Somerset/Belfry Predictions

[Watusi]

My thoughts exactly. Danville was far from struggling. The Somerset game set them on a 3 game skid. Of course those three games were to Class AAA #1 Somerset, a 5A school in Southwestern, and of course co-favorite of 4A Boyle County. Most schools regardless of who they are would be "struggling," with that stretch. :thumb:

 

Danville wasn't struggling when Somerset beat them. They were 3-0 and had already defeated Mason County.

 

Friday night was just a bad night. If you go back and look at Breathitt's scores against Casey County, Wayne County and Estill County compared to Somerset's scores against those teams Somerset should have beaten the Bobcats by 3 or 4 scores. However, on a given night anything can happen. Breathitt played a great game Friday but they didn't expose anything. The Briar Jumpers just did about everything wrong that they could possibly do wrong for a half. Most of the problems were self-inflicted--not forced. It did seem like the offensive turnovers led to the defense playing flat-footed instead of aggressively like they normally do. Overrated? How many teams in class 3A could go into Breathitt County turn the ball over 6 times, rack up over 110 yards in penalties, trail by 2 scores at halftime and come away with a win? There are no style points in the postseason.

 

Thanks guys, that's what I was looking for. :thumb:

[Watusi]

I was looking at the stats posted on KHSAA and I have some questions. Hopefully one of you faithful Jumper fans will be kind enough to educate me.

 

First let's talk offense.

 

It looks like Somerset is pretty balanced, rushing for 2800 yds and passing for 2200 or so. That may come as a surprise to a lot of Belfry fans, who may think they are more pass heavy than that. Do they do most of this running out of the spread? Or do they vary their sets and use more traditional running sets with the QB under center a lot of the time?

 

I noticed that those 2200 yards and 30 touchdowns through the air came on just over 100 completions. That is some gaudy numbers and an average of better than 20 yards per catch. Do they go for the big hitter a lot of the time or do their receivers just get extraordinary yards after the catch and turn short passes into big gains? 1/3 of their pass completions were for touchdowns? Come on, that's just unfair.

 

The receiving and rushing corps seems to be well spread out too, with multiple players getting plenty of touches. Can one of you give us a description of the athletes at each position? What can we as fans expect to see when the Jumpers line up on offense? I remember the Hughes kid was a monster at FB the last time we played each other, do you have another FB in that mold?

 

I'll try and do the same for Belfry's team in return if you post your questions.

[TRENCHMASTER]

Danville wasn't struggling when Somerset beat them. They were 3-0 and had already defeated Mason County.

 

Friday night was just a bad night. If you go back and look at Breathitt's scores against Casey County, Wayne County and Estill County compared to Somerset's scores against those teams Somerset should have beaten the Bobcats by 3 or 4 scores. However, on a given night anything can happen. Breathitt played a great game Friday but they didn't expose anything. The Briar Jumpers just did about everything wrong that they could possibly do wrong for a half. Most of the problems were self-inflicted--not forced. It did seem like the offensive turnovers led to the defense playing flat-footed instead of aggressively like they normally do. Overrated? How many teams in class 3A could go into Breathitt County turn the ball over 6 times, rack up over 110 yards in penalties, trail by 2 scores at halftime and come away with a win? There are no style points in the postseason.

 

That is a good point AvgJoe. Belfry will have a long night if they start thinking the same BJ team will be coming to play them Friday night.

[Watusi]

That is a good point AvgJoe. Belfry will have a long night if they start thinking the same BJ team will be coming to play them Friday night.

I don't think the team and coaches will be thinking anything of the sort, they will be well prepared physically and mentally for the battle that is sure to come, I have no doubt.

 

The questions being tossed around on here are just for us old fat hasbeens to have something to talk about in the days leading up to Friday. :thumb:

[AverageJoesGym]

I was looking at the stats posted on KHSAA and I have some questions. Hopefully one of you faithful Jumper fans will be kind enough to educate me.

 

First let's talk offense.

 

It looks like Somerset is pretty balanced, rushing for 2800 yds and passing for 2200 or so. That may come as a surprise to a lot of Belfry fans, who may think they are more pass heavy than that. Do they do most of this running out of the spread? Or do they vary their sets and use more traditional running sets with the QB under center a lot of the time?

 

I noticed that those 2200 yards and 30 touchdowns through the air came on just over 100 completions. That is some gaudy numbers and an average of better than 20 yards per catch. Do they go for the big hitter a lot of the time or do their receivers just get extraordinary yards after the catch and turn short passes into big gains? 1/3 of their pass completions were for touchdowns? Come on, that's just unfair.

 

The receiving and rushing corps seems to be well spread out too, with multiple players getting plenty of touches. Can one of you give us a description of the athletes at each position? What can we as fans expect to see when the Jumpers line up on offense? I remember the Hughes kid was a monster at FB the last time we played each other, do you have another FB in that mold?

 

I'll try and do the same for Belfry's team in return if you post your questions.

 

I'll try to give you a scouting report for the Belfry faithful. At this point in the season with all the film on everyone there aren't really any secrets anyway. Somerset has been very balanced this season. On offense Somerset does primarily run out of the spread. However, they have ran more power and 2 back sets this season than in the past. The offensive numbers have been spread out amongst a number of players. 9 different players have scored a rushing touchdown for the Briar Jumpers and 6 different players have at least 100 yards rushing this season. However, the bulk of the rushing attack comes from 3 players none of whom average more than 6 carries a game (all stats are after 12 games the Breathitt game has not been added yet): The leading rusher is Alex Lange with 636 yards. He averages 13 yards a carry. Alex is not a burner but a very hard, smart runner who follows his blocks well and always seems to fall forward and get extra yards. Derrick Jackson has been second on the team in yardage this season but honestly would have to be considered the feature back. He rushed for 700+ yards as a sophomore but injured his knee in 2009 and missed almost the entire season. The fact that he is not the leading rusher this season is due more to the fact that his workload was intentionally kept down to give him time to get his knee back to full strengh and have him fresh for the playoffs. He is around 190 lbs, fast and runs with a punishing style. Zack Bastin will also see time in the backfield. Zack is more of a scat back type. He runs to the outside, catches a lot of passes etc. He is also the Briar Jumpers leading scorer and does know what to do with the ball near the goal line. Not to be lost in the shuffle is quarterback Erik Manning who has over 450 yards himself this season. He can and will tuck it and run at any time and has the speed to break a long one. It is hard to say who will lead the Briar Jumpers in rushing on a given night as all 4 backs mentioned have over 375 yards on the season. In power sets defensive linemen Trey and Tevin Slaughter often line up in the triangle formation with Bastin, Lange or Jackson in the back of the triangle.

 

The passing game is about as varied as the rushing attack. The screen game is still a big part of the offense but not nearly as big as in the past. As Manning has gotten stronger and matured as a passer the Briar Jumpers have added a lot more downfield passing than last season. Storm Wilson is still the main reciever. He has the speed to go deep and beat teams over the top and is elusive enough to take a bubble screen to the house from anywhere. His numbers have been limited a little bit this season due to the Briar Jumpers not passing as much in blowouts. He was All-State last season and is stroner and faster this season. He is paired with JP Henderlight. Henderlight is a tall 6'3" receiver who has gotten a lot stronger this season. He uses his body well and is very tough coming across the middle and also on the deep ball with his height. The slot receiver is Corey Jones. Corey is a tall, lanky reciever that has demonstrated excellent hands this season. Tight end Clayton Stringer does not get a ton of balls thrown his way but he has excellent hands and is very athletic. Bastin, Jackson and Lange will also catch passes out of the backfield.

 

Somerset's offensive line is not very big, their biggest lineman is around 230 pounds. However, they are very quick, athletic and are well suited for the type of offense ran by the Briar Jumpers. Their guards and tackles have the ability to pull and get to the second level and have been responsible for turning a lot of 5-10 yard gains into touchdowns this season. Henderlight, Stringer and Wilson are also excellent downfield blockers. The offensive line features 3 seniors and 2 juniors. Jordan Perdue is the right tackle he is in his first year playing on the offensive line after converting from fullback. He is the biggest of the linemen and very physical. The right guard is a platoon between seniors Joey Harris and Seth Lake. Lake is the bigger and stronger of the 2 while Harris is more experienced and quicker. The center is Jarred Price. Price is around 215 pounds and very quick and strong. The left guard is Justin Perdue, he is a little smaller than his brother Jordan but is very good at getting downfield and getting to linebackers. Junior Taylor Speaks holds down the left tackle spot. He is 6'2" but only about 200 lbs. He is not big but has done a good job protecting Manning's blind side and is also good at getting downfield and blocking at the 2nd and 3rd level.

 

That's the Briar Jumper offense. How about Belfry?

[oldrambler]

Sommerset 27

Belfry 23

(2 overtimes)

[Watusi]

That's the Briar Jumper offense. How about Belfry?

Thanks, AJG, good stuff.

 

I'll work on a return post tonight. :thumb:

[The sarge]

I'll try to give you a scouting report for the Belfry faithful. At this point in the season with all the film on everyone there aren't really any secrets anyway. Somerset has been very balanced this season. On offense Somerset does primarily run out of the spread. However, they have ran more power and 2 back sets this season than in the past. The offensive numbers have been spread out amongst a number of players. 9 different players have scored a rushing touchdown for the Briar Jumpers and 6 different players have at least 100 yards rushing this season. However, the bulk of the rushing attack comes from 3 players none of whom average more than 6 carries a game (all stats are after 12 games the Breathitt game has not been added yet): The leading rusher is Alex Lange with 636 yards. He averages 13 yards a carry. Alex is not a burner but a very hard, smart runner who follows his blocks well and always seems to fall forward and get extra yards. Derrick Jackson has been second on the team in yardage this season but honestly would have to be considered the feature back. He rushed for 700+ yards as a sophomore but injured his knee in 2009 and missed almost the entire season. The fact that he is not the leading rusher this season is due more to the fact that his workload was intentionally kept down to give him time to get his knee back to full strengh and have him fresh for the playoffs. He is around 190 lbs, fast and runs with a punishing style. Zack Bastin will also see time in the backfield. Zack is more of a scat back type. He runs to the outside, catches a lot of passes etc. He is also the Briar Jumpers leading scorer and does know what to do with the ball near the goal line. Not to be lost in the shuffle is quarterback Erik Manning who has over 450 yards himself this season. He can and will tuck it and run at any time and has the speed to break a long one. It is hard to say who will lead the Briar Jumpers in rushing on a given night as all 4 backs mentioned have over 375 yards on the season. In power sets defensive linemen Trey and Tevin Slaughter often line up in the triangle formation with Bastin, Lange or Jackson in the back of the triangle.

 

The passing game is about as varied as the rushing attack. The screen game is still a big part of the offense but not nearly as big as in the past. As Manning has gotten stronger and matured as a passer the Briar Jumpers have added a lot more downfield passing than last season. Storm Wilson is still the main reciever. He has the speed to go deep and beat teams over the top and is elusive enough to take a bubble screen to the house from anywhere. His numbers have been limited a little bit this season due to the Briar Jumpers not passing as much in blowouts. He was All-State last season and is stroner and faster this season. He is paired with JP Henderlight. Henderlight is a tall 6'3" receiver who has gotten a lot stronger this season. He uses his body well and is very tough coming across the middle and also on the deep ball with his height. The slot receiver is Corey Jones. Corey is a tall, lanky reciever that has demonstrated excellent hands this season. Tight end Clayton Stringer does not get a ton of balls thrown his way but he has excellent hands and is very athletic. Bastin, Jackson and Lange will also catch passes out of the backfield.

 

Somerset's offensive line is not very big, their biggest lineman is around 230 pounds. However, they are very quick, athletic and are well suited for the type of offense ran by the Briar Jumpers. Their guards and tackles have the ability to pull and get to the second level and have been responsible for turning a lot of 5-10 yard gains into touchdowns this season. Henderlight, Stringer and Wilson are also excellent downfield blockers. The offensive line features 3 seniors and 2 juniors. Jordan Perdue is the right tackle he is in his first year playing on the offensive line after converting from fullback. He is the biggest of the linemen and very physical. The right guard is a platoon between seniors Joey Harris and Seth Lake. Lake is the bigger and stronger of the 2 while Harris is more experienced and quicker. The center is Jarred Price. Price is around 215 pounds and very quick and strong. The left guard is Justin Perdue, he is a little smaller than his brother Jordan but is very good at getting downfield and getting to linebackers. Junior Taylor Speaks holds down the left tackle spot. He is 6'2" but only about 200 lbs. He is not big but has done a good job protecting Manning's blind side and is also good at getting downfield and blocking at the 2nd and 3rd level.

 

That's the Briar Jumper offense. How about Belfry?

 

Nice post! Can't wait for Watusi's response.

[Watusi]

Belfry's offense is run by Jr QB Williams #4. He makes good reads and runs the offense very efficiently. He can tuck and run when he needs to and actually passes with good accuracy, albeit not too often. Tyler has thrown for about 700 yards and run for about 800 yards over the course of the season.

 

The three running backs who get most of the carries are Jr FB Willis #3, Sr RB Pruitt #2 and So RB Robinson #40. Willis is a stout FB with surprising speed and he is very tough. He gets the tough yards. He is low to the ground and build like a fire hydrant. He has about 800 yard rushing on the season but has really peaked in the latter half with several 100 yd rushing games.

 

Pruitt is a speedster who prefers to get to the outside, racking up 1100-1200 yards unofficially on the season. He is very quick to the corner and has the best moves of anyone in the backfield, but at 5'9 and about 160 lbs is not as durable. Pruitt will still carry inside, but looks to bounce it outside at the first chance. He has been effective running jet sweeps and options.

 

Robinson is the youngest member of the backfield, and has turned into a very capable RB also. He has good size and decent speed, and is a vert good blocker. He averages 5-6 carries a game, but usually will break one or two for 15-20 yards just when it is needed. He has somewhere around 500 yards on the year.

 

Occasionally you will see Jr, #5 Runyon in the fullback slot and when he is, he is a bruiser. He has rested most of the season letting Willis play offense while he focuses on defense. Still he has about 500 yards on the season.

 

Belfry runs very little true wishbone like you may be used to seeing. They usually line up with double wings and a traditional fullback. They run a lot of motion and still run their base offense out of this formation. You will see some belly series, veer, inside reverses, counters and sweeps as well as option. They really don't have a feature back either, but every one they put in the game can run well. By my calculations, they have around 3800 yards rushing and 800 yards passing on the season, and they are probably at least 90% run oriented.

 

Williams' favorite target is Sr WR #33 Gibbs, but he will also throw to anyone out of the backfield and also to Sr WR #11 Francis.

 

The offensive line is lead by Sr T #50 Tackett and , Sr G #61 Francis. Also playing in the trenches is Jr C #59 Fields, Jr G #62 Nelson and Jr T #64 Duty. TE duties are split between Sr #16 Bentley and So #23 Messer. This unit has turned into a very good blocking offensive line. They move well, and miss very few assignments. It has been a pleasure watching them grow into what you want to see from an offensive line. They have been opening some nice holes and are the heart of this offense.

 

 

Hope this helps a little for those coming to watch. I'm sure I've left somebody off or maybe even got somebody in the wrong position, but if so it was unintentional.

 

Maybe we can do the defenses tomorrow, AJG.

[AverageJoesGym]

Belfry's offense is run by Jr QB Williams #4. He makes good reads and runs the offense very efficiently. He can tuck and run when he needs to and actually passes with good accuracy, albeit not too often. Tyler has thrown for about 700 yards and run for about 800 yards over the course of the season.

 

The three running backs who get most of the carries are Jr FB Willis #3, Sr RB Pruitt #2 and So RB Robinson #40. Willis is a stout FB with surprising speed and he is very tough. He gets the tough yards. He is low to the ground and build like a fire hydrant. He has about 800 yard rushing on the season but has really peaked in the latter half with several 100 yd rushing games.

 

Pruitt is a speedster who prefers to get to the outside, racking up 1100-1200 yards unofficially on the season. He is very quick to the corner and has the best moves of anyone in the backfield, but at 5'9 and about 160 lbs is not as durable. Pruitt will still carry inside, but looks to bounce it outside at the first chance. He has been effective running jet sweeps and options.

 

Robinson is the youngest member of the backfield, and has turned into a very capable RB also. He has good size and decent speed, and is a vert good blocker. He averages 5-6 carries a game, but usually will break one or two for 15-20 yards just when it is needed. He has somewhere around 500 yards on the year.

 

Occasionally you will see Jr, #5 Runyon in the fullback slot and when he is, he is a bruiser. He has rested most of the season letting Willis play offense while he focuses on defense. Still he has about 500 yards on the season.

 

Belfry runs very little true wishbone like you may be used to seeing. They usually line up with double wings and a traditional fullback. They run a lot of motion and still run their base offense out of this formation. You will see some belly series, veer, inside reverses, counters and sweeps as well as option. They really don't have a feature back either, but every one they put in the game can run well. By my calculations, they have around 3800 yards rushing and 800 yards passing on the season, and they are probably at least 90% run oriented.

 

Williams' favorite target is Sr WR #33 Gibbs, but he will also throw to anyone out of the backfield and also to Sr WR #11 Francis.

 

The offensive line is lead by Sr T #50 Tackett and , Sr G #61 Francis. Also playing in the trenches is Jr C #59 Fields, Jr G #62 Nelson and Jr T #64 Duty. TE duties are split between Sr #16 Bentley and So #23 Messer. This unit has turned into a very good blocking offensive line. They move well, and miss very few assignments. It has been a pleasure watching them grow into what you want to see from an offensive line. They have been opening some nice holes and are the heart of this offense.

 

 

Hope this helps a little for those coming to watch. I'm sure I've left somebody off or maybe even got somebody in the wrong position, but if so it was unintentional.

 

Maybe we can do the defenses tomorrow, AJG.

 

Thanks for the scouting report. I'm off work this week so I'll try to write up a defensive/special teams report tomorrow.

[The sarge]

Belfry's offense is run by Jr QB Williams #4. He makes good reads and runs the offense very efficiently. He can tuck and run when he needs to and actually passes with good accuracy, albeit not too often. Tyler has thrown for about 700 yards and run for about 800 yards over the course of the season.

 

The three running backs who get most of the carries are Jr FB Willis #3, Sr RB Pruitt #2 and So RB Robinson #40. Willis is a stout FB with surprising speed and he is very tough. He gets the tough yards. He is low to the ground and build like a fire hydrant. He has about 800 yard rushing on the season but has really peaked in the latter half with several 100 yd rushing games.

 

Pruitt is a speedster who prefers to get to the outside, racking up 1100-1200 yards unofficially on the season. He is very quick to the corner and has the best moves of anyone in the backfield, but at 5'9 and about 160 lbs is not as durable. Pruitt will still carry inside, but looks to bounce it outside at the first chance. He has been effective running jet sweeps and options.

 

Robinson is the youngest member of the backfield, and has turned into a very capable RB also. He has good size and decent speed, and is a vert good blocker. He averages 5-6 carries a game, but usually will break one or two for 15-20 yards just when it is needed. He has somewhere around 500 yards on the year.

 

Occasionally you will see Jr, #5 Runyon in the fullback slot and when he is, he is a bruiser. He has rested most of the season letting Willis play offense while he focuses on defense. Still he has about 500 yards on the season.

 

Belfry runs very little true wishbone like you may be used to seeing. They usually line up with double wings and a traditional fullback. They run a lot of motion and still run their base offense out of this formation. You will see some belly series, veer, inside reverses, counters and sweeps as well as option. They really don't have a feature back either, but every one they put in the game can run well. By my calculations, they have around 3800 yards rushing and 800 yards passing on the season, and they are probably at least 90% run oriented.

 

Williams' favorite target is Sr WR #33 Gibbs, but he will also throw to anyone out of the backfield and also to Sr WR #11 Francis.

 

The offensive line is lead by Sr T #50 Tackett and , Sr G #61 Francis. Also playing in the trenches is Jr C #59 Fields, Jr G #62 Nelson and Jr T #64 Duty. TE duties are split between Sr #16 Bentley and So #23 Messer. This unit has turned into a very good blocking offensive line. They move well, and miss very few assignments. It has been a pleasure watching them grow into what you want to see from an offensive line. They have been opening some nice holes and are the heart of this offense.

 

 

Hope this helps a little for those coming to watch. I'm sure I've left somebody off or maybe even got somebody in the wrong position, but if so it was unintentional.

 

Maybe we can do the defenses tomorrow, AJG.

 

Great report.

[TRENCHMASTER]

This fantastic stuff AvgJoe and Wats. If you guys aren't coaches you need to think about becoming one.

[Watusi]

I'm thankful for... football practice on Thanksgiving. :banana:

[The sarge]

I'm thankful for... football practice on Thanksgiving. :banana:

 

Great day for practice!

[Jumper_Dad]

I'm thankful for... football practice on Thanksgiving. :banana:

I agree... :bunny: