 

Agree.

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Louisville teams hold the top three spots in Dave Cantrall’s boys’ basketball rating. Trinity (7th Region) has been No. 1 all season. Pleasure Ridge Park (6th Region) is No. 2, followed by Ballard (7th Region) at No. 3.

 

Four 11th Region teams are in the top dozen: No. 4 Scott County, No. 6 Madison Central, No. 8 Henry Clay and No. 12 Lexington Catholic.

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Start looking at the games the past 2 weeks & see how accurate this is in terms of points won by. Not 100% but it's amazing how close this is.

***Anyone have the first week this came out & see which teams have improved the most over the course of the year?

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Since these are the most popular threads going I think some one should get a hold of Mr. Cantrall via email or something and have him come aboard and participate in some questioning.

 

I think I have found one of the rare pictures of Mr. Cantrall developing his rankings:

 

imagesCA9XWK3V.jpg

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Bowling Green ahead of Holy Cross still baffles me, computer ratings or not. What computer formula would have them ahead of HC when HC beat them twice and only has 2 losses on the year. I know, I know...these dont mean anything. LOL

 

Also, what these computers probably don't take into consideration is how you play with players missing. We win three games last week without one of our two best players and we drop in the ratings. Yeah, I know, I know...strength of schedule, but winning those three in five days has to count for something.

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