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How Many Teams Realistically Have A Chance?

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Realistically how many teams still have a chance at the playoff?

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To me it is 8:

Alabama

Auburn

Clemson

UofL

Ohio State

Michigan

Wisconsin

Washington

 

Mathematically these teams are still in it, but not a realistic chance:

Penn State

Oklahoma

West Virginia

Overall, I agree with those who you have selected. I think Wisconsin has the most outside chance, Auburn could maybe be put in that category too.

  • Author
Overall, I agree with those who you have selected. I think Wisconsin has the most outside chance, Auburn could maybe be put in that category too.
My opinions on Wisconsin and Auburn are they still control their own destiny as far as winning their conference and if they win their conference they will have beaten a previously ranked team in the top 4. I think that gets them in over a 1 loss Washington.
My opinions on Wisconsin and Auburn are they still control their own destiny as far as winning their conference and if they win their conference they will have beaten a previously ranked team in the top 4. I think that gets them in over a 1 loss Washington.

 

No question, even with last weeks playoff ranking changing quickly with A&M losing over the weekend. Washington being at #5 was more than enough of an indicator.

To me it is 8:

Alabama

Auburn

Clemson

UofL

Ohio State

Michigan

Wisconsin

Washington

 

Mathematically these teams are still in it, but not a realistic chance:

Penn State

Oklahoma

West Virginia

 

To me it's only 7, I don't think Wisconsin has a realistic chance at all. Michigan is going to be undefeated going into the OSU game. Say OSU wins but loses in the big 10 championship to Wisconsin. Michigan would still go before Wisconsin. Or if Michigan beats OSU but loses to Wisconsin in the big 10 championship. Michigan would still go if any team from the Big 10 goes in that scenario.

 

The only way Wisconsin goes if if Michigan loses a game before the OSU game, and that is not realistic imo. So it's basically down to 7 teams now.

  • Author
To me it's only 7, I don't think Wisconsin has a realistic chance at all. Michigan is going to be undefeated going into the OSU game. Say OSU wins but loses in the big 10 championship to Wisconsin. Michigan would still go before Wisconsin. Or if Michigan beats OSU but loses to Wisconsin in the big 10 championship. Michigan would still go if any team from the Big 10 goes in that scenario.

 

The only way Wisconsin goes if if Michigan loses a game before the OSU game, and that is not realistic imo. So it's basically down to 7 teams now.

I disagree. How can you say that Michigan would go ahead of Wisconsin when Wisconsin would have just beat them or Ohio State (who would have beat Michigan the week before)? I don't see any logic behind that, especially considering how close the first 2 games were against Ohio State and Michigan. I don't think it matters because I think Ohio State or Michigan will win the Big 10 anyways, but if Wisconsin wins and Washington has a loss, they're in in my eyes.

I disagree. How can you say that Michigan would go ahead of Wisconsin when Wisconsin would have just beat them or Ohio State (who would have beat Michigan the week before)? I don't see any logic behind that, especially considering how close the first 2 games were against Ohio State and Michigan. I don't think it matters because I think Ohio State or Michigan will win the Big 10 anyways, but if Wisconsin wins and Washington has a loss, they're in in my eyes.

 

It's very easy for me to say that. At the end of the day in that case Michigan would have still had a win over them too, and one less lost on their resume. If Wisconsin wins the Big 10 championship, Michigan will still be in over them either way. If Michigans only lost is to OSU and Wisconsin then wins the Big 10, Michigan still gets the nod with one lost and a win over them. Or if Michigan's first lost doesn't come until the Big 10 championship to Wiscontinue. Michigan still would get in over them because they would have split with Wisconsin and had a win over OSU.

 

Wisconsin is not getting in over Michigan if Michigan only had one lost. It won't happen.

I disagree. How can you say that Michigan would go ahead of Wisconsin when Wisconsin would have just beat them or Ohio State (who would have beat Michigan the week before)? I don't see any logic behind that, especially considering how close the first 2 games were against Ohio State and Michigan. I don't think it matters because I think Ohio State or Michigan will win the Big 10 anyways, but if Wisconsin wins and Washington has a loss, they're in in my eyes.

 

It's easy to say, because that's what would happen. :lol2:

 

A one loss Michigan team is getting in ahead of a 2 loss Wisconsin, that's just the way it is.

  • Author
It's easy to say, because that's what would happen. :lol2:

 

A one loss Michigan team is getting in ahead of a 2 loss Wisconsin, that's just the way it is.

Even if that one loss came during the Big 10 championship game? Come on man. How are they going to put a team in over another team that just beat them less than 24 hours before?

Even if that one loss came during the Big 10 championship game? Come on man. How are they going to put a team in over another team that just beat them less than 24 hours before?

 

See Post #8.

  • Author
See Post #8.

The committee values conference champions. If that is the one thing they have shown us these 1st 2 years it's that.

Even if that one loss came during the Big 10 championship game? Come on man. How are they going to put a team in over another team that just beat them less than 24 hours before?

 

Very easily. Michigan wins out and then gets beat by Wisconsin in the B1G title game, they'll still get in over Wisconsin.

  • Author
Very easily. Michigan wins out and then gets beat by Wisconsin in the B1G title game, they'll still get in over Wisconsin.

I understand the logic, but I still disagree. But we won't ever know because Ohio State/ Michigan are going to beat Wisconsin anyways.

I understand the logic, but I still disagree. But we won't ever know because Ohio State/ Michigan are going to beat Wisconsin anyways.

 

:lol2: Okay. If you flipped Ohio State and Michigan in that scenario, you know you'd agree with my assessment.

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