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6thregionguy

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  1. Just added to give a little bit more detail on the middle of the region. News and Notes: 1. Trinity, in the department of not much has changed Trinity is still the top team in the 7th Region. With Jacob King back in the fold Trinity is every bit as powerful now as they were at the beginning of the season when they were without him. With four players averaging double figures in points it will not be an easy feat for any team to knock Trinity out of the postseason. 2. Ballard is still Ballard and while they sit on a 21-5 record three of their losses have come at the hands of Fern Creek, the current #1 team in the BluegrassPreps.com Top 20 Rankings. Ballard has won their last four games and will finish the season against three teams from out of state which will no doubt have Ballard fully prepared to handle to rigors of postseason in the 7th Region. Ballard beat Waggener on 1/20 61-59 with Cooper. They get the nod as the 2nd best team in the region until someone can beat them they have the most region wins at 9-0. 3. Waggener has added Devin Cooper back onto their team and he is averaging around 23 points a game right now for Waggener. Waggener has gone 2-5 since Cooper has joined the team but they have lost those games to Ballard, Trinity, Fern Creek and Dunbar along with dropping a game to Crispus Attucks out of Indiana. They have defeated a strong CAL team during this stretch so do not let their record fool you. They are still a strong team. Waggener has to beat trinity or Ballard to win the Region they have never beat Ballard. It was coopers first game back last time they played and he seems to be in full flow now with his team. The rest of the region is hard to rank and figure out the next 6 teams (St. X, Eastern, CAL, Central, Manual, Male) all beat each other and can on any given night. Your guess is as good as mine in ranking them. So I’m going by their record verse each other. 4. Central (2-2) 4-3 their last 7 games with wins over Butler, Male, Western and Doss. Losses coming to the hands of Manual, Fairdale and Valley. Central has the best wins of this group also a blowout loss at the hands of Fairdale. With Ballard and Waggener this week this will be a test to see if they are top of the region or still in the next group. 5. ST.X (3-2) Kiesler 16.9 ppg is going to score and have big nights the question for this team is can someone else step up. Taylor can no longer be considered a freshman and needs to play like it for this team to make a run at the top three. St.X is 3-4 the last 7 games with two of those losses coming at the hands of Fern Creek and Ballard, with the other two loses being Manual and Eastern. They are coming off a win at home against Male, two more wins should come this week against Lou. Holy Cross and district foe Brown. 6. CAL (2-1) CAL goes in ahead of Eastern at 5 because of their win Friday. They also are 3-4 in their last 7. With losses to Waggener, Bullitt East, Deslaes and St x. they do not play another 7th region opponent till district tournament. It looks like they will end up in the 2/3 game and play Eastern again to go to regional tournament. 7. Eastern (2-2) they have been up and down this season, they got Hot over Christmas and are 4-3 over their last 7. With Male and Ballard this week it is a chance to move up. The Ballard Eastern game is always intense with in this rivalry. Tonight verse male is a game they need or they could finish the season losing 7 out of 9. They have a nice group of seniors who I feel will come out ready to play this week. 8. Male (0-2) the reason I put Male this low is they have not beaten anyone with in the region in the top ten. (Collegiate, Brown, Seneca) they will get at least one more region win this week against Shawnee a big show down with Eastern tonight and Bowling Green Saturday. If they can win all three, they will fly up the rankings. So. Guard Hunter McCutcheon has been playing well this year avg 14.4 a game. Everything goes throw Sr. big Hogan browning. 9. Manual (2-3) no team struggled more to start the season but seem to be playing better. They are 3-4 in their last 7 game games. With not a single bad loss Bullitt East, Moore, North Hardin and Butler three of the games within 5 points or less. They have wins over St. X and Central during this stretch. This week might be their “easiest” week of the year with Atherton and Seneca. This is a team who is trending up at the right time. 10. KCD with the only 7th region wins coming against Seneca, Shawnee, and collegiate) they need a win to move up from the 10 spot. They will be the 4 seed with in the district and will get Ballard first round which they lost to 71-84 last week. Big game to see where they are at home against North Hardin tonight. They have a Boyle Co. team that I do not know anything about. 11. Seneca they get the ranking ahead of Atherton because they have played a tougher schedule and have the head to head win. They played Waggener tough on Friday and have Shawnee tonight. That will put them on a 2 game winning streak going into Friday’s game at manual. 12. Atherton beat Collegiate on Saturday, they play Manual tonight and then Brown Friday. If they can win these two it could give them some confidence going into the Eastern game next week. Unfortunately for them they have earned the 4 seed in district play and will face trinity who they just lost to 41-76. 13. Louisville Collegiate they have compiled wins against lower level teams but have not fair welled when they go against better teams. They are improved and lost a close one (2 points) to Atherton Saturday. They have Spencer co. and Beth Haven this week. It should be a 1-1 week continuing the trend. 14. St. Francis although they have 14-6 record they have not beat anyone. They have 2 wins this season over brown and thus why they are ranked higher than them 15. Brown with St. X and Atherton this week the losing will continue making it 10 out of 12 games. 16. Portland Christian even though they are in the same district as Shawnee they are not schedule to play. They get the node because they have more wins. Evangel and Fredrick Fraise this week. 17. Shawnee I’m glad they got a win. 1-19 Seneca Male this week. Will have a shot against Beth haven next week.
  2. I'm hearing maybe two more are coming open. One because the coach is taking a job at one of the current open ones. The 2nd the school is looking for a replacement, and has not let go the current coach. So this one my not happen but we will see.
  3. Unfortunately I do not see Shawnee coming off this list. Not sure who they have first round of All A and they still have Portland Christian (district game). But if its not one of those two I don't see a win on their schedule.
  4. Merit pay would not work in JCPS, the students have more to do with test scores then the teachers. Some of the best teachers in the district work at the worst schools. The Male, Manual, and Browns of JCPS have students who work in and out of the class room and have parents who care. The Shawnee, Iroquois, Doss etc.... are not starting with the same level of kids. I bring this up because the same is for the talent level of the athletes, if a kid I a stud and is on Seneca's or westerns district they are probably not going to one of those schools but maybe a Ballard, PRP or Butler. Now this is not true for all of them but as they may get one or two good ones to stay home. With open enrollment you can not go to merit pay in the district.
  5. Monday, Jan. 9: Jeffersontown (19) vs. Central (14) Game with a head coach and his former assistant. I think Central comes away with the win, Jtown turns it over a lot and Central pressure will be too much. Jtown does have the advantage down low with McCloud. They both like to get up and down and press. Central is a little more discipline at this. They have two common opponents. Central with a 3 point win over eastern and a 16 point win over Manual. Jtown got blown out by Eastern by 33 and beat manual by 3. Central 74 JTown 59 3:30; Manual (20) vs. Christian Academy (13) These two teams could not be on different paths this season. CAL has played a soft schedule and has been winning by an avg of 22.3 margin of victory in its 13 wins. While manual is losing by an avg. of 18.6 in their 11 loses with a very difficult schedule. They have one comment opponent both losing by 39 to Ballard. Because of that I feel this will be a close game with CAL pulling it out late in the 4th. CAL 68 Manual 65 5 Moore (18) vs. St. Xavier (13) Moore comes in at 11-4 after starting the season 0-3, they are playing as well as anyone in the city right now. They are led down low by Roman Collins (13.5ppg) and Hurt from the outside shooting 45% from behind the arch. The match up to watch will be between Collins and St. X John Kiesler (16.4 ppg). I hope the officials let them play and do not put one of these players on the bench with 2 tic TAC fouls. This might end up being the best game of the night. I don’t know how Moore will handle the pressure of a big tournament I’m taking X in a close one. STX. 58 Moore 57 6:30; Western (17) vs. Fairdale (16), 8:15 Fairdale I am not sure they have a bad loss, they beat Eastern on the road but lost at home to Moore last week by 37. Glen Queen can score 20 on any given night. Fairdale does not shoot the ball well from the outside and will need to get buckets in transition. They might have problems with westerns 3-2 zone and length. Western has lost 4 in a row and best win might be a 3 point win over Lou. Holy Cross, which Fairdale beat by 16. Western has 3 players scoring in double figures. Lowe, Pearson and Swint. Fairdale has been more tested though this point in the season and has the best player on the floor in Queen I see them pulling it off. Fairdale 64 Western 53
  6. We can both agree on this, really only the top 12 teams have a shot hard to see someone winning four in a row but maybe one day. I also do not have the answer to which is the best way and do enjoy that it is 20 so the smaller schools can make it and have a shot. The only issue I have with not ranking the teams is at the beginning of the season you can not award the same number of points for someone that beats Ballard and someone who beats Walden. so you have to have a starting point which you will never find one everyone likes.
  7. The way they select now is much fairer. It takes politics almost completely out of the equations. The teams in the city are ranked based on how they finished last year in the SETH rankings at the end of the year. The top team being a 80.0 the last team being a 70.0. It then trickles down by .25 every team. Example if the season ended today, the start of next season would look like Fern creek 80.0 Trinity 79.75 Doss 79.5 Ballard 79.25 Every other team team Brown 70.0 The top 1-7 teams are ranked as an A Teams 8-14 B Teams 15-22 C Teams 23-29 D Teams 30-36 E You get more points for a road win and loss, less point for a home wins. Ever AD knows the formula and most coaches should also. You know where you are ranked before the season starts. As mention already in the post every week a new updated ranking is sent. Every few weeks a new state ranking is sent out also. (Now this is hard to rank every team in the state, but at least you know what they are) and much better than just a blanket every team is a C outside 6th and 7th region. If you were to go by the LIT ranking a team can start out more than 60 points ahead of another team. No one knows the formula and was never released. A team could be horrible the year before and be in the 60’s with the LIT rankings then be 12-0 with wins over Dunbar and Christian county and be too far down to make up ground. This was a major flawed system and cannot be used. If you allow a committee to make the selection then you have bias when schools start getting money for making it. (The gate is divided up amongst the field.), I do not know if its evenly or just the day you play. In all honesty we only complain about the team’s 18-22, those teams are not making a run and winning the LIT or at least have not to date. Case in point someone brought up Collegiate should be in over Manual. So I looked at both teams Collegiate 11-5 Wins over teams with winning record 2 Played 5 teams with winning record Combine win loss of teams played 79-106 Avg record of teams played 4.9-6.6 Best win Beth Haven or Bethlehem Manual 2-10 Wins over 1 team with winning record Played 11 teams with winning record Combine win lose of teams played 92-56 Avg record of teams played 7.6- 4.6 Best win Lex Sayre Now you cannot tell who is better but the one thing that stands out is Manual as played a much tougher schedule, what would Collegiate have done against Manuals schedule? best record 3-9 Worst record 1-11 Win Portland Christian. Maybe Scott Sayre lose to Trinity Ballard Waggener Jtown Oldham Co Bryan Station Central Lafayette Eastern Manual playing Collegiate schedule Worst 11-4 Best 14-1 Wins Whitefield Fort Knox St. Francis Bullitt Central Shawnee Hart Co. Metcalfe Co. Allen Co-Scottsville Evangel Beth haven Bethlehem Maybe Desales Western CAL (1st round LIT game) Lose ST X I give Collegiate credit for playing Western, Desales, and CAL. St. X is district game. If they were to win one of those games they are in. And lets be honest does a team with 2 wins need to be in? I don't think so. The system is a lot better than it was and I like that it is just Louisville schools, just wish they would move it back to the Garden like it use to be.
  8. Those are two nice wins for BG I was unaware. We they both done with out football players also?
  9. I think Schooler has done a great job and hope he gets to Rupp to make a run at state, but let’s not act like his studs are Fern Creek kids, they were a package deal with whoever hired him. Getting Chance this year as a transfer helped a lot. I know he moved to live with another parent and is now in FC area. When you have some of the best players in the 2017 and 2018 class it helps with winning. Schooler has done a great job in getting them to play together and this win I feel is a huge statement for him and his program. They have what I feel is the two best wins in the young season wins over Doss and Trinity. FC is the new number 1 team in the state.
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