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Newport at Holmes Predictions

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It is a non-district game but carries seeding implications in the 4A district.

 

Holmes, Scott and Harrison County were all knotted at the top of the district with 3-1 records.

Holmes beat Harrison

Harrison beat Scott

Scott beat Holmes.

The tiebreaker goes to the number of wins by each team's non-district wins.

 

Harrison will be the one seed by virtue of accumulating 9 wins with the above formula and have a game left to play and will host East Carter next Friday.

Both Scott and Holmes are vying to be the two seed and host next Friday night and avoid a trip to Ashland and opportunity to host Greenup County.

 

Both Holmes and Scott's non-district opponent wins have accumulated 0 wins. Holmes only non-district win was over Holy Cross. Scott defeated Holy Cross and Dixie, who also has not won a game.

 

So it essentially comes down to this:

Holmes needs to defeat Newport and Lloyd beat Scott.

Scott only needs a win over Lloyd to secure the #2 seed even if Holmes were to win, because Lloyd has won 6 games and Newport has won 5 games.

 

Give credit to Newport this year for what they had to overcome with their coaching situation in a state of flux at the beginning of the season.

 

Holmes has also bounced back after opening the season with 4 straight losses. They key to the turnaround was getting QB James Walker back after suffering a knee injury in the preseason and the defense bowing its back during district play.

 

I would say Holmes is the favorite in this one for Senior Night in Covington.

 

Hope someone can post updates from this game.

According to the KHSAA tiebreaker update, your numbers are a little off, although your conclusion is correct.

 

You also missed a possible scenario. What if BOTH Holmes and Scott lose?? In that case the Dixie/Ryle game could come in to play since both Holmes and Scott are tied with 5 points. A Dixie win would give Scott the #2 since they would then have 6 points. If Dixie loses, and Holmes and Scott remain tied, then I think they go back to head to head, in which case Scott also ends up as the two.

 

https://khsaa.org/football/2018/threewaytiebreakertodate.pdf

This is just way to confusing to me, but the good thing is it gives all these teams so much to play for on most senior nights. Good luck to all,especially in the rain and to the senior parents on a cold rainy night.

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