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BRAINTEASER: My Three Sons

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e. .5 X .5 X .5 = .125

 

 

Without the phrase "at least one of which is a boy, " you would be correct.

1 in 7... it would be 1 in 4 if you specified WHICH child (first, second, or third) IS a boy. Allowing for any (but not all) of the three to be girls, it looks like 1 in 7.

Doesn't matter which is a boy. The fact is that one child is already accounted for, making the operative question "what are the chances that the other two children are boys." One in four.

I better pull the stat. book back out!:eek:

1/4

 

(1/2 times 1/2; since one is already a boy - if that hadn't already been stated, the answer would be 1/8).

 

Good answer!:ylsuper:

  • Author

The probability of any event E occurring = (number of ways E can occur)/ (number of total outcomes in the sample space). That is, P(E) = n(E)/n(S).

 

 

The key to this problem is the sample space. Because of the conditional expression"at least one of which is a boy," the sample space consists of only 7 outcomes, i.e., S ={(B,B,B) , (B,B,G), (B,G,B),(B,G,G), (G,B,B) , (G,B,G), (G,G,B)}. Thus, if E is the event of three boys, then P(E) = 1 / 7 .

The probability of any event E occurring = (number of ways E can occur)/ (number of total outcomes in the sample space). That is, P(E) = n(E)/n(S).

 

 

The key to this problem is the sample space. Because of the conditional expression"at least one of which is a boy," the sample space consists of only 7 outcomes, i.e., S ={(B,B,B) , (B,B,G), (B,G,B),(B,G,G), (G,B,B) , (G,B,G), (G,G,B)}. Thus, if E is the event of three boys, then P(E) = 1 / 7 .

 

But you didnt specify the order in which they were born when you asked the question.. Isnt BBG the same a GBB? The outcome is still two boys and one girl. Correct?

  • Author
But you didnt specify the order in which they were born when you asked the question.. Isnt BBG the same a GBB? The outcome is still two boys and one girl. Correct?

 

 

No. You have to consider both outcomes.Order does matter.

 

Consider flipping a fair coin twice. The possible outcomes are {(H,H), (H, T) , (T,H), and (T, T)} . The probability of getting "Heads" both times would be 1/4, which, of course, is correct since we know that by the multiplication rule of independent events, the probability would be 1/2 x 1/2 .

 

If we maintained that (H, T) and (T, H) was the same outcome, then the probability of two Heads would be 1/3, which, of course, is incorrect.

No. You have to consider both outcomes.Order does matter.

 

Consider flipping a fair coin twice. The possible outcomes are {(H,H), (H, T) , (T,H), and (T, T)} . The probability of getting "Heads" both times would be 1/4, which, of course, is correct since we know that by the multiplication rule of independent events, the probability would be 1/2 x 1/2 .

 

If we maintained that (H, T) and (T, H) was the same outcome, then the probability of two Heads would be 1/3, which, of course, is incorrect.

 

 

Now I know why I barely scraped by in my statistics class:lol:

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