March 25, 200818 yr I too will (more then likely) vote for Hillary just to give Obama more grief. Let them fight it out. Come November I will not vote for a democrat. The junior senator's record will be ripped to shreds, along with Hillary's. Either one, ripped to shreds,, IMO. Personally I would think with KY being a big tobacco farm state, and Clinton's took on big tobacco and hurt the industry, I would think the farmers would be against Clinton- just IMO...
March 25, 200818 yr On actually getting it done with the powerbrokers maybe. But they are going to be all over the networks talking about it and how it needs to be done. And the growing perception among the voters will be the Clintons and her supporters are the only ones standing in the way. So, Hillary will have to understand she is going to take some serious negative heat to not agree to the superdelegate convention. And then when the Dems candidate actually gets selected, you are going to end up with a highly divided Dem party. If Obama wins the most votes I think the superdelegates will move to support him. I think it was the Politico that ran an article this weekend discussing this, and their argument was that there is no way the Democrats will let a black man win the most votes and tell him he can't run for President. The party would collapse on itself. Clinton will fight it kicking and screaming, but she would get trumped in that instance.
March 25, 200818 yr If Obama wins the most votes I think the superdelegates will move to support him. I think it was the Politico that ran an article this weekend discussing this, and their argument was that there is no way the Democrats will let a black man win the most votes and tell him he can't run for President. The party would collapse on itself. Clinton will fight it kicking and screaming, but she would get trumped in that instance. I do agree with you but think that she does have an argument that she has won the states that will be the ones in play and WILL decide the 2008 Presidential election. States of Michigan, Florida, Texas, Ohio, Penn. Ca. and NY will go Dem no matter whether it is HIllary or Obama. Tx will go Rep no matter who the candidate is. Those 5 states above with Illinois will be keys. And she won their primary except for Illinois. Now, in his defense and as I have posted on here, no one wins unless they can win the South and Obama is better poised to win Southern States with the exception of Florida than Obama. He is the best candidate the Dems can put forward to make a dent in the South because of his race. He could realistically win 3 to 5 states in the South and give the Dems the White House.
March 25, 200818 yr Florida, Georgia, and Virginia are the only southern states I could see a Dem winning, but Clinton might take Ky. Add Mississippi and South Carolina to your list. They have the highest minority populations in the south.
March 25, 200818 yr I do agree with you but think that she does have an argument that she has won the states that will be the ones in play and WILL decide the 2008 Presidential election. States of Michigan, Florida, Texas, Ohio, Penn. Ca. and NY will go Dem no matter whether it is HIllary or Obama. Tx will go Rep no matter who the candidate is. Those 5 states above with Illinois will be keys. And she won their primary except for Illinois. Now, in his defense and as I have posted on here, no one wins unless they can win the South and Obama is better poised to win Southern States with the exception of Florida than Obama. That is also true, but Michigan and Florida didn't have primaries that counted, so it's hard to factor those in. Evan Bayh proposed a plan in which the superdelegates should pick their vote based on the candidate who won the states with the most electoral votes. But I still think enough Democrats would be up in arms over that situation, and would likely alienate one of their most reliable voting blocs, that they wouldn't risk the division of their party to get Clinton in.
March 25, 200818 yr Obama won't win a southern state in Nov. except those with high African-American populations. Florida, Georgia, and Virginia are the only southern states I could see a Dem winning, but Clinton might take Ky. Add Mississippi and South Carolina to your list. They have the highest minority populations in the south. Thus, the reason I said Obama is the candidate that could most likely win for the Dems. I could easily see him winning some of Miss, SC, Georgia, Virginia, Alabama.
March 25, 200818 yr That is also true, but Michigan and Florida didn't have primaries that counted, so it's hard to factor those in. Evan Bayh proposed a plan in which the superdelegates should pick their vote based on the candidate who won the states with the most electoral votes. But I still think enough Democrats would be up in arms over that situation, and would likely alienate one of their most reliable voting blocs, that they wouldn't risk the division of their party to get Clinton in. Weren't there two states including Texas where the popular vote went Hillary and the delegate count was tied or Obama took more delegates? AND TOTALLY depends on the arrogance of the Clintons which I think is very high.
March 25, 200818 yr Weren't there two states including Texas where the popular vote went Hillary and the delegate count was tied or Obama took more delegates? AND TOTALLY depends on the arrogance of the Clintons which I think is very high. Florida and Michigan were worth zero delegates. I think Clinton will take it to the very end, but I also think the powers that be in the Democratic party will have to put their foot down or start building a coffin for their party.
March 25, 200818 yr Florida and Michigan were worth zero delegates. I think Clinton will take it to the very end, but I also think the powers that be in the Democratic party will have to put their foot down or start building a coffin for their party. In the Democratic primary, yes. In November, they will be key, key states.
March 25, 200818 yr I do agree with you but think that she does have an argument that she has won the states that will be the ones in play and WILL decide the 2008 Presidential election. States of Michigan, Florida, Texas, Ohio, Penn. Ca. and NY will go Dem no matter whether it is HIllary or Obama. Tx will go Rep no matter who the candidate is. Those 5 states above with Illinois will be keys. And she won their primary except for Illinois. Now, in his defense and as I have posted on here, no one wins unless they can win the South and Obama is better poised to win Southern States with the exception of Florida than Obama. He is the best candidate the Dems can put forward to make a dent in the South because of his race. He could realistically win 3 to 5 states in the South and give the Dems the White House. So people will actually vote for or against a candidate based on their race?
March 25, 200818 yr So people will actually vote for or against a candidate based on their race? Yes and yes. I have had family members that have never voted Republican say they will not vote for a black man to be President. That saddens me that my family would feel this way. Especially since there are very good reasons to not vote for him or her. It also saddens me that they would vote for him and his pro-choice stance but wouldn't vote for him because he is black. Really sad that they care more about the color of his skin than him wanting to uphold the policy to kill unborn children.
March 25, 200818 yr If Obama wins the most votes I think the superdelegates will move to support him. I think it was the Politico that ran an article this weekend discussing this, and their argument was that there is no way the Democrats will let a black man win the most votes and tell him he can't run for President. The party would collapse on itself. Clinton will fight it kicking and screaming, but she would get trumped in that instance. Couldn't that go both ways, they won't let a woman run for president? If reversed? I can really see that happening too, with what we have already seen and heard from Bill.
March 25, 200818 yr Couldn't that go both ways, they won't let a woman run for president? If reversed? I can really see that happening too, with what we have already seen and heard from Bill. The big difference is that Obama is winning and Hillary is losing. You would be taking the person losing and giving the election to them.
March 25, 200818 yr So people will actually vote for or against a candidate based on their race? Oh you bet-ya.... Just think about it... We are being exposed to the preaching that goes on his church, right? And most people rightfully so are feeling very uneasy... Okay now... we get a black man for president, with a muslim name, with this hate sermon preacher hanging over his head; you are going to have every KKK, Neo-nazi going nuts, stirring up their hate and venom sermons... I don't support either groups mentioned above, I put them all in the same category- radical. WIth that said, and IMO, it has all the ingriedents to get really ugly???
March 26, 200818 yr Thus, the reason I said Obama is the candidate that could most likely win for the Dems. I could easily see him winning some of Miss, SC, Georgia, Virginia, Alabama. Add Mississippi and South Carolina to your list. They have the highest minority populations in the south. Sorry guys, in November South Carolina will go to McCain. High number of Evangelicals and Veterans, along with many large military bases.
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