October 11, 200619 yr Add Bailey to the list and get a #3 or #4 and 2 solid relievers and I like our staff a lot.I'll go on record right now, that if Bailey is in the starting rotation, in '07....Bailey will not win more than 8 games. Making the jump to the "big show" is one thing, making the jump successful, depends a lot on the other 8 behind you..... GT can record it and bring it back, this time next year. If wrong, feed me the crow.
October 11, 200619 yr Bailey will likely start in AAA IMO. At this point, there is no denying he's option #1 as a fill in at some point next year. Harang/Arroyo/Lohse/Milton/FA or Trade start the season...
October 11, 200619 yr Bailey will likely start in AAA IMO. At this point, there is no denying he's option #1 as a fill in at some point next year. Harang/Arroyo/Lohse/Milton/FA or Trade start the season...Agreed and I just don't understand, all the fans calling for Bailey to be the saviour. Making the move to the bigs', is not an easy transition and asking a young, talented prospect to carry a .500 team, is not the answer and certainly not good for Bailey's mental approach. I agree with GT, he's definitely in the plans and rightfully so, but fans need to have realistic expectations about him and more importantly, when he struggles.....and Bailey will, don't throw him out with the bath water but be patient. The Reds need to finalize the position players and roles, then I look for them to trade, package or move some and go after some starting pitching.
October 11, 200619 yr I think they are about 1 1/2 to 2 starters away from being pretty good. I like Harang and Arroyo, and Lohse and Milton are ok. Between those 4 we have a solid 3 pitchers most of the time. If we could get someone who's comparable to the first 2 I think they can be solid. Hopefully Homer can step up and be that guy and then we'll have Franklin, Elizardo, and a vast majority of others who can start. I'm also curious to see if Bray could start. I think he's good enough to be a very effective starter or closer. I hope he isn't in the middle relief role next year.
October 11, 200619 yr Bailey will likely start in AAA IMO. At this point, there is no denying he's option #1 as a fill in at some point next year. Harang/Arroyo/Lohse/Milton/FA or Trade start the season... :thumb: Like I said, I'd love him to make the team as a starter, but realistically I don't see it happening either.
October 11, 200619 yr Bronson was more rock than paper... But again, paper covers rock!!:lol: I agree with you that Bronson is a tough pitcher & I hope he stays in Cincy. With some new additions to the staff the season could be another great one.
October 11, 200619 yr I think they are about 1 1/2 to 2 starters away from being pretty good. I like Harang and Arroyo, and Lohse and Milton are ok. Between those 4 we have a solid 3 pitchers most of the time. If we could get someone who's comparable to the first 2 I think they can be solid. Hopefully Homer can step up and be that guy and then we'll have Franklin, Elizardo, and a vast majority of others who can start. I'm also curious to see if Bray could start. I think he's good enough to be a very effective starter or closer. I hope he isn't in the middle relief role next year.Well said my friend and once Lohse, gets into his winter program with the Reds, he has the pitching ability to be very effective. I've already overstated, my thoughts on the other you mentioned. There is an abundance of middle relief pitchers and I see several, getting moved or included in package deals, to enhance in some areas. Getting healthy arms back, would be a plus.
October 11, 200619 yr Bailey will likely start in AAA IMO. At this point, there is no denying he's option #1 as a fill in at some point next year. Harang/Arroyo/Lohse/Milton/FA or Trade start the season... Will Claussen be a factor? My guess is that we never see Paul Wilson again.
October 11, 200619 yr Will Claussen be a factor? My guess is that we never see Paul Wilson again. Good guess on Wilson. I think Claussen and EZ are wild cards at this point...
October 11, 200619 yr I'll go on record right now, that if Bailey is in the starting rotation, in '07....Bailey will not win more than 8 games. Making the jump to the "big show" is one thing, making the jump successful, depends a lot on the other 8 behind you..... GT can record it and bring it back, this time next year. If wrong, feed me the crow. If he started day 1 I think yes he would. But I probably won't happen because he will start the season in AAA.
October 11, 200619 yr If he started day 1 I think yes he would. But I probably won't happen because he will start the season in AAA.I hope he can but my comment, was if he's in the '07 rotation, from day one. Be happy to get ridiculed if I'm wrong. Just a big burden, for such a young player to carry, being the "expected fix" on a poor starting staff. Hope I'm wrong.
October 11, 200619 yr I hope he can but my comment, was if he's in the '07 rotation, from day one. Be happy to get ridiculed if I'm wrong. Just a big burden, for such a young player to carry, being the "expected fix" on a poor starting staff. Hope I'm wrong. If Bailey started day one, pitched 200 innings, and was uninjured all year I think he'd win 12-15 games easy. I don't think he'll be on the team opening day, he won't pitch that many innings if he is, and at some point and time he will have arm trouble if he does. I think you coast him for a month or two next year then bring him up and "toss him to the wolves." If he's going 6 innings every five days he should be healthy and strong by June 1st and he'll be ready to come up and help the ball club.
October 11, 200619 yr If Bailey started day one, pitched 200 innings, and was uninjured all year I think he'd win 12-15 games easy. I don't think he'll be on the team opening day, he won't pitch that many innings if he is, and at some point and time he will have arm trouble if he does. I think you coast him for a month or two next year then bring him up and "toss him to the wolves." If he's going 6 innings every five days he should be healthy and strong by June 1st and he'll be ready to come up and help the ball club.So you guys are saying, that Bailey would win as many games as Harang and Arroyo did, next year if he's in the starting rotation....that would put them near 96± wins for '07, which would be good. I just respectfully disagree and my reasons, it takes pitchers more time to adjust to MLB hitters, than hitters to adjust to pitchers.... I'll stand by my statement 8 wins or less....Hope I'm wrong.
October 11, 200619 yr Author I am not following the reason why Bailey cannot pitch in the majors next season.
October 11, 200619 yr I am not following the reason why Bailey cannot pitch in the majors next season.I'm guessing, time-table and additional development. Spring Training, will be a key on his location.
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