December 28, 201510 yr Donald Trump?s Six Stages Of Doom | FiveThirtyEight Good read, but I think his chances are a little higher.
December 28, 201510 yr It's a scary thought, but I think the election is Trump's to lose at this point.
December 28, 201510 yr All according to what you read: Hilarious Cartoon Shows What Hillary Can Expect From Trump | The Federalist Papers
December 28, 201510 yr Author It's a scary thought, but I think the election is Trump's to lose at this point. I keep expecting a Jeb Bush "run." One thing is for sure, if Iowa picks you, your chances aren't great.
December 28, 201510 yr It's probably a lot more than 2% chance but I wouldn't peg it at more than a one in five chance he gets the nomination. Will be interesting when actual voting starts.
December 28, 201510 yr In fairness to Trump this article is 4 months old. I wonder if Silver anticipated the Donald being in this commanding of a lead going into 2016?
December 28, 201510 yr Author Per the article Trump is in stage 2, but his lead is growing. What separates Trump is he is obliterating the comp not just leading like some of the in vogue fringe candidates who fizzled over the past decade.
December 28, 201510 yr I would place the odds at this right now. Rubio 50% Trump 20% Cruz 15% Bush 15% I think everyone else is on the outside looking in.
December 28, 201510 yr ^I'd probably go about Rubio 40%, Cruz 25%, Trump 20%, Bush 15%, but yeah I agree.
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