February 13, 20188 yr From the WRNAmbassadors-Louisville ...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT WEEK ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY WITH INCREASED THREATS OF RIVER FLOODING ON ALL BASINS... The latest weather forecasts indicate that several bouts of heavy rainfall will be seen across the Ohio Valley over the next 7 days. The first round of heavy rainfall will occur later this week with a brief break in the rains over the weekend. However, a second round of heavier rainfall is forecast to impact the region early next week, possibly lingering into mid next week. Overall forecast confidence is moderate to high with respect to the coming rainfall. However, forecast confidence on where the axis of heaviest rainfall is still very much in question.
February 13, 20188 yr Author Here is the latest data from the NAM model. The time period covered is from 7 am to 10 pm Wednesday. Radar Quantitive Precipitation Forecast(Total rainfall accumulation)
February 13, 20188 yr I know this certainly isn't as exciting as snow, but I hope people pay attention to this. Specifically in EKY, the creeks and rivers are up significantly from the weekend system. We don't need a ton of rain to bring significant flooding at this point.
February 14, 20188 yr Author Here are the latest GFS QPF estimates through Sunday morning. Thunderstorms will be possible on Wednesday but nothing severe is expected at this time.
February 14, 20188 yr I know this certainly isn't as exciting as snow, but I hope people pay attention to this. Specifically in EKY, the creeks and rivers are up significantly from the weekend system. We don't need a ton of rain to bring significant flooding at this point. I agree, this is something people in flood prone areas need to pay attention to. Here in the Ashland area I live up on a hill so I don't have to worry about flooding, but the ground around my house is more than saturated, it can't take anymore water. Given that the ground can't take any more water means that the water will run downhill, which could be a big issue going forward for some.
February 14, 20188 yr Author This mornings GFS rainfall totals through 1 pm Saturday afternoon EST. The WPC has parts of NKY in a Marginal Risk Area for excessive rain on Friday.
February 14, 20188 yr I know this certainly isn't as exciting as snow, but I hope people pay attention to this. Specifically in EKY, the creeks and rivers are up significantly from the weekend system. We don't need a ton of rain to bring significant flooding at this point. Reminds me of a children's book that we probably still have laying around somewhere.
February 14, 20188 yr Author The Climate Prediction Center most if not all of Kentucky receiving heavy rain Friday through Saturday on their day 3-7 hazards outlook. So the rain today is just the start of a very rainy period.
February 14, 20188 yr Mom sent me a picture from the lock in Frankfort. It's not there at the moment. Almost completely covered, and the dam is barely visible as well.
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