Vegas knew PP92 was going to the game and that he was bringing some bad mojo with him...:lol:

Vegas never has actual split money which they would want. (ie. 50% money on bengals and 50% on dolphins) It just does not happen. It is all about money and not how many people are on one side. The public obviously hammered the bengals today and all week as the spread started at 4.5 and declined to 3.5 and 3 in some places. 67% of people were on the bengals who bet this game. Notice the line only changed a mere 1-1.5 points? This is because people who are called "sharps" move the lines when they place large wagers on games. Vegas tends to side with the sharp side and not the public because the majority of the time, the public loses. Also, look at the Green Bay vs. Indy game. The books were very exposed on the Green Bay side, but still did not shift the line more than a half point to start the day. Why?? Because the sharps were on Indy for several different reasons as the entire betting public took the Pack. It does not always work out like that as a lot of times the team who looks unbeatable against the spread goes out and rolls the other team. You could honestly make money betting against public perception.

One more example. Every man in America is on the over of this SNF game. What would I go with, obviously the under. I'm sure hammer time would agree.

One more example. Every man in America is on the over of this SNF game. What would I go with, obviously the under. I'm sure hammer time would agree.

 

(Hand Raised ...)

One more example. Every man in America is on the over of this SNF game. What would I go with, obviously the under. I'm sure hammer time would agree.

 

I would side against Joe Public most of the time. :thumb:

I would side against Joe Public most of the time. :thumb:

 

Wish I would've with GB-Indy. Instead I chalked up a win at halftime of that one. Doh!

Vegas never has actual split money which they would want. (ie. 50% money on bengals and 50% on dolphins) It just does not happen. It is all about money and not how many people are on one side. The public obviously hammered the bengals today and all week as the spread started at 4.5 and declined to 3.5 and 3 in some places. 67% of people were on the bengals who bet this game. Notice the line only changed a mere 1-1.5 points? This is because people who are called "sharps" move the lines when they place large wagers on games. Vegas tends to side with the sharp side and not the public because the majority of the time, the public loses. Also, look at the Green Bay vs. Indy game. The books were very exposed on the Green Bay side, but still did not shift the line more than a half point to start the day. Why?? Because the sharps were on Indy for several different reasons as the entire betting public took the Pack. It does not always work out like that as a lot of times the team who looks unbeatable against the spread goes out and rolls the other team. You could honestly make money betting against public perception.

 

 

Finally someone else is on the record saying this. A lot of people on here don't understand your explanation here. Good call though.

I Played the over in the night game.

Welp, the over was the right side tonight. But more often than not, a loser.

Welp' date=' the over was the right side tonight. But more often than not, a loser.[/quote']

 

Maybe so,but it was an easy call tonight.

Vegas never has actual split money which they would want. (ie. 50% money on bengals and 50% on dolphins) It just does not happen. It is all about money and not how many people are on one side. The public obviously hammered the bengals today and all week as the spread started at 4.5 and declined to 3.5 and 3 in some places. 67% of people were on the bengals who bet this game. Notice the line only changed a mere 1-1.5 points? This is because people who are called "sharps" move the lines when they place large wagers on games. Vegas tends to side with the sharp side and not the public because the majority of the time, the public loses. Also, look at the Green Bay vs. Indy game. The books were very exposed on the Green Bay side, but still did not shift the line more than a half point to start the day. Why?? Because the sharps were on Indy for several different reasons as the entire betting public took the Pack. It does not always work out like that as a lot of times the team who looks unbeatable against the spread goes out and rolls the other team. You could honestly make money betting against public perception.

 

Ideally they want it 50-50 but that very rarely happens. It's a calculated mix of both.

It really never happens. Sometimes they can get it close enough to where they are not exposed to one side, but normally, it's not too close.