Here's my first call for possible accumulations for this week's winter storm. 

The GEFS ensemble is showing nearly 100% chance for the entire state of Kentucky receiving accumulations greater than 1 inch.

 

It shows a good chunk of Kentucky, mainly south of I-64, could receive totals greater than 4 inches. This storm could produce the largest totals for this winter.

 

 

Here is my first call for possible snow accumulations.

 

Wow, winter has some punch this year. 

I went ahead and shoveled my driveway today, anticipating that the next storm could add another few inches to what we got today. 

3 minutes ago, sportsfan41 said:

I went ahead and shoveled my driveway today, anticipating that the next storm could add another few inches to what we got today. 

I shoveled too, it was easy.

I am hoping this is the last blast of cold and snow, this time next week it is going to warm up. 

11 minutes ago, theguru said:

I shoveled too, it was easy.

I am hoping this is the last blast of cold and snow, this time next week it is going to warm up. 

I'd be OK with that as well but it's likely wishful thinking. 

I'd like a few words with that stinkin' groundhog...

Storm severity index for Wednesday.

 

 

7 hours ago, Bluto said:

I'd like a few words with that stinkin' groundhog...

Six. More. Weeks.

KYZ050-058>060-068-069-079-080-083-104-106>109-111-112-114-171715-
/O.NEW.KJKL.WS.A.0004.250219T0000Z-250220T1200Z/
Montgomery-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski-
Laurel-Wayne-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Breathitt-
Owsley-
Including the cities of Ravenna, Campton, Beattyville, Irvine,
Clay City, Jeffersonville, Monticello, Frenchburg, Burnside,
Camargo, Stanton, Booneville, Jackson, Mount Sterling,
Paintsville, Salyersville, Mount Vernon, Sandy Hook, McKee,
Annville, London, West Liberty, Somerset, and Brodhead
412 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 2 and
5 inches possible.

* WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast, south central, and
southeast Kentucky.

* WHEN...From Tuesday evening through Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

Here's my second call for possible snow accumulations

43 minutes ago, nWo said:

Here's my second call for possible snow accumulations

Not as much moisture as they originally thought? Or just a different set up?

18 minutes ago, sportsfan41 said:

Not as much moisture as they originally thought? Or just a different set up?

Just the models getting a better read on the conditions. Also, the track as of now is for the low to move eastward of the coast and not make such a sharp turn up the east coast. There is still time for that sharp turn to happen. 

Slides from the conference call I just finished.

 

 

This will be my final call before Kentucky is hit by the winter storm. Because the upper level low over the upper mid-west apparently will not phase entirely with the surface low over Texas, this storm will lose some of its strength as it passes through the state. But, if it does happen we could see higher totals. 

 

24 hour snowfall totals that from nws.gov