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Litkenhous Ratings

Featured Replies

https://www.courier-journal.com/story/sports/preps/kentucky/2018/10/08/covington-catholic-keeps-no-1-spot-litkenhous-ratings/1554491002/

 

Top 20:

1. Covington Catholic

2. Frederick Douglass

3. Mayfield

4. Christian Academy of Louisville

5. Highlands

6. South Warren

7. Male

8. Bowling Green

9. Boyle County

10. Scott County

11. DeSales

12. St. Xavier

13. Franklin Simpson

14. Paducah Tilghman

15. Owensboro

16. Trinity

17. Beechwood

18. Henry Clay

19. Southwestern

20. Johnson Central

 

See link above for all teams in every class.

 

The theme of these rankings are you better blow people out, especially if you have a weak schedule. I believe that is why Male is rated so low.

 

Covington Catholic and Frederick Douglass has been lighting teams up, therefore they are #1 and #2.

  • Author

CAL will most likely have hit to rating next week, since rating shows they should win by 114 over Shawnee. No way they win by that much due to running clock and taking starters out.

I think the teams ranked lower than expected probably have played games against really low ranked teams. Regardless of the score, if you have played teams like Doss and Western, they will drag you down even if you beat them 50-0. Those bad teams on the schedule drag the rating down.

In the case of strength of schedule, Mayfield will be dropping a little bit in the rankings the next 2 weeks as they play 2 teams that are ranked in the 20's in 2A.

In the case of strength of schedule, Mayfield will be dropping a little bit in the rankings the next 2 weeks as they play 2 teams that are ranked in the 20's in 2A.

 

Even if the Cards put 60 or 70 on each of those teams?

  • Author
Even if the Cards put 60 or 70 on each of those teams?

 

Compare the two ratings. If they win by less than what the difference in number is, then they will go down. If they win by more will go up.

Compare the two ratings. If they win by less than what the difference in number is, then they will go down. If they win by more will go up.

 

I thought we learned last year that the number assigned to each team means nothing (other than one team is rated ahead of the other) and the ratings are not a function of score differential.

Even if the Cards put 60 or 70 on each of those teams?

 

Coach Joe Morris is usually good about taking his foot off the gas pretty early against overmatched teams. Either way it is only a rating and has no real effect on the season. Just something to keep us talking.

Coach Joe Morris is usually good about taking his foot off the gas pretty early against overmatched teams. Either way it is only a rating and has no real effect on the season. Just something to keep us talking.

 

I think a lot of Coach Morris and I was not insinuating he would run up the score.

 

Just like last year, I am trying to understand the pile of garbage that is the Litkenhous Ratings. :idunno:

I think a lot of Coach Morris and I was not insinuating he would run up the score.

 

Just like last year, I am trying to understand the pile of garbage that is the Litkenhous Ratings. :idunno:

 

I'm right there with you. I enjoy looking at the ratings but don't understand them.

  • Author
I thought we learned last year that the number assigned to each team means nothing (other than one team is rated ahead of the other) and the ratings are not a function of score differential.

 

I figured the formula out and it uses margin of victory/loss against each team you’ve played’s rating. Add those performances up and divide by number of games played and that is rating, so seems to me like a point spread.

 

Here is example using Trinity:

Male 112.3 -14

Jtown 58.1 +65

STX 115.4 -14

Eastern 75.2 +45

 

Add all those numbers together is 453.

 

Divide 453 by 4 games.

453/4= 113.25

 

Lit rating is 113.5 so I was off by 1/4 a point. Simple math to me.

I figured the formula out and it uses margin of victory/loss against each team you’ve played’s rating. Add those performances up and divide by number of games played and that is rating, so seems to me like a point spread.

 

Here is example using Trinity:

Male 112.3 -14

Jtown 58.1 +65

STX 115.4 -14

Eastern 75.2 +45

 

Add all those numbers together is 453.

 

Divide 453 by 4 games.

453/4= 113.25

 

Lit rating is 113.5 so I was off by 1/4 a point. Simple math to me.

 

I like simple things too but as you can see from the thread last year I was "beat down" by members telling me it isn't 'simple math' although none of those members explained the complicated math to me.

I mean really, is this ranking system actually supposed to be taken seriously?

  • Author
I mean really, is this ranking system actually supposed to be taken seriously?

 

I think it gives you a rough idea where teams are at. Definitely not perfect. I think it’s better for basketball since they play so many games, so much more data.

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