nWo

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    Today, 03:59 PM
    nWo started a thread Tornado Watch (WKY) in Weather
    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 70 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 350 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of southern Illinois western Kentucky
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  • nWo's Avatar
    Today, 03:26 PM
    As I expected this morning the Storm Prediction Center has raised the threat level for portions of western Kentucky. It is now up to a level 3 Enhanced Risk Area. I'm also raising the BGP Tornado Threat Index to level 2 for the section of Kentucky in the Enhanced Risk Area.
    2 replies | 50 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Today, 01:05 PM
    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 67 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 140 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of much of Indiana much of Ohio
    0 replies | 26 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Today, 10:33 AM
    This update is mainly for those in western Kentucky. The Storm Prediction Center has expanded the Enhanced Risk Area from this morning closer to Kentucky. The area doesn't include any parts of Kentucky as of yet but it is very close to the Owensboro area. Severe thunderstorms will develop ahead of a cold front this evening. The storms could produce damaging winds, a few tornadoes, and large hail. While the timing can't be exact but...
    2 replies | 50 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Today, 04:18 AM
    A BGP Severe Weather Alert Day will be in effect for later today into the overnight hours. There is also a BGP Level 1 Tornado Threat Index that will be in effect for the same period. The Storm Prediction Center has most of Kentucky in a Level 2 Slight Risk Area for severe storms later this evening into the overnight hours. Storms will develop and travel through the Ohio Valley later this evening will all severe hazards possible....
    2 replies | 50 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Yesterday, 06:31 PM
    Most of Kentucky is covered by a Category 2 Slight Risk Area for strong to severe storms Saturday evening into the overnight hours. Damaging winds, tornadoes, hail, and lightning all will possible. Overall confidence in the formation of these storms is high. At this moment the possible timing of the storms is as follows. West of I-65 8 pm EDT Friday to 2 am EDT Saturday. East of I-65 midnight to 5 am EDT Saturday morning. Please note that some...
    0 replies | 49 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Yesterday, 03:50 AM
    First, for Friday, there is a Marginal Risk for isolated strong to severe storms today. This looks to be confined north of I-64. If any develop the stronger storms could produce damaging winds gusts and possible hail. Saturday could see a more organized severe weather event. Hail and wind appear to be the primary hazards but a tornado risk could materialize with an adequate low-level shear forecast. Some of this activity may linger into...
    0 replies | 71 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 24, 20, 04:02 AM
    Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible later today. Some may become strong to severe especially in parts of western and southcentral Kentucky. The mains threats look to be damaging winds and possible hail mainly in the sections of Kentucky in the Marginal Risk Area. The severe threat for Wednesday has diminished.
    3 replies | 261 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 23, 20, 07:29 PM
    This will quick and sweet. As of tonight it appears that the system has shifted and is taking a more southerly track. So the severe threat level has decreased from yesterday. I am still monitoring the situation and will update early Tuesday morning.
    3 replies | 261 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 22, 20, 07:15 PM
    The severe threat Tuesday is still there. It may even be increasing some. At the moment the time period is between 5-10 pm EDT. With the greatest threat for possible tornadoes being 6-9 pm EDT. This map shows the main area of concern for possible tornadoes.
    3 replies | 261 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 22, 20, 03:45 AM
    A large cluster of thunderstorms should be ongoing Tuesday morning in central and southeastern Missouri. This convection is expected to move eastward across southern Illinois and into parts of western Kentucky around midday. Surface dewpoints should reach the lower 60s F by the afternoon across much of southern Kentucky, In response, conditions should become favorable just south of the Ohio River where surface-based thunderstorms that develop in...
    3 replies | 261 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 21, 20, 05:55 PM
    On Tuesday the medium-range models are in good agreement. Thunderstorms appear most likely to develop beneath the mid-level jet along the instability that will be centered in the mid-Mississippi Valley. These storms would move eastward across western Kentucky during the afternoon. Forecast instability combined with strong shear should be favorable for a severe threat Tuesday afternoon and evening. For Thursday, both the European and GFS...
    1 replies | 223 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 21, 20, 03:56 AM
    We have the potential for a couple of rounds of strong storms this upcoming week. First Tues afternoon/evening, isolated strong to severe storms will be possible. The farther west of I-75 you go the better chance to see strong storms. . On Thursday afternoon and evening there looks to be a better chance for a more organized chance of strong to severe storms. Especially for southcentral Kentucky. I will post an update later today.
    1 replies | 223 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 19, 20, 05:17 PM
    nWo started a thread Tornado Watch (canceled) in Weather
    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 58 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 405 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of
    0 replies | 166 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 19, 20, 03:52 PM
    A mesoscale discussion has just been issued for the affected areas of southern Indiana, western and northern Kentucky and southwest Ohio. There is an increasing potential for damaging wind gusts and tornadoes particularly with developing storms that have rotational features. These are found in bow echos and supercell Thunderstorms. As of now, there is an 80% chance that a watch will be issued.
    5 replies | 252 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 19, 20, 12:03 PM
    The cat. 3 Enhanced Risk Area has been extended a little be further towards the northeast. It is now around Warsaw, Ky. Conditions will support potential for supercells and bowing line segments capable of damaging wind, tornadoes and hail.
    5 replies | 252 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 19, 20, 11:40 AM
    A tornado watch may be issued for portions of western Kentucky later today.
    5 replies | 252 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 19, 20, 09:21 AM
    This what I have received from the NWS-Louisville office this morning: The Storm Prediction Center has extended the category 3 Enhanced Risk Area now includes Louisville.
    5 replies | 252 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 19, 20, 04:29 AM
    I"m issuing a BGP Severe Weather Alert Day for this evening into Friday morning. I'm also issuing a Level 2 BGP Tornado Threat Index. It will be on the high end of the Level 2 for portions of extreme western Kentucky. Severe Thunderstorms are expected for portions of the lower Ohio Valley. Damaging wind gusts, isolated large hail, and tornadoes are possible. It appears upper 60s surface dew points will exist in western Kentucky. While...
    5 replies | 252 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 18, 20, 04:43 PM
    The severe threat for Thursday has increased. Portions of Kentucky are now in a Category 3 Enhanced Risk Area north and west of a line from Mayfield to between Owensboro and Louisville. A small section of Kentucky from around Ft. Campbell to around north of Maysville is in a Category 2 Slight Risk area. Then there is a Category 1 Marginal Risk Area from just south of Bowling Green to around Maysville. Severe thunderstorms are...
    3 replies | 259 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 18, 20, 02:43 AM
    There is conditional severe potential across the Ohio Valley region on Thursday. Although the convective(circular motion that happens when warmer air or liquid rises, while the cooler air or liquid drops down) precipitation signal from most model guidance is weak. Across the Upper Midwest into the Ohio Valley, at least some severe potential is evident, mainly from Thursday evening into the overnight hours. Isolated strong to damaging winds...
    3 replies | 259 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 18, 20, 02:22 AM
    Ongoing showers and thunderstorms are forecast over the lower Ohio Valley during the morning. Uncertainty remains regarding the extent of the severe potential across the lower Ohio Valley. One of the main limiting factors is weak instability but enough potential exists because of the expected strong shear parameters with some isolated strong to severe storms possible later today.
    1 replies | 167 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 17, 20, 07:35 PM
    Some uncertainty exists as to the extent of severe potential across the lower Ohio Valley vicinity however data has continued to indicate some damaging wind potential and perhaps a couple of tornadoes as the warm front lifts northward through the area. The main limiting factors will be generally weak instability and poor midlevel lapse rates, but enough potential exists given the expected strong shear parameters that a Marginal Risk has been...
    1 replies | 167 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 17, 20, 05:55 PM
    At the writing of this update, it appears that the severe threat has increased some since this morning. Scattered showers and storms will appear during the day on Thursday especially in the Cincinnati/NKY area. These will move out of Kentucky during the early evening and then we should see scattered rain and showers. A line of storms should start to form and traverse across Kentucky from west to east after midnight. For now, the threats look to...
    3 replies | 259 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 17, 20, 03:15 AM
    An isolated strong to severe thunderstorm risk exists for portions of Kentucky west of I-65 late Thursday evening into Friday morning. A surface cold front will sweep east southeastward across the area, although there is some uncertainty regarding the strength and placement of a surface low associated with a shortwave trough convective potential will be focused along and ahead of the cold front with a broad area of at least isolated strong to...
    3 replies | 259 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 12, 20, 05:23 PM
    Just read info from the NWS-Paducah office. Round two of the storms are forming in Missouri and will be moving towards the east.
    9 replies | 369 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 12, 20, 05:20 PM
    505 PM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Central Kentucky Northern Tennessee
    3 replies | 259 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 12, 20, 03:49 PM
    New Tornado Watch issued until 11 pm CDT for portions of far western Kentucky.
    3 replies | 259 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 12, 20, 03:40 PM
    Those who live in western Kentucky do not let your guard down. There should be another round of severe storms later this evening.
    9 replies | 369 view(s)
  • nWo's Avatar
    Mar 12, 20, 11:58 AM
    The Storm Prediction Center has expanded the Enhanced Risk are eastward to include portions of Kentucky close to the I-75 corridor. Portions of Kentucky not covered by the Enhance Risk Area are now under a Slight Risk Area. I will be back as quick as possible to update everyone. I'm in the process of preparing our tornado shelters here at work. This appears to be an increase severe weather threat.
    9 replies | 369 view(s)
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