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Dixie Heights at Woodford County Predictions/Updates

Colonels vs. Yellow Jackets 57 members have voted

  1. 1. Pick a side...

This poll is closed to new votes

Poll closed on 11/03/2023 at 11:00 PM

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9 minutes ago, goallinestand06 said:


This is a great analysis. Dixie players look the part and they certainly have the talent, but the coaching and schemes seem very “gimmicky” and lack identity. 
 

I voted for Dixie in the poll, but I think it depends on the scheme the staff enters this week with. I can see a close Dixie win if players are put in a position to succeed, or a Woodford win by 3+ scores. Despite my vote earlier this week, I’ll say 31-9 Wofo. 

I wouldn't even call it gimmicky.  I'd call it bad play calling or not knowing any better.  They either need new coordinators, or the coordinators need to get someone to show them how to do much better at whatever it is they are trying to accomplish.

4 of their 6 losses were directly because of bad coaching decisions.  That's really hard on kids who are playing their rear ends off when they are put in next to impossible situations from those that are in charge of them.  

But the team has continued to play extremely hard each week despite that.

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    That is a spot on summary of Dixie. Wish I had written it. Well done!

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1 minute ago, New Colonel said:

I wouldn't even call it gimmicky.  I'd call it bad play calling or not knowing any better.  They either need new coordinators, or the coordinators need to get someone to show them how to do much better at whatever it is they are trying to accomplish.

Did you see any of Dixie's games last year?

12 minutes ago, theguru said:

Did you see any of Dixie's games last year?

No.  

I coached high school football at a few different places for a decade, on both sides of the river.  Then, I gave it up as my own kids started with sports because I wasn't seeing my kids at all.  So for the past 8 years, I have picked a different game to go see in the tri-state with the family.  

It's been nice this season to have an actual team to root for again.

3 minutes ago, New Colonel said:

No.  

You would have lost your mind had you watched them last year.  For all Dixie's shortcomings with the coaching staff this year, it has been a big improvement over last year.

If you get bored one night do a search and go back and read some of the Dixie game threads from last year. 

42 minutes ago, Redheat said:

I don't think either one makes it out of the 2nd rd.

Really? Seeing as whoever wins goes to Highlands we can all agree that you right.

On 11/1/2023 at 2:13 PM, 9068 said:

Does he get to play lol?

No but I heard rumors he coaches.. 

This year's offense definitely isn't gimmicky.  They get to the line quickly and then wait for the play.  Sometimes it takes way too long for that play to get in as it doesn't match the formation they're in.  Sometimes it makes you wish for last year's offense.  LOL.  When they run, they're going to run at you between the tackles.  There's no motion, no reverses, no counters, no sweeps, just pound it right at you.  The route running is very basic.  Mwamba or Beach are going to run go or post routes.  Everyone else is going to run short to intermediate routes.

Defensively, they're going to sell out 95% of the time leaving their DBs in 1-on-1 coverage.  They have two solid high school corners in Mwamba and Beach that they're willing to take their chances with.  Brzygot is the 3rd corner that is young but has improved as the season has gone along.  

As for the QB, Gregg is a solid high school QB.  IMO, his biggest issue this year seems to be his confidence passing the ball.  It's almost as though he's scared to over throw his receivers.  He has the arm for that not to occur 90% of the time.  I don't know if that is the pressure coaches are putting on him or just something he's putting on himself.  He needs to just cut it loose and let it fly.

12 minutes ago, nees1212 said:

This year's offense definitely isn't gimmicky.  They get to the line quickly and then wait for the play.  Sometimes it takes way too long for that play to get in as it doesn't match the formation they're in.  Sometimes it makes you wish for last year's offense.  LOL.  When they run, they're going to run at you between the tackles.  There's no motion, no reverses, no counters, no sweeps, just pound it right at you.  The route running is very basic.  Mwamba or Beach are going to run go or post routes.  Everyone else is going to run short to intermediate routes.

Defensively, they're going to sell out 95% of the time leaving their DBs in 1-on-1 coverage.  They have two solid high school corners in Mwamba and Beach that they're willing to take their chances with.  Brzygot is the 3rd corner that is young but has improved as the season has gone along.  

As for the QB, Gregg is a solid high school QB.  IMO, his biggest issue this year seems to be his confidence passing the ball.  It's almost as though he's scared to over throw his receivers.  He has the arm for that not to occur 90% of the time.  I don't know if that is the pressure coaches are putting on him or just something he's putting on himself.  He needs to just cut it loose and let it fly.

I agree on the formations and passing concepts.

I disagree vehemently on your assessment of the corners.  They get beat for BIG yards and TDs in every game.  Dixie's run defense isn't a huge issue, it's them getting absolutely gashed in the pass game.  Their corners simply cannot run with receivers, now maybe that's coaching also.  The WRs run right by them in press man every time.  Maybe they are taught trail technique for some reason with no safety help?

I also disagree about Gregg.  He is inaccurate. I would have had Fields as my QB at the beginning of the year and Gregg at RB.  Let Fields take his lumps early before District play and then he should be rockin and rollin by the time playoffs hit.  To have a 3 year starting QB is a very good problem to have.

17 hours ago, New Colonel said:

I agree on the formations and passing concepts.

I disagree vehemently on your assessment of the corners.  They get beat for BIG yards and TDs in every game.  Dixie's run defense isn't a huge issue, it's them getting absolutely gashed in the pass game.  Their corners simply cannot run with receivers, now maybe that's coaching also.  The WRs run right by them in press man every time.  Maybe they are taught trail technique for some reason with no safety help?

I also disagree about Gregg.  He is inaccurate. I would have had Fields as my QB at the beginning of the year and Gregg at RB.  Let Fields take his lumps early before District play and then he should be rockin and rollin by the time playoffs hit.  To have a 3 year starting QB is a very good problem to have.

Bored at work, so throwing out some numbers.

Dixie gives up 198 yards per game in the air.  Take away the BW and Ryle games, which were brutal, and they're down to 142 per game.  BW's speed at the receiver spot is unmatched.  In the Ryle game, Dixie just looked like they were going through the motions.  The most missed tackles I've seen all year.  They just looked lethargic. With Dixie's style, those DBs are left on an island all night long.  

Gregg as a sophomore had a 65% completion percentage. They had a lot more quick passes with the type of offense they ran last year.  This year, he's down to 57%.  As mentioned, he doesn't seem as confident throwing the ball down the field this year.  As for Fields, I haven't seen him play other than the Ryle game.  Therefore, I cannot say if I think they'd be better served with Fields at QB and Gregg at RB.  

Woodford will have the fastest player on the field. 

16 minutes ago, Redheat said:

Woodford will have the fastest player on the field. 

Beach is pretty fast!

21 hours ago, Down4theblue said:

Kinda weird about Woodford. In the last 3 years they haven’t lost to a team, you would say Dang, they should not have lost to. 
21 South Warren (state champ)

22 Simon Kenton questionable 

22 Douglas (state champ)

23 BE Defending State Champ

23 Scott Co (top 4 to win 5a) this year

23 Ballard questionable 

 

Hold on the SK loss was because of the home cooking. It's questionable at all, it was the zebras, just go back and listen to the boys in the booth during that game.

Taylor # 5 runs a 10.8 100 meter.

40 minutes ago, MaddenCurse44 said:

Beach is pretty fast!

I believe Mwamba (#5) is the fastest Dixie player.  

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