January 13, 20224 yr This will be my first call for snow accumulations. I know the ranges are wider than I normally use but there is still some uncertainty on the track the system will take. The GFS has the track a little further south than yesterday. If it follows the GFS those along the Ohio River won't receive much snow. The NAM has the track with most of Kentucky getting some good accumulations. First is the GFS. The period covered is from 10 pm EST/9 central Friday to 4 am EST/ 3 central. The NAM covers almost the same period but is short by 3 hours because it is the very end of the 18z run. This is what each model is showing for possible snow accumulations. GFS NAM Now, this is my first call for snow accumulations. It will narrow down starting tomorrow. I will post my second call probably tomorrow morning. As I said earlier the range is wider than normal. I'm trying to take into account there is still some uncertainty on the exact track.
January 14, 20224 yr Good grief, looking at the NAM model (and living in NKY), that system's got more movement than a Fernando Valenzuala screwball.
January 14, 20224 yr Author 27 minutes ago, CincySportsFan said: Good grief, looking at the NAM model (and living in NKY), that system's got more movement than a Fernando Valenzuala screwball. It was worst yesterday morning. It had Kentucky getting almost no snow at all. The succeeding runs brought the snow back into the picture. Wouldn't be surprised to see that happen again.
January 15, 20224 yr Author 2nd call This is going to be a difficult one. The models have been jumping back and forth on the track of the system. The GFS has the show continuing on Monday. The real tricky part is how much warm air aloft will move in. The NAM is showing more of a freezing rain event. The more freezing rain will that falls will cut down on the snow accumulations. That along with the heavy wet snow that will fall could cause some power outages. This is what the GFS is showing for possible snow accumulations. Freezing rain NAM Freezing rain Here's what I think will happen at this time. There will be a sharp cut-off on where the snow will fall. Tomorrow we should get a pretty good look at what will fall this weekend.
January 15, 20224 yr Author Here's my 3rd call for possible snow accumulations. One caveat is that the possible freezing rain could bring down these totals. The next update will be in the morning.
January 16, 20224 yr Author Started snowing here in Richmond about 15 minutes ago. 20220116_153503.mp4
January 17, 20224 yr Boone and Kenton are now in an advisory. Did the storm push slightly more west than you anticipated?
January 17, 20224 yr I have about two inches here in Florence (Boone County). It was an easy shovel, hopefully it is almost over.
January 17, 20224 yr Author 7 hours ago, PP1 said: Boone and Kenton are now in an advisory. Did the storm push slightly more west than you anticipated? Yes, it did. I was torn about taking NKY out of the snow area.
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