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2012 Election Night Discussion & Results

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If Obama is even close in Hamilton Co in Ohio, it's over. If Duval Co Florida goes Obama, it's over there. I was told by a friend in central Florida that the supression thing ticked off a lot of Dem's and they came out in force. But I dunno.

 

What suppression?

These nights are perfect for Twitter while we're waiting.

 

 

Brendans Tender Nips ‏@80want

BREAKING: Brian Setzer projected to win the swing states.

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CNN has actual votes as 51-49 Obama in FL with 59% in.

 

Your boy Gary Johnson got 1% of the vote here in lovely Pendleton County.

I think Obama has Ohio and Romney has Virginia and Florida is an Obama lean.

Interesting note from FiveThirtyEight(Have I ever mentioned them before?) about how close FL is.

 

 

8:42 P.M. A Close Race in Florida

In the final pre-election forecast at FiveThirtyEight, the state of Florida was exceptionally close. Officially, Mr. Obama was projected to 49.797 percent of the vote there, and Mr. Romney 49.775 percent, a difference of two-hundredths of a percentage point.

 

The last time a FiveThirtyEight forecast had projected such a close race was in the 2008 senate race in Minnesota, when our final pre-election forecast had given the Democrat, Al Franken, a nominal 0.1-point lead over the Republican incumbent, Norm Coleman. That race ended in a recount, with Mr. Franken winning after several months of ballot counting.

 

Florida, of course, is known for its recounts as well. We’re tracking the individual counties as they come in from that state, particularly those where there is a decent amount of Election Day votes reported, rather than just absentee ballots. Throughout the state, the vote tallies are coming in about exactly as you would expect in a tied race.

 

— Nate Silver

Every sharp in Vegas I follow on twitter is telling people to get your bets for Obama in if you still can. They think it's over for what its worth.

 

Fezzik's brother which understands the market says the sports sharps don't understand this betting market. I tend to believe him, but he's been saying forever Obama would win. He's not saying Romney will win now he's just saying its not 92% or higher right now.

John Yarmuth has won reelection. I'm a happy camper.

Looks like Barr is going to win.

 

The fake coal miner who was arrested for having a fake ID in college pulled it out. :lol:

One of the two judges I voted for won.

NBC called MI for the President.

6M votes counted so far in FL. Difference is 16k.

ABC did as well, Clizzy.

 

It shouldn't come as a surprise.

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