I'm issuing a Severe Weather Alert Day for today because of the impending severe weather later today into the night time hours. The potential for a widespread severe weather event is evident across the state later today and tonight. With the degree of instability anticipated, the ingredients are expected to be favorable for the development of supercell storms. These possible storms could produce very large hail and locally damaging winds. Also a couple of tornadoes will be possible.

 

Storm coverage is forecast to increase substantially during the evening and overnight. The storms during the night time could produce intense rotating storms, with very large hail the primary risks. I would suspect that the Storm Prediction Center will make adjustments to the Enhanced Risk Area and may possibly raise some area into a Moderate Risk Area if conditions continue to increase the chance for severe storms.

 

I will try to update through out the day on BGP. Quicker updates will be issued on our twitter feed.

 

*Be Weather-Ready: Check the forecast regularly to see if you're at risk for severe weather. Listen to local news or a NOAA Weather Radio or BGP Weather Twitter account to stay informed about severe thunderstorm watches and warnings.

 

*Have a Plan: Have a safe place at home and work to seek shelter when severe weather threatens, such as a basement, storm cellar, or interior room on the lowest floor with no windows.

 

*Communicate the Plan: Have a family plan that includes an emergency meeting place and related information.

 

 

These following HRRR simulations are from around 2-6 pm EDT

 

Radar

 

 

EHI Model

 

 

Supercell Model

 

 

Significant Tornado

 

As expected the Enhanced Risk Area has been expanded. It now reaches to around the I-75 corridor. Also one thing of note. The chance for strong long track tornadoes has grown. I'll update later when I can.

 

Got a big little league event going on Saturday morning in Anderson County. Whats the outlook for rain tonight/Saturday morning?

The Weather Channel has a TOR:CON value of 4 for our area for today.

What's the weather looking like this evening in Woodford County? I have to go there for softball and I'm really hoping there are storms. Sorry girls.

What's the weather looking like this evening in Woodford County? I have to go there for softball and I'm really hoping there are storms. Sorry girls.

 

Hey, you are going to be in Big V territory. I live about 10 minutes from the softball park there, about 12 from the high school.

Hey, you are going to be in Big V territory. I live about 10 minutes from the softball park there, about 12 from the high school.

 

We'll be there tonight for the 6 and 8pm games. Come on out and see us!

I'll be at a track meet at 5 in Grant County, looks like I may want to head back north a little earlier than the end of the meet?

1 pm update from NWS-Louisville:

 

Multiple rounds of showers and storms are expected today and through the weekend.

Each round will bring the threat of strong to severe storms and heavy rainfall

The greatest threats are heavy rainfall, large hail, damaging winds and isolated tornadoes.

 

The chance for strong to severe storms will last all weekend.

 

The latest HRRR model is showing a significant increase in the chance of tornadoes for late this afternoon into the night. Some of the indices I'm seeing are quite high. Now this doesn't mean that there will be tornadoes but it is a very significant increase since this morning.

 

Timing for now looks like around or after the 5-8 pm EDT time slot. Those in WKY and along the Ohio River up to the NKY area should be on guard around this time. The line of storms should be around the I-75 corridor between 9-11 pm EDT. Then in EKY after midnight. Everyone shouldn't let their guard down after the first round. The HRRR model is showing another round getting started around the 11 pm EDT time slot and track along the same line as the first round. The second round maybe more scattered in nature and look to affect those in northern and western Kentucky. I'm rushed for time but I'll try and update around 5 pm or so. Any emergency weather info until then will more than likely be on our twitter feed.

 

Everyone please be weather aware late today into the overnight hours. You should also be going over your emergency action plan now.

I'll be at a track meet at 5 in Grant County, looks like I may want to head back north a little earlier than the end of the meet?

Just looked at the HRRR simulated radar. Showers and storms could be in the Grant County area around the 5-6 pm EDT time slot.

What's the weather looking like this evening in Woodford County? I have to go there for softball and I'm really hoping there are storms. Sorry girls.

Not looking good after 5 pm EDT. Could also see some storms around 5-6 pm EDT.

We'll be there tonight for the 6 and 8pm games. Come on out and see us!

 

Yall be at the county park I presume?

Got a big little league event going on Saturday morning in Anderson County. Whats the outlook for rain tonight/Saturday morning?

Not looking good after the two rounds of showers and storms this evening and during the overnight hours. Maybe a break during the daytime hours on Saturday but with the predicted heavy downpours I couldn't imaging the fields being in any condition for baseball.

The Weather Channel has a TOR:CON value of 4 for our area for today.

I wouldn't be surprise if it doesn't go higher. I'm not liking the what the latest HRRR is showing.

Severe weather watch maybe issued soon for the enclosed area.