Tigerpride94 Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 Formula uses strength of schedule of teams played and adds in average margin of victory/loss with a max credit of 36 points. 6A: Frederick Douglass 84.39 Male 82.23 Trinity 81.66 St. Xavier 81.56 Manual 76.57 Bryan Station 65.36 Ryle 64.99 Ballard 63.69 Simon Kenton 61.07 Bullitt East 54.8 Central Hardin 54.29 Tates Creek 54.14 Henderson County 53 North Hardin 50.92 Meade County 50.09 George Rogers Clark 49.83 Pleasure Ridge Park 49.44 Fern Creek 48.18 McCracken County 46.43 Great Crossing 46.04 Campbell County 41.8 Eastern 39.51 Christian County 34.85 Madison Central 31.62 Oldham County 29.63 Barren County 28.76 Daviess County 25.02 Paul Dunbar 22.24 Henry Clay 19.34 Warren Central 16.3 Lafayette 8.95 Southern 0.25 5A: Highlands 80.68 South Warren 73.28 Bowling Green 71.73 Scott County 63.99 Dixie Heights 62.83 Southwestern 62.38 Cooper 61.74 Owensboro 60.76 South Oldham 60.31 Greenwood 56.8 Madisonville N. Hopkins 49.74 Graves County 45.41 North Laurel 45.05 Woodford County 43.92 Conner 42.95 Pulaski County 41.87 Collins 38.2 Madison Southern 34.31 Atherton 30.6 Butler 28.48 Apollo 27.13 Fairdale 26.88 Seneca 25.19 Grayson County 22.23 West Jessamine 20.28 North Bullitt 19.16 South Laurel 15.13 Montgomery County 14.72 Boone County 11.09 East Jessamine 10.86 Harlan County 8.8 Moore 8.48 Bullitt Central 7.94 Marshall County 6.37 Scott 3.58 Anderson County 2.07 Muhlenberg County -1.75 Ohio County -11.94 Iroquois -31.1 4A: Corbin 85.3 Covington Catholic 82.29 Boyle County 78.07 Paducah Tilghman 73.09 Ashland Blazer 64.59 Franklin County 56.13 Johnson Central 44.38 Greenup County 43.68 North Oldham 43.43 Taylor County 42.69 Henry County 42.1 Logan County 41.59 Boyd County 39.56 Whitley County 38.93 Allen Co. Scottsville 38.37 Nelson County 36.49 Letcher Co. Central 34.66 Warren East 34.39 Mason County 34.21 Perry Co. Central 33.61 DeSales 33.02 Shelby County 33.01 Bardstown 32.03 Hopkinsville 31.72 Wayne County 28.82 Lincoln County 27.93 Spencer County 22.87 John Hardin 17.53 Russell County 17.12 Calloway County 14.6 Jeffersontown 12.96 Western Hills 10.43 Harrison County 9.85 Grant County 6.59 Rowan County 6.08 Western 2.38 Breckinridge County 0.41 Thomas Nelson -3.2 Waggener -3.33 Doss -9.8 Holmes -11.79 Valley -16.81 3A: Christian Academy - Lou. 75.14 Lexington Catholic 67.7 Central 56.39 Bell County 54.18 Union County 53.76 Belfry 50.36 Glasgow 48.28 Mercer County 45.52 Franklin Simpson 44.23 Lloyd Memorial 43.88 Adair County 43.27 Russell 41 Rockcastle County 37 Clay County 33.87 Hart County 33.72 Lawrence County 33.4 Casey County 29 East Carter 28.64 Hopkins Co. Central 27.32 Marion County 21.94 Fleming County 20.76 Webster County 20.3 Hancock County 18.82 Elizabethtown 18.65 McClean County 18.4 LaRue County 18.34 Trigg County 15.7 Knox Central 15.62 West Carter 15.44 Estill County 13.69 McCreary Central 11.81 Garrard County 10.8 Magoffin County 3.54 Powell County 2.49 Butler County 1.53 Lewis County -0.9 Bourbon County -7.3 Morgan County -7.42 Pendleton County -19.46 Bath County -28.12 2A: Lexington Christian Academy 75.12 Mayfield 73.66 Beechwood 71.24 Owensboro Catholic 69.94 Green County 35.13 Murray 35.1 Somerset 35.1 Shelby Valley 30.58 Crittenden County 29.45 Breathitt County 26.32 Washington County 24.8 Monroe County 23.26 Leslie County 19.28 Martin County 17.01 Prestonsburg 16.67 Pike Co. Central 16.52 Caldwell County 15.93 Danville 15.27 Bracken County 12.86 Carroll County 12.69 Metcalfe County 11.9 Walton-Verona 11.36 Betsy Lane 9.16 Fort Campbell 6.93 Gallatin County 5.46 Floyd Central 2.3 Todd Co Central 1.25 East Ridge -0.6 Owen County -0.62 Clinton County -1.41 Edmonson County -1.91 WEB DuBois -4.37 Jackson County -6.61 Shawnee -8.92 Fort Knox -17.36 Knott County Central -28.71 1A: Pikeville 59.43 Raceland 54.34 Campbellsville 43.15 KY Country Day 41.64 Paris 35.69 Sayre 30.76 Newport Central Catholic 30.31 Bethlehem 29.8 Lou. Holy Cross 24.02 Newport 20.56 Eminence 19.88 Middlesboro 12.39 Ludlow 9.87 Williamsburg 8.38 Hazard 5.58 Dayton 3.65 Bishop Brossart 3.62 Paintsville 3.02 Cov. Holy Cross 2.68 Frankfort 1.17 Harlan 1.16 Russellville -1.73 Pineville -2.4 Caverna -4 Trimble County -7.74 Nicholas County -7.82 Bellevue -13.85 Ballard Memorial -15.7 Fulton County -18.4 Lynn Camp -21.52 Berea -32.08 Fairview -39.06 Jenkins -49.8 Phelps -53.66 Top 20: Corbin 85.3 Frederick Douglass 84.39 Covington Catholic 82.29 Male 82.23 Trinity 81.66 St. Xavier 81.56 Highlands 80.68 Boyle County 78.07 Manual 76.57 Christian Academy 75.14 Lexington Christian 75.12 Mayfield 73.66 South Warren 73.28 Paducah Tilghman 73.09 Bowling Green 71.73 Beechwood 71.24 Owensboro Catholic 69.94 Lexington Catholic 67.7 Bryan Station 65.36 Ryle 64.99 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WYW Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 What is this based from? Reason I ask is the rankings are all over the place. How were these percentages generated? Massey, Calpreps, KSR are similar. I guess the thing we can agree on with all these ratings is that each class is more wide open than initially thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theguru Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, WYW said: What is this based from? Reason I ask is the rankings are all over the place. How were these percentages generated? Massey, Calpreps, KSR are similar. I guess the thing we can agree on with all these ratings is that each class is more wide open than initially thought. I would start here with what @Tigerpride94 listed above: Formula uses strength of schedule of teams played and adds in average margin of victory/loss with a max credit of 36 points. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WYW Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, theguru said: I would start here with what @Tigerpride94 listed above: Formula uses strength of schedule of teams played and adds in average margin of victory/loss with a max credit of 36 points. Yep. I looked right over that statement. Sorry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tigerpride94 Posted September 20, 2023 Author Share Posted September 20, 2023 The strength of schedule plays big part in these especially since margin of victory is capped at 36 points. Most teams have some weak teams on their schedule so should mostly average out by end of season. Once get to 3rd round of playoffs, I'll take out teams on schedule with losing records and rating will be based on teams played with winning records which I think will be even more accurate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaddenCurse44 Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 SK should be flipped with Ryle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theguru Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 29 minutes ago, MaddenCurse44 said: SK should be flipped with Ryle. Are you suggesting there is a mathematical error? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Astro Domino Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 I still say these are the best rankings out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theguru Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, Astro Domino said: I still say these are the best rankings out there. If nothing else it is scientifically based. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Tracy Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 7 hours ago, Tigerpride94 said: Formula uses strength of schedule of teams played and adds in average margin of victory/loss with a max credit of 36 points. 6A: Frederick Douglass 84.39 Male 82.23 Trinity 81.66 St. Xavier 81.56 Manual 76.57 Bryan Station 65.36 Ryle 64.99 Ballard 63.69 Simon Kenton 61.07 Bullitt East 54.8 Central Hardin 54.29 Tates Creek 54.14 Henderson County 53 North Hardin 50.92 Meade County 50.09 George Rogers Clark 49.83 Pleasure Ridge Park 49.44 Fern Creek 48.18 McCracken County 46.43 Great Crossing 46.04 Campbell County 41.8 Eastern 39.51 Christian County 34.85 Madison Central 31.62 Oldham County 29.63 Barren County 28.76 Daviess County 25.02 Paul Dunbar 22.24 Henry Clay 19.34 Warren Central 16.3 Lafayette 8.95 Southern 0.25 5A: Highlands 80.68 South Warren 73.28 Bowling Green 71.73 Scott County 63.99 Dixie Heights 62.83 Southwestern 62.38 Cooper 61.74 Owensboro 60.76 South Oldham 60.31 Greenwood 56.8 Madisonville N. Hopkins 49.74 Graves County 45.41 North Laurel 45.05 Woodford County 43.92 Conner 42.95 Pulaski County 41.87 Collins 38.2 Madison Southern 34.31 Atherton 30.6 Butler 28.48 Apollo 27.13 Fairdale 26.88 Seneca 25.19 Grayson County 22.23 West Jessamine 20.28 North Bullitt 19.16 South Laurel 15.13 Montgomery County 14.72 Boone County 11.09 East Jessamine 10.86 Harlan County 8.8 Moore 8.48 Bullitt Central 7.94 Marshall County 6.37 Scott 3.58 Anderson County 2.07 Muhlenberg County -1.75 Ohio County -11.94 Iroquois -31.1 4A: Corbin 85.3 Covington Catholic 82.29 Boyle County 78.07 Paducah Tilghman 73.09 Ashland Blazer 64.59 Franklin County 56.13 Johnson Central 44.38 Greenup County 43.68 North Oldham 43.43 Taylor County 42.69 Henry County 42.1 Logan County 41.59 Boyd County 39.56 Whitley County 38.93 Allen Co. Scottsville 38.37 Nelson County 36.49 Letcher Co. Central 34.66 Warren East 34.39 Mason County 34.21 Perry Co. Central 33.61 DeSales 33.02 Shelby County 33.01 Bardstown 32.03 Hopkinsville 31.72 Wayne County 28.82 Lincoln County 27.93 Spencer County 22.87 John Hardin 17.53 Russell County 17.12 Calloway County 14.6 Jeffersontown 12.96 Western Hills 10.43 Harrison County 9.85 Grant County 6.59 Rowan County 6.08 Western 2.38 Breckinridge County 0.41 Thomas Nelson -3.2 Waggener -3.33 Doss -9.8 Holmes -11.79 Valley -16.81 3A: Christian Academy - Lou. 75.14 Lexington Catholic 67.7 Central 56.39 Bell County 54.18 Union County 53.76 Belfry 50.36 Glasgow 48.28 Mercer County 45.52 Franklin Simpson 44.23 Lloyd Memorial 43.88 Adair County 43.27 Russell 41 Rockcastle County 37 Clay County 33.87 Hart County 33.72 Lawrence County 33.4 Casey County 29 East Carter 28.64 Hopkins Co. Central 27.32 Marion County 21.94 Fleming County 20.76 Webster County 20.3 Hancock County 18.82 Elizabethtown 18.65 McClean County 18.4 LaRue County 18.34 Trigg County 15.7 Knox Central 15.62 West Carter 15.44 Estill County 13.69 McCreary Central 11.81 Garrard County 10.8 Magoffin County 3.54 Powell County 2.49 Butler County 1.53 Lewis County -0.9 Bourbon County -7.3 Morgan County -7.42 Pendleton County -19.46 Bath County -28.12 2A: Lexington Christian Academy 75.12 Mayfield 73.66 Beechwood 71.24 Owensboro Catholic 69.94 Green County 35.13 Murray 35.1 Somerset 35.1 Shelby Valley 30.58 Crittenden County 29.45 Breathitt County 26.32 Washington County 24.8 Monroe County 23.26 Leslie County 19.28 Martin County 17.01 Prestonsburg 16.67 Pike Co. Central 16.52 Caldwell County 15.93 Danville 15.27 Bracken County 12.86 Carroll County 12.69 Metcalfe County 11.9 Walton-Verona 11.36 Betsy Lane 9.16 Fort Campbell 6.93 Gallatin County 5.46 Floyd Central 2.3 Todd Co Central 1.25 East Ridge -0.6 Owen County -0.62 Clinton County -1.41 Edmonson County -1.91 WEB DuBois -4.37 Jackson County -6.61 Shawnee -8.92 Fort Knox -17.36 Knott County Central -28.71 1A: Pikeville 59.43 Raceland 54.34 Campbellsville 43.15 KY Country Day 41.64 Paris 35.69 Sayre 30.76 Newport Central Catholic 30.31 Bethlehem 29.8 Lou. Holy Cross 24.02 Newport 20.56 Eminence 19.88 Middlesboro 12.39 Ludlow 9.87 Williamsburg 8.38 Hazard 5.58 Dayton 3.65 Bishop Brossart 3.62 Paintsville 3.02 Cov. Holy Cross 2.68 Frankfort 1.17 Harlan 1.16 Russellville -1.73 Pineville -2.4 Caverna -4 Trimble County -7.74 Nicholas County -7.82 Bellevue -13.85 Ballard Memorial -15.7 Fulton County -18.4 Lynn Camp -21.52 Berea -32.08 Fairview -39.06 Jenkins -49.8 Phelps -53.66 Top 20: Corbin 85.3 Frederick Douglass 84.39 Covington Catholic 82.29 Male 82.23 Trinity 81.66 St. Xavier 81.56 Highlands 80.68 Boyle County 78.07 Manual 76.57 Christian Academy 75.14 Lexington Christian 75.12 Mayfield 73.66 South Warren 73.28 Paducah Tilghman 73.09 Bowling Green 71.73 Beechwood 71.24 Owensboro Catholic 69.94 Lexington Catholic 67.7 Bryan Station 65.36 Ryle 64.99 This means nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaddenCurse44 Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 2 hours ago, theguru said: Are you suggesting there is a mathematical error? A common sense error. Will find out soon enough win the Pioneers beat Ryle October 20th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theguru Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 3 minutes ago, MaddenCurse44 said: A common sense error. Will find out soon enough win the Pioneers beat Ryle October 20th. I am sure the TP94 Rankings will be different then, or put another way, let the Robot work! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrankNicodemus Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 3 minutes ago, theguru said: I am sure the TP94 Rankings will be different then, or put another way, let the Robot work! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrankNicodemus Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 I mean, I think this is spot on at least for 5A..... Great work @Tigerpride94! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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