College Football Playoff Top 25 (11/1/22)

[16thBBall Fan]

 1. Tennessee

 2. Ohio State

 3. Georgia

 4. Clemson

 5. Michigan

 6. Alabama

 7. TCU

 8. Oregon

 9. USC

10. LSU

11. Ole Miss

12. UCLA

13. Kansas State

14. Utah

15. Penn State

16. Illinois

17. North Carolina

18. Oklahoma State

19. Tulane

20. Syracuse

21. Wake Forest

22. NC State

23. Oregon State

24. Texas

25. UCF

[16thBBall Fan]

Breakdown by conferences:

SEC-5 out of top 11

ACC- 5

Pac 12-5

Big 10-4 out of top 16

Big 12-4

American-2

One interesting point with the expanded playoff system coming Tulane would be the highest non-power 5 that would be placed in the playoff format.

[Jumper_Dad]

It will be very interesting how far the Tennessee/Georgia loser falls next week.

Assuming the UT/UGA winner wins out, I think they make the final 4 even if they lose the SEC title game.

LSU with two losses already is ranked way too high in the CFP rankings. 

[Jumper_Dad]

SEC Scenarios

The loser of UT/UGA is out if Bama wins out and wins the SEC.

The loser of UT/UGA could get in if the winner goes on to win in Atlanta and the UT/UGA game was not a blow out.

I think the winner of UT/UGA is in the playoffs even if they lose in Atlanta, unless they just get smoked.

>>>Crazy scenario to follow<<<

What if a two loss SEC West team (Bama,LSU,Ole Miss) wins the SEC Title Game, while having an undefeated B1G champ(IN), undefeated TCU(IN), undefeated Clemson(IN), 1 Loss PAC Champ, 1 loss UM/OSU loser, who gets in from SEC? The 2 loss champ, the 1 loss runner-up, the 1 loss loser of UT/UGA or no SEC teams get in?

>>>Best Case for SEC<<<

(Nearly impossible)

UT/UGA is an instant classic, loser falls no lower than 6th in CFP ranking.

Michigan or Ohio State lose a game then beats the other one giving both 1 loss.

TCU loses

Clemson loses

PAC does PAC things and all end up with two losses

Bama or Ole Miss with one loss beats undefeated UT/UGA winner in Atlanta. 

It'll never happen but a case could be made for UGA/UT/(Bama or Ole Miss) to all three make it in with probably the B1G champ.

 

[theguru]

18 hours ago, Jumper_Dad said:

It will be very interesting how far the Tennessee/Georgia loser falls next week.

I agree and the fact that UT is number one here but a huge underdog against "#3" Georgia makes me think this is all corrupt. 

[TheDeuce]

7 hours ago, Jumper_Dad said:

The loser of UT/UGA is out if Bama wins out and wins the SEC.

I'm not sure I agree... 

[Jumper_Dad]

1 hour ago, theguru said:

I agree and the fact that UT is number one here but a huge underdog against "#3" Georgia makes me think this is all corrupt. 

We could let Vegas pick the final 4, I guess. Lol

Seriously though based on their season UT deserves to be #1. Being around a TD underdog at the #3 home isn't that far off in my opinion. One thought is that this UT team may be having a season like LSU had where they just over power everyone. Another is at the end of the day UGA is just a different animal on defense and finally slows them down. Either way I don't see corruption in this first ranking, it's just the first and they have to start somewhere. 

[Jumper_Dad]

47 minutes ago, TheDeuce said:

I'm not sure I agree... 

My thought is let's say Alabama beats UT in the SEC Title game. Alabama with 1 loss would be in.

Then who deserves a 2nd SEC BID if they were to get two? UT with 1 loss to Bama or UGA which lost to UT?

I can't see UGA getting in over a UT team that just beat them, or UT getting in over UGA if it is reversed.

[TheDeuce]

3 minutes ago, Jumper_Dad said:

My thought is let's say Alabama beats UT in the SEC Title game. Alabama with 1 loss would be in.

Then who deserves a 2nd SEC BID if they were to get two? UT with 1 loss to Bama or UGA which lost to UT?

I can't see UGA getting in over a UT team that just beat them, or UT getting in over UGA if it is reversed.

Say UGA beats Tennessee, then Alabama beats UGA in the SEC championship. 

1 loss Alabama, SEC Champion. 

1 loss UGA, SEC Runner up

1 loss Tennessee, only loss to SEC runner up. 

It's probably unlikely, but I would not be shocked if all three got in in that scenario. 

[Jumper_Dad]

42 minutes ago, TheDeuce said:

Say UGA beats Tennessee, then Alabama beats UGA in the SEC championship. 

1 loss Alabama, SEC Champion. 

1 loss UGA, SEC Runner up

1 loss Tennessee, only loss to SEC runner up. 

It's probably unlikely, but I would not be shocked if all three got in in that scenario. 

I agree, but you'd probably need Clemson and TCU both to lose and loser of Michigan/Ohio State to look bad.

[Jumper_Dad]

 1. Tennessee lost to Georgia.

 2. Ohio State struggle win over Northwestern.

 3. Georgia strong win over Tennessee. 

 4. Clemson blown out at Notre Dame.

 5. Michigan convincing win over Rutgers.

 6. Alabama OT loss at LSU.

 7. TCU struggle win over Texas Tech.

 8. Oregon rolled over Colorado. 

 9. USC beating Cal in 4th.

10. LSU beat Alabama in OT.

My early prediction for top 6 this week.

1. Georgia

2. Ohio State

2. (Tie) Michigan 

4. TCU

--------------

5. Tennessee 1 loss to UGA

6. Oregon 1 loss to UGA

[Jumper_Dad]

I don't see any two loss teams getting in CFP, unless there aren't at least 4 teams with 1 or fewer losses.