Hey everyone, I just wanted to update all of the games at once with how the HRS did in predicting the games. Obviously when you use a computer power rating system, not every game is going to go like it is "supposed to" but that is why games are played on the field instead of on paper or in this case, on the internet.

The HRS had its fair share of really close games that were decided within a touchdown of the prediction, while some others were completely different.

Okay so with all of that out of the wya, here it the updated list with the red font being that of how things went down on the field.

Class 1A - Region 1

(4) Caverna @ (1) Mayfield - MHS by 71.7 (MHS by 70)

(3) Ballard Memorial @ (2) Bethlehem - BHS by 12.25 (BM by 5)

(4) Fulton City @ (1) Lou. Holy Cross - HC by 39.9 (HC by 62)

(3) Ky. Country Day @ (2) Crittenden Co. - CC by 39.5 (CC by 38)

Class 1A - Region 2

(4) Trimble Co. @ (1) Beechwood - BHS by 48.8 (BHS by 54)

(3) Ludlow @ (2) Eminence - EHS by 14.85 (EHS by 18)

(4) Bishop Brossart @ (1) Frankfort - FHS by 42.9 (FHS by 9)

(3) Gallatin Co. @ (2) Bellevure - BHS by 39.8 (BHS by 55)

Class 1A - Region 3

(4) Berea @ (1) Lexington Christian - LCA by 65.6 (LCA by 39)

(3) Fairview @ (2) Williamsburg - FHS by 1.7 (FHA by 25)

(4) Nicholas Co. @ (1) Campbellsville - CHS by 20.45 (CHS by 47)

(3) Lynn Camp @ (2) Raceland - RHS by 25.75 (RHS by 6)

Class 1A - Region 4

(4) Phelps @ (1) Hazard - HHS by 59.35 (HHS by 55)

(3) Pineville @ (2) Allen Central - AC by 18.1 (AC by 26)

(4) Jenkins @ (1) Pikeville - PHS by 51.05 (PHS by 49)

(3) Paintsville @ (2) Harlan - HHS by 23.9 (HHS by 21)

Class 2A -- Region 1

(4)Todd Co. Central @ (1) Murray - MHS by 79.75 (MHS by 77)

(3) Heath @ (2) Hancock Co. - HC by 1.65 (HC by 30)

(4) Caldwell Co. @ (1) Fort Campbell - FC by 39.85 (FC by 49)

(3) Owensboro Catholic @ (2) Trigg County - TC by 17.1 (TC by 27)

Class 2A -- Region 2

(4) Fort Knox @ (1) Green Co. - GC by 54.75 (GC by 49)

(3) Glasgow @ (2) Danville - DHS by 13.35 (DHS by 14)

(4) Metcalfe Co. @ (1) Bardstown - BHS by 15.95 (BHS by 19)

(3) Washington Co. @ (2) Monroe Co. - MC by 10.45 (MC by 35)

Class 2A -- Region 3

(4) Newport @ (1) DeSales - DHS by 42.1 (DHS by 47)

(3) Owen Co. @ (2) Cov. Holy Cross - HC by 41.7 (HC by 38)

(4) Carroll Co. @ (1) Newport Cent. Cath. - NCC by 53.3 (NCC by 44)

(3) Lloyd Memorial @ (2) Chrisitan Acad.-LOU - CAL by 17.05 (CAL by 26)

Class 2A -- Region 4

(4) Knott Co. Central @ (1) Prestonsburg - Pburg by 58.05 (Pburg by 48)

(3) Bath Co. @ (2) Middlesboro - MHS by 37.8 (MHS by 35)

(4) Morgan Co. @ (1) Corbin - CHS by 58.25 (CHS by 34)

(3) Leslie Co. @ (2) Shelby Valley - SV by 35.7 (SV by 41)

Class 3A - Region 1

(4) Adair Co. @ (1) Union Co. - UC by 40.6 (UC by 41)

(3) Paducah Tilghman @ (2) Edmonson Co. - PT by 3.95 (PT by 25)

(4) Webster Co. @ (1) Russellville - RHS by 44.15 (RHS by 59)

(3) Butler Co. @ (2) McLean Co. - MC by 14.35 (BC by 9)

Class 3A - Region 2

(4) Spencer Co. @ (1) Central - CHS by 40.9 (CHS by 20)

(3) Shawnee @ (2) Western Hills - WH by 24.4 (WH by 12)

(4) Moore @ (1) Henry Co. - HC by 22.75 (HC by 30)

(3) North Oldham @ (2) Elizabethtown - Etown by 3.05 (Etown by 7)

Class 3A - Region 3

(4) Magoffin Co. @ (1) Somerset - SHS by 41.45 (SHS by 32)

(3) Taylor Co. @ (2) Estill Co. - EC by 10.5 (EC by 7)

(4) Wayne Co. @ (1) Breathitt Co. - BC by 25.35 (BC by 26)

(3) Powell Co. @ (2) Garrard Co. - GC by 19.25 (GC by 37)

Class 3A - Region 4

(4) East Ridge @ (1) Mason Co. - MC by 59.5 (MC by 56)

(3) Fleming Co. @ (2) Pike Co. Central - PCC by 15.95 (PCC by 28)

(4) Lewis Co. @ (1) Belfry - BHS by 53.7 (BHS by 27)

(3) Sheldon Clark @ (2) Russell - RHS by 1.05 (SC by 22)

Class 4A - Region 1

(4) Russell Co. @ (1) Lone Oak - LO by 39.4 (LO by 32)

(3) Calloway Co. @ (2) Franklin-Simpson - F-S by 29 (F-S by 27)

(1) Allen Co.-Scottsville receives a BYE

(3) Logan Co. @ (2) Hopkins Co. Central - HCC by 14.55 (LC by 3)

Class 4A - Region 2

(4) North Bullitt @ (1) Western - WHS by 29.5 (WHS by 16)

(3) Fairdale @ (2) Bullitt East - BE by 6.4 (FHS by 17)

(4) Breckinridge Co. @ (1) Marion Co. - MC by 62.85 (MC by 50)

(3) LaRue Co. @ (2) Valley - VHS by 6.7 (LC by 3)

Class 4A - Region 3

(4) East Jessamine @ (1) Holmes - HHS by 24.8 (HHS by 42)

(3) Pendleton Co. @ (2) Lexington Catholic - LC by 60 (LC by 62)

(4) Bourbon Co. @ (1) Boyle Co. - BC by 63.05 (BC by 61)

(3) West Jessamine @ (2) Harrison Co. - HC by 1.05 (WJ by 37)

Class 4A - Region 4

(4) Greenup Co. @ (1) Bell Co. - BC by 65.3 (BC by 44)

(3) Rockcastle Co. @ (2) Rowan Co. - Rock by 1.4 (Rock by 20)

(4) McCreary Central @ (1) Lawrence Co. - LC by 27.9 (LC by 23)

(3) Boyd Co. @ (2) Knox Central - KC by 23.45 (KC by 40)

Class 5A - Region 1

(4) Barren Co. @ (1) Christian Co. - CC by 45.8 (CC by 17)

(3) Madisonville-No. Hopkins @ (2) Warren Central - WC by 13.25 (WC by 25)

(4) Hopkinsville @ (1) Bowling Green - BG by 36.45 (BG by 32)

(3) Grayson Co. @ (2) Owensboro - OHS by 27.8 (OHS by 28)

Class 5A - Region 2

(4) South Oldham @ (1) John Hardin - JH by 54.3 (JH by 34)

(3) Doss @ (2) Anderson Co. - AC by 23.1 (Doss by 3)

(4) Waggener @ (1) Oldham Co. - OC by 39.8 (OC by 25)

(3) Jeffersontown @ (2) Bullitt Central - BC by 6.95 (Jtown by 49)

Class 5A - Region 3

(4) Montgomery Co. @ (1) Highlands - HHS by 63.85 (HHS by 47)

(3) Dixie Heights @ (2) Ashland Blazer - AB by 6.3 (DH by 27)

(4) Scott @ (1) Johnson Central - JC by 32.95 (JC by 21)

(3) Woodford Co. @ (2) Covington Catholic - CC by 37.15 (CC by 21)

Class 5A - Region 4

(4) Perry Co. Central @ (1) Pulaski Co. - Pulaski by 6.7 (PC by 14)

(3) South Laurel @ (2) Whitley Co. - WC by 34.15 (WC by 40)

(4) Mercer Co. @ (1) Letcher Co. Central - LCC by 24.95 (LCC by 44)

(3) Harlan Co. @ (2) Southwestern - SW by 13.1 (HC by 13)

Class 6A - Region 1

(4) Central Hardin @ (1) Henderson Co. - HC by 14.2 (HC by 14)

(3) Apollo @ (2) Meade Co. - MC by 11.15 (MC by 22)

(4) Muhlenberg Co. @ (1) Greenwood - GHS by 45.75 (GHS by 28)

(3) Nelson Co. @ (2) Graves Co. - GC by 1.3 (NC by 17)

Class 6A - Region 2

(4) Boone Co. @ (1) St. Xavier - X by 41.2 (X by 49)

(3) Pleasure Ridge Park @ (2) Ryle - RHS by 27.1 (RHS by 30)

(4) Butler @ (1) Simon Kenton - SK by 29.2 (SK by 42)

(3) Conner @ (2) duPont Manual - M by 10.2 (M by 11)

Class 6A - Region 3

(4) Eastern @ (1) Male - H by 26.6 (H by 10)

(3) Fern Creek @ (2) Ballard - BHS by 11.55 (BHS by 7)

(4) Southern @ (1) Trinity - T by 59.95 (T by 55)

(3) Seneca @ (2) Shelby Co. - SC by 14.2 (SC by 23)

Class 6A - Region 4

(4) Madison Central @ (1) Bryan Station - BS by 29.85 (BS by 42)

(3) Lafayette @ (2) Henry Clay - HC by 19.35 (HC by 37)

(4) Paul L. Dunbar @ (1) George Rogers Clark - GRC by 26.85 (GRC by 15)

(3) Tates Creek @ (2) Scott Co. - SC by 28.6 (SC by 10)

can't wait to see this weeks picks.

90%

 

Not to shabby

I like this swing on things...

 

(3) Harlan Co. @ (2) Southwestern - SW by 13.1 (HC by 13)

 

 

Amazing how close the blowouts were by points, some predicted 70 points and they really beat them by 70 points.

How about only one 5A game decided by less than 13 points.

90%

 

Not to shabby

 

I only counted three losses by the system, did I miss a few?

I actually missed 10 games this week...lol. Not too bad for something that I styarted on a whim a couple years ago...lol.

I only counted three losses by the system, did I miss a few?

 

Ballard Memorial over Bethlehem

Butler County over McLean County

Sheldon Clark over Russell

Logan County over Hopkins Central

Fairdale over Bullitt East

Larue County over Valley

West Jessamine over Harrison County

Doss over Anderson County

J'town over Bullitt Central

Dixie Heights over Ashland

Harlan County over Southwestern

Nelson County over Graves County

 

 

I like the playing around with numbers that Statman does here. One thing that might be intersting would be to try to "norm" Lit and Cantrall in some way. I believe that Lit's numbers are higher across the board, so more weight is given to Lit in Stat's system.

Ballard Memorial over Bethlehem

Butler County over McLean County

Sheldon Clark over Russell

Logan County over Hopkins Central

Fairdale over Bullitt East

Larue County over Valley

West Jessamine over Harrison County

Doss over Anderson County

J'town over Bullitt Central

Dixie Heights over Ashland

Harlan County over Southwestern

Nelson County over Graves County

 

 

I like the playing around with numbers that Statman does here. One thing that might be intersting would be to try to "norm" Lit and Cantrall in some way. I believe that Lit's numbers are higher across the board, so more weight is given to Lit in Stat's system.

 

 

 

I stand corrected....I missed 12 games...lol.

You did really well with your system. But that Jeffersontown win really hurt your average. Here's how close you came in each class and overall:

 

1A - 13.34 pts.

 

2A - 9.59 pts.

 

3A - 12.55 pts.

 

4A - 13.80 pts.

 

5A - 18.68 pts.

 

6A - 10.41 pts.

 

Overall - 13.06 pts.

I only counted three losses by the system, did I miss a few?

 

You're getting old:lol: