What Is The Strongest District In The State?

[EKUAlum05]

What is the strongest district(s) in the state in each class, as well as the strongest overall?

 

1A

Really none stick out to me, Distict 8 has two quality teams in Pikeville and Painstville...District 1 has a very solid Mayfield, an always competitive Crittenden County, and and a Fulton Ctty team who was actually 7-2 last year until the KHSAA ruled they had an illegal player, District 5 has LCA and Raceland.

My pick is District 1.

 

2A

District 4 features Bardstown and Danville as well as Washington County who always seems to be competitive. This is my pick.

Others with consideration is District 2 (Owensboro Cath, Ft Campbell, and Hancock County). District 8 with Corbin, Middlesboro, and Leslie County.

 

3A

This year I will go with District 7 to edge out District 8. District 7 features Russell and Mason County, whereas District 8 features Belfry and Sheldon Clark. The difference in my opinion is the drastic drop-off from the #2 team in District 8 to the drop from mason County to East Carter.

 

4A

District 6 vs. District 7.... District 6 features LexCath and Boyle County whereas District 7 features Bell County and Rockcastle County. Once again the decision maker to me is the 3rd team where you see East jessamine vs. Knox Central... no brainer my pick is District 6.

 

5A

Now it gets tough in the state's toughest class pound for pound.

District 1 brings a solid battle with Owensboro, Christian County, and Hopkinsville. District 2 is no slouch with Bowling Green/Warren Central. District 5 is represented by Highlands, CovCath, and Dixie Heights. Immediately the fact that 1 and 5 contain three top 10 contending teams makes this a two horse battle, so we look at team 4, Ohio County vs. Covington Holmes..... my pick is District 5.

 

6A

District 3 brings us St. X, PRP, and Manual. District 5 features Trinity, Ballard, and Eastern.District 7 brings us Henry Clay, Lafayette, and Tates Creek. District 8 does not feature any of the classes superpowers, but top to bottom is solid with Clark County, Scott Co, Madison Central, and Shelby County.

 

Though Trinity is amazing, their district is top heavy. District 7 loses its luster with Tates Creek and Dunbar being much further down than their name's are used to. Thus we see District 3 vs. District 8,,, and although District 8 is solid top to bottom, none of those teams ar eon the same level as St. X... my pick is District 3.

 

TOUGHEST IN STATE

It's 5A District 5 vs. 6A District 3

 

Once again, District 5 features Highlands, CovCath, Dixie Heights, Covington Holmes and Scott. District 3 features St. X, PRP, Manual, and Butler.

 

My pick is 6A District 3 as the hardest district in the state!

[PepRock01]

Can't really argue there!

 

If by top-heavy, in Trinity's district, you mean just Trinity then I agree.

[ram2003]

The meatgrinder (6A d3) keeps on grinding. Good analysis.

[Ram]

District 1.................Record....Avg Record per team.......District Win %

1. Mayfield................11-3.................5-7...........................40%

2. Fulton County..........6-5

3. Crittenden County....4-7

4. Ballard Memorial.......3-8

5. Fulton City..............0-9

District 2

1. Bethlehem.............11-2.................6-5...........................55%

2. Holy Cross (Lou.)......7-4

3. Kentucky Co Day......5-6

4. Caverna..................2-8

Bath Haven

District 3

1. Beechwood..............9-3................6-5..........................51%

2. Dayton....................6-5

3. Ludlow....................4-6

4. Bellevue..................3-7

Bishop Brossart

District 4

1. Frankfort.................9-3................5-5...........................49%

2. Trimble County.........7-4

3. Gallatin County.........4-4

4. Eminence................4-4

5. Bracken County........0-10

District 5

1. Raceland................11-2................7-5..........................58%

2. Lexington Christian....9-3

3. Paris.......................7-4

4. Fairview..................4-6

5. Nicholas County........2-8

District 6

1. Williamsburg.............7-4................4-6..........................41%

2. Clinton County..........4-4

3. Lynn Camp...............3-7

4. Campbellsville...........2-8

District 7

1. Hazard....................9-4................6-6..........................49%

2. Harlan.....................8-4

3. Cumberland..............7-4

4. Jenkins....................4-7

5. Pineville...................3-7

6. Evarts.....................2-8

District 8

1. Pikeville...................8-4...............4-7..........................33%

2. Paintsville................5-6

3. Allen Central............3-7

4. South Floyd.............3-7

5. Phelps....................2-8

6. Betsy Layne............1-9

 

Just for the sake of argument (and Boredom), I thought it would be interesting to see how the districts stacked up with last years records, which are indicative of how competitive a district is. Of course this is comparing the districts not a particular team, so I only used the teams to compile the records for the districts. The districts total wins were tabulated then divided by the number of teams in the district, the same was done for the total loses to give the average record for each team in the district. Total wins were divided by the total number of games for the district to give the winning percentage for the district. Number were rounded up, for example District 3 record was really 5.5-5.25, that is why their record is the same as District 2, but the percentage is less.

 

Based on winning percentage District 5 wins with 58% with District 2 coming in with 55%, and District 3 with 51%, those are the only district over 50%. I think if you look at the teams in these three districts, the totals will not be that surprising, these are, for the most part, the teams you expect to win. This however does not take into account for teams that are generally good, but play in week districts, such as Mayfield, but again we are comparing districts not teams.

[EKUAlum05]

 

Just for the sake of argument (and Boredom), I thought it would be interesting to see how the districts stacked up with last years records, which are indicative of how competitive a district is. Of course this is comparing the districts not a particular team, so I only used the teams to compile the records for the districts. The districts total wins were tabulated then divided by the number of teams in the district, the same was done for the total loses to give the average record for each team in the district. Total wins were divided by the total number of games for the district to give the winning percentage for the district. Number were rounded up, for example District 3 record was really 5.5-5.25, that is why their record is the same as District 2, but the percentage is less.

 

Based on winning percentage District 5 wins with 58% with District 2 coming in with 55%, and District 3 with 51%, those are the only district over 50%. I think if you look at the teams in these three districts, the totals will not be that surprising, these are, for the most part, the teams you expect to win. This however does not take into account for teams that are generally good, but play in week districts, such as Mayfield, but again we are comparing districts not teams.

Keep in mind that in your numbers it shows Fulton City as 0-9... this team was actually 7-2 until the KHSAA ruling.

[Ram]

Keep in mind that in your numbers it shows Fulton City as 0-9... this team was actually 7-2 until the KHSAA ruling.

 

Point taken. If the numbers for District 1 are amended they would be:

 

District 1.................Record....Avg Record per team.......District Win %

1. Mayfield................11-3.................6-5...........................55%

2. Fulton County..........6-5

3. Crittenden County....4-7

4. Ballard Memorial.......3-8

5. Fulton City..............7-2

 

Now, you can say the D5, D1, D2, and D3 would all have an argument for strongest Class 1A District, based on last years totals.

[EKUAlum05]

Point taken. If the numbers for District 1 are amended they would be:

 

District 1.................Record....Avg Record per team.......District Win %

1. Mayfield................11-3.................6-5...........................55%

2. Fulton County..........6-5

3. Crittenden County....4-7

4. Ballard Memorial.......3-8

5. Fulton City..............7-2

 

Now, you can say the D5, D1, D2, and D3 would all have an argument for strongest Class 1A District, based on last years totals.

I thought it was quite funny when I did the "strongest" and "weakest" threads that on the strongest thread it was VERY tough to differentiate which district I thought was the strongest, while on the weakest it seemed to be pretty clear cut.

[Ram]

I thought it was quite funny when I did the "strongest" and "weakest" threads that on the strongest thread it was VERY tough to differentiate which district I thought was the strongest, while on the weakest it seemed to be pretty clear cut.

 

I'm just a number and fact kind of person, my previous thread with the percentages made it easier for me to understand. But validates that Class A is pretty competitive across the board. Should make for a great season and playoff picture.

 

People don't generally think of the teams in D5 as being dominate, but like I have said before, they have generally lost in the first two rounds of the playoffs to the eventual state champions, when playing teams like Beechwood and NCC. If we were under the current playoff format D5 would have had several teams in the state championship game.

[JC Alumni 76]

I give the toughest district overall in all class to Class 5A District 5. IMO you have 3 of the top 5 teams in this class being Highlands, Cov. Cath, and Dixie Hieghts. I dont see any district across the state coming close to being that tough.

[pldgreatno2]

The Lexington district is the toughest. Teams beat on each other so bad, they can't win state.

[The Scribe]

4A District 6 has produced six state champions and one-runner-up in the last eight years.

[EKUAlum05]

4A District 6 has produced six state champions and one-runner-up in the last eight years.

In my book the jury is still out on Boyle County "post" Chuck Smith.

[pldgreatno2]

In my book the jury is still out on Boyle County "post" Chuck Smith.

 

Very true. We'll see in the next couple of years. They've been taking some spankins

[Villa T]

The Lexington district is the toughest. Teams beat on each other so bad, they can't win state.

This sounds something like I would hear from Jefferson County. You just have to strap it up and play.

 

I think strongest overall has to to be 6A district 5 this year. Maybe not last year, but their in the running this year. T over X, watch Ballard give X a game here in a few more weeks and Eastern won't be a push over this year. It will be interesting to see how these teams fair in November.

[leatherneck]

District 1.................Record....Avg Record per team.......District Win %

1. Mayfield................11-3.................5-7...........................40%

2. Fulton County..........6-5

3. Crittenden County....4-7

4. Ballard Memorial.......3-8

5. Fulton City..............0-9

District 2

1. Bethlehem.............11-2.................6-5...........................55%

2. Holy Cross (Lou.)......7-4

3. Kentucky Co Day......5-6

4. Caverna..................2-8

Bath Haven

District 3

1. Beechwood..............9-3................6-5..........................51%

2. Dayton....................6-5

3. Ludlow....................4-6

4. Bellevue..................3-7

Bishop Brossart

District 4

1. Frankfort.................9-3................5-5...........................49%

2. Trimble County.........7-4

3. Gallatin County.........4-4

4. Eminence................4-4

5. Bracken County........0-10

District 5

1. Raceland................11-2................7-5..........................58%

2. Lexington Christian....9-3

3. Paris.......................7-4

4. Fairview..................4-6

5. Nicholas County........2-8

District 6

1. Williamsburg.............7-4................4-6..........................41%

2. Clinton County..........4-4

3. Lynn Camp...............3-7

4. Campbellsville...........2-8

District 7

1. Hazard....................9-4................6-6..........................49%

2. Harlan.....................8-4

3. Cumberland..............7-4

4. Jenkins....................4-7

5. Pineville...................3-7

6. Evarts.....................2-8

District 8

1. Pikeville...................8-4...............4-7..........................33%

2. Paintsville................5-6

3. Allen Central............3-7

4. South Floyd.............3-7

5. Phelps....................2-8

6. Betsy Layne............1-9

 

Just for the sake of argument (and Boredom), I thought it would be interesting to see how the districts stacked up with last years records, which are indicative of how competitive a district is. Of course this is comparing the districts not a particular team, so I only used the teams to compile the records for the districts. The districts total wins were tabulated then divided by the number of teams in the district, the same was done for the total loses to give the average record for each team in the district. Total wins were divided by the total number of games for the district to give the winning percentage for the district. Number were rounded up, for example District 3 record was really 5.5-5.25, that is why their record is the same as District 2, but the percentage is less.

 

Based on winning percentage District 5 wins with 58% with District 2 coming in with 55%, and District 3 with 51%, those are the only district over 50%. I think if you look at the teams in these three districts, the totals will not be that surprising, these are, for the most part, the teams you expect to win. This however does not take into account for teams that are generally good, but play in week districts, such as Mayfield, but again we are comparing districts not teams.

 

 

Nice work.

 

The only "criticism" I have is that using win loss records doesn't always indicate the strength of a team and thus the strength of a district. Take the Highlands/CovCath district for example (I know you were looking only at the A class, but there may be parallels). Highlands was 7-5 last year but those 5 losses were to Cinti Elder, Lou. St.X, Columbus DeSales and two losses to eventual state champ CovCath (and one loss was on a last play td). CovCath lost games to Elder, Cinti X and Columbus Bishop Watterson. If Highlands and CovCath had played a "normal" schedule, Highlands probably would have been 10-2 and CovCath 15-0, greatly increasing the percentage of games won by teams in their district.

 

Not disagreeing with your position that the Raceland district was the toughest in A (I don't follow A closely enough to have an opinion), just pointing out win loss records can be deceiving.