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Modified Playoff Proposal Update


gchs_uk9

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Last season I posted a modified playoff proposal that would eliminate region and district alignments that we have seen in the past in an effort to place the 192 best teams in six classes of playoffs. Linked here is the original proposal: (http://bluegrasspreps.com/ky-football-high/a-totally-reasonable-338368.html).

 

In a nutshell, I proposed we use a power rating to determine the best teams and eliminate the 29 worst. In an effort to make it simple I used the Calpreps ratings, although I'd imagine an adoption of this system might include the adoption of a new rating system as well. After selecting the 192, teams would be divided into classes based on their most recent enrollments (January 2017); the 32 smallest are Class 1A, the next 32 smallest are Class 2A, and so forth. After determining the 32 teams in each class they would be divided into four regions of eight based on geography.

 

This proposal was sent to the KHSAA and the members of the coaches advisory committee and I've received positive feedback from several members of both groups.

 

Since proposing this on BGP, I've made two modifications: guaranteeing district champions host a first round game and automatically eliminating from postseason consideration any team that fails to win a regular season game. However, since it is so early in the season, neither stipulation can effectively be put in place at this time, so I'm considering all eligible and available. Below is, as of September 4, what a playoff bracket would look like for all six classes. (I update this at home each week; I will make an effort to post these semi-regularly on BGP)

 

CLASS 1A

Region I

[8] Clinton County at [1] Mayfield

[5] Crittenden County at [4] Murray

[7] Campbellsville at [2] Owensboro Catholic

[6] Ballard Memorial at [3] Russellville

 

Region II

[8] Eminence at [1] Lexington Christian

[5] Paris at [4] Frankfort

[7] Bethlehem at [2] Kentucky Country Day

[6] Nicholas County at [3] Louisville Holy Cross

 

Region III

[8] Bishop Brossart at [1] Beechwood

[5] Ludlow at [4] Covington Holy Cross

[7] Bellevue at [2] Newport Central Catholic

[6] Bracken County at [3] Raceland

 

Region IV

[8] Phelps at [1] Hazard

[5] Fairview at [4] Williamsburg

[7] Lynn Camp at [2] Paintsville

[6] Prestonsburg at [3] Pikeville

 

 

CLASS 2A

Region I

[8] Butler County at [1] Caldwell County

[5] Trigg County at [4] Fort Campbell

[7] Hancock County at [2] Edmonson County

[6] McLean County at [3] Union County

 

Region II

[8] Green County at [1] Danville

[5] Metcalfe County at [4] Monroe County

[7] Washington County at [2] Glasgow

[6] Bardstown at [3] Somerset

 

Region III

[8] Carroll County at [1] Christian Academy-Louisville

[5] Owen County at [4] Lloyd Memorial

[7] Gallatin County at [2] DeSales

[6] Thomas Nelson at [3] Walton-Verona

 

Region IV

[8] Powell County at [1] Belfry

[5] West Carter at [4] Leslie County

[7] Knott County Central at [2] Russell

[6] Bath County at [3] Pike County Central

 

 

CLASS 3A

Region I

[8] Hart County at [1] Central

[5] Western at [4] Larue County

[7] Warren Central at [2] Elizabethtown

[6] Calloway County at [3] Paducah Tilghman

 

Region II

[8] McCreary Central at [1] Boyle County

[5] Garrard County at [4] Mercer County

[7] Adair County at [2] Casey County

[6] Russell County at [3] Taylor County

 

Region III

[8] Holmes at [1] Fleming County

[5] Henry County at [4] Mason County

[7] Pendleton County at [2] Bourbon County

[6] Estill County at [3] Western Hills

 

Region IV

[8] Clay County at [1] Greenup County

[5] Letcher County Central at [4] Lawrence County

[7] Floyd Central at [2] Ashland

[6] East Carter at [3] Bell County

 

 

CLASS 4A

Region I

[8] Marion County at [1] Allen County-Scottsville

[5] Warren East at [4] Hopkinsville

[7] Hopkins County Central at [2] Franklin-Simpson

[6] John Hardin at [3] Madisonville-North Hopkins

 

Region II

[8] North Oldham at [1] Collins

[5] Waggener at [4] Shelby County

[7] Valley at [2] Anderson County

[6] Spencer County at [3] Moore

 

Region III

[8] Lincoln County at [1] Corbin

[5] Harlan County at [4] Whitley County

[7] Perry County Central at [2] Wayne County

[6] Knox Central at [3] Rockcastle County

 

Region IV

[8] Rowan County at [1] Johnson Central

[5] Franklin County at [4] Scott

[7] Harrison County at [2] Lexington Catholic

[6] Boyd County at [3] Highlands

 

 

CLASS 5A

Region I

[8] Muhlenberg County at [1] Christian County

[5] Apollo at [4] Graves County

[7] Logan County at [2] South Warren

[6] Ohio County at [3] Owensboro

 

Region II

[8] Atherton at [1] Bowling Green

[5] North Bullitt at [4] Greenwood

[7] Iroquois at [2] Bullitt Central

[6] Fairdale at [3] Doss

 

Region III

[8] Seneca at [1] Covington Catholic

[5] Cooper at [4] Jeffersontown

[7] Woodford County at [2] South Oldham

[6] Boone County at [3] Conner

 

Region IV

[8] Montgomery County at [1] Southwestern

[5] West Jessamine at [4] Pulaski County

[7] East Jessamine at [2] Madison Southern

[6] South Laurel at [3] North Laurel

 

 

CLASS 6A

Region I

[8] Marshall County at [1] Central Hardin

[5] McCracken County at [4] North Hardin

[7] Daviess County at [2] Meade County

[6] Bullitt East at [3] Henderson County

 

Region II

[8] Southern at [1] St. Xavier

[5] Butler at [4] Fern Creek

[7] Eastern at [2] Male

[6] DuPont Manual at [3] Pleasure Ridge Park

 

Region III

[8] Oldham County at [1] Trinity

[5] Ballard at [4] Ryle

[7] Dixie Heights at [2] Scott County

[6] Campbell County at [3] Simon Kenton

 

Region IV

[8] Frederick Douglass at [1] Lafayette

[5] Henry Clay at [4] Bryan Station

[7] Paul Dunbar at [2] Tates Creek

[6] George Rogers Clark at [3] Madison Central

 

 

FAILED TO QUALIFY

Barren County, Berea, Betsy Layne, Breathitt County, Breckinridge County, Caverna, Dayton, East Ridge, Fort Knox, Fulton City, Fulton County, Grant County, Grayson County, Harlan, Jackson County, Jenkins, Lewis County, Magoffin County, Middlesboro, Morgan County, Nelson County, Newport, Pineville, Shawnee, Shelby Valley, Sheldon Clark, Todd County Central, Trimble County, Webster County.

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A reminder to all: your favorite team may not be in the same class on this page as they are in real life. The current alignment uses date from 2011-14 while I'm only using enrollments from the more recent count (January 2017). Also, depending on which schools fail to qualify, your favorite team might be in one class for the playoffs today and then another class the next time they are posted. I'd highly encourage you to go back and read the original proposal for answers/clarification of all questions.

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If you're not going to separate Danville (2a) and Boyle Co (4a) why do you separate Pineville (1a) and Bell Co (3a)

 

Boyle is 3A, not 4A. Also, I divided districts based on school size while also attempting to keep roughly the same number of schools per district. The 13th region has several small schools to pair with Pineville. The 12th Region doesn't, so Danville (and Somerset) were moved in with 3A schools.

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  • 1 month later...

I've meant to update this a few times during the season but I never got it onto BGP, although I've kept it updated at home. I'm posting what the brackets for 1A-6A would have looked like had this plan been implemented.

 

First, an update on the rules:

 

1. Districts are used. They were linked above but I'll post again. District champions are guaranteed a first round home playoff game. To determine district champions I used actual games if teams played and the Calpreps project-a-matchup if they didn't play.

 

2. Any team who failed to win a game during the regular season is ineligible for the playoffs. This eliminated 18 schools.

 

3. Calpreps' power rating was used to rank all teams. Kentucky has 221 schools and 192 make the playoffs under this format. After eliminating 18 due to zero wins, the 11 worst rated teams were then eliminated.

(calpreps.com)

 

4. The remaining 192 teams were classified based on their 2016-17 enrollment, with the smallest 32 placed in 1A, the next smallest 32 in 2A, and so on.

(http://khsaa.org/reports/enrollments/20162017schoolenrollmenttotalsbyenroll.pdf)

 

5. Classes 1A-5A were then divided geographically into four regions of eight teams. Teams in each region were seeded 1-8 based on their power ranking. If a team was guaranteed a home first round game (provision 1 above), they could be seeded no lower than 4th. All other teams were then moved down. (Five teams were affected by this rule)

 

6. 6A was done slightly different. The eight western-most teams were put in Region I. The remaining 24 teams were all grouped together with the three highest rated teams each given a #1 seed. The four top seeded were then arranged to the worst #1 (Region I) was placed with the best #1 (Region II). The others were placed in Region III & IV. Teams were then seeded best to worst, with 1 vs. 24, 2 vs. 23, etc.

 

7. Regions are seeded 1-8 with the best seed always hosting. Semistates are hosted by odd regions in odd years, even regions in even years.

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DISTRICTS

Champions in Bold

 

District 1: Ballard Memorial, Fulton City, Fulton County, Mayfield, Murray

District 2: Calloway County, Graves County, Marshall County, McCracken County, Paducah Tilghman

District 3: Caldwell County, Crittenden County, Fort Campbell, Trigg County, Union County, Webster County

District 4: Christian County, Henderson County, Hopkins County Central, Hopkinsville, Madisonville-North Hopkins

District 5: Butler County, Edmonson County, Hancock County, McLean County, Owensboro Catholic

District 6: Apollo, Breckinridge County, Grayson County, Owensboro

District 7: Daviess County, Meade County, Muhlenberg County, Ohio County

District 8: Clinton County, Glasgow, Metcalfe County, Monroe County, Russellville, Todd County Central

District 9: Allen County-Scottsville, Barren County, Franklin-Simpson, Logan County, Russell County

District 10: Bowling Green, Greenwood, South Warren, Warren Central, Warren East

District 11: Bethlehem, Campbellsville, Caverna, Fort Knox

District 12: Bardstown, Green County, Hart County, Thomas Nelson, Washington County

District 13: Adair County, Elizabethtown, Larue County, Marion County, Taylor County

District 14: Central Hardin, John Hardin, Nelson County, North Hardin

District 15: Christian Academy-Louisville, DeSales, Holy Cross (Louisville), Kentucky Country Day, Shawnee

District 16: Central, Moore, Valley, Waggener, Western

District 17: Bullitt Central, Bullitt East, North Bullitt

District 18: Atherton, Doss, Fairdale, Fern Creek, Iroquois, Southern

District 19: Butler, DuPont Manual, Male, Pleasure Ridge Park, St. Xavier

District 20: Ballard, Eastern, Jeffersontown, Seneca, Trinity

District 21: Carroll County, Eminence, Gallatin County, Owen County, Trimble County, Walton-Verona

District 22: Collins, Henry County, North Oldham, Shelby County, Spencer County

District 23: Anderson County, Grant County, Oldham County, Simon Kenton, South Oldham

District 24: Beechwood, Bellevue, Dayton, Ludlow

District 25: Holy Cross (Covington), Lloyd Memorial, Newport, Newport Central Catholic

District 26: Covington Catholic, Dixie Heights, Highlands, Holmes

District 27: Boone County, Conner, Cooper, Ryle

District 28: Bishop Brossart, Bracken County, Nicholas County, Paris

District 29: Bourbon County, Harrison County, Mason County, Pendleton County

District 30: Campbell County, George Rogers Clark, Montgomery County, Scott

District 31: Berea, Frankfort, Lexington Christian

District 32: Franklin County, Lexington Catholic, Madison Southern, Western Hills, Woodford County

District 33: Bryan Station, Henry Clay, Paul Dunbar, Scott County

District 34: Frederick Douglass, Lafayette, Madison Central, Tates Creek

District 35: Boyle County, Casey County, Danville, Garrard County, McCreary Central, Somerset

District 36: East Jessamine, Mercer County, Rockcastle County, Wayne County

District 37: Lincoln County, Pulaski County, Southwestern, West Jessamine

District 38: Harlan, Lynn Camp, Middlesboro, Pineville, Williamsburg

District 39: Bell County, Clay County, Corbin, Jackson County, Knox Central

District 40: Harlan County, North Laurel, South Laurel, Whitley County

District 41: Breathitt County, Hazard, Knott County Central, Leslie County

District 42: Estill County, Letcher County Central, Perry County Central, Powell County

District 43: Betsy Layne, East Ridge, Jenkins, Paintsville, Phelps, Pikeville

District 44: Floyd Central, Magoffin County, Prestonsburg, Shelby Valley, Sheldon Clark

District 45: Belfry, Johnson Central, Lawrence County, Pike County Central

District 46: Bath County, Fairview, Raceland, West Carter

District 47: Fleming County, Lewis County, Morgan County, Russell

District 48: Ashland, Boyd County, East Carter, Greenup County, Rowan County

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CLASS 1A

Region I

[8] Ballard Memorial (3-7) at [1] Mayfield (9-1)

[5] Murray (4-6) at [4] Campbellsville (4-6)

[7] Clinton County (6-3) at [2] Owensboro Catholic (6-4)

[6] Crittenden County (6-4) at [3] Russellville (6-4)

 

Region II

[8] Bethlehem (3-7) at [1] Kentucky Country Day (9-1)

[5] Bracken County (8-2) at [4] Frankfort (6-4)

[7] Nicholas County (4-6) at [2] Paris (9-1)

[6] Eminence (8-2) at [3] Louisville Holy Cross (5-5)

 

Region III

[8] Newport (2-8) at [1] Beechwood (8-2)

[5] Bellevue (5-5) at [4] Ludlow (8-2)

[7] Fairview (4-6) at [2] Raceland (6-4)

[6] Bishop Brossart (5-5) at [3] Newport Central Catholic (5-5)

 

Region IV

[8] Harlan (3-7) at [1] Paintsville (9-1)

[5] Lynn Camp (7-3) at [4] Williamsburg (7-3)

[7] Phelps (5-4) at [2] Hazard (7-2)

[6] Middlesboro (2-8) at [3] Pikeville (5-4)

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CLASS 2A

Region I

[8] Todd County Central (6-4) at [1] Caldwell County (8-2)

[5] Hancock County (6-4) at [4] Trigg County (5-5)

[7] Fort Campbell (2-8) at [2] Union County (8-2)

[6] McLean County (4-6) at [3] Edmonson County (6-4)

 

Region II

[8] Bardstown (3-7) at [1] Danville (10-0)

[5] Monroe County (7-3) at [4] Washington County (6-4)

[7] Green County (5-5) at [2] Christian Academy-Louisville (8-2)

[6] Metcalfe County (7-3) at [3] Somerset (6-4)

 

Region III

[8] Gallatin County (5-5) at [1] Lexington Christian (9-1)

[5] Owen County (7-3) at [4] Bath County (7-3)

[7] Carroll County (4-6) at [2] Walton-Verona (8-2)

[6] West Carter (5-5) at [3] Lloyd Memorial (7-3)

 

Region IV

[8] Morgan County (4-6) at [1] Belfry (9-1)

[5] Shelby Valley (6-4) at [4] Leslie County (4-6)

[7] Knott County Central (5-5) at [2] Russell (5-5)

[6] Breathitt County (4-6) at [3] Prestonsburg (6-4)

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CLASS 3A

Region I

[8] Nelson County (1-9) at [1] Elizabethtown (9-1)

[5] Taylor County (7-3) at [4] Paducah Tilghman (4-6)

[7] Hart County (2-8) at [2] Glasgow (7-3)

[6] Thomas Nelson (3-7) at [3] Larue County (9-1)

 

Region II

[8] Estill County (2-8) at [1] Casey County (9-1)

[5] Powell County (6-4) at [4] Mercer County (5-5)

[7] Adair County (1-9) at [2] Garrard County (3-7)

[6] McCreary Central (2-7) at [3] Bell County (6-4)

 

Region III

[8] Pendleton County (4-6) at [1] DeSales (10-0)

[5] Western Hills (7-3) at [4] Bourbon County (6-4)

[7] Henry County (4-6) at [2] Central (8-2)

[6] Mason County (7-3) at [3] Western (6-4)

 

Region IV

[8] Lewis County (2-8) at [1] Ashland (8-2)

[5] Floyd Central (7-3) at [4] Lawrence County (5-5)

[7] East Carter (4-6) at [2] Fleming County (8-2)

[6] Pike County Central (5-5) at [3] Greenup County (6-4)

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CLASS 4A

Region I

[8] Hopkins County Central (2-8) at [1] Franklin-Simpson (7-3)

[5] John Hardin (5-5) at [4] Warren East (6-4)

[7] Valley (3-7) at [2] Allen County-Scottsville (7-3)

[6] Madisonville-North Hopkins (6-4) at [3] Hopkinsville (4-6)

 

Region II

[8] Holmes (3-7) at [1] Collins (8-2)

[5] Shelby County (6-4) at [4] Scott (7-3)

[7] Spencer County (2-8) at [2] Highlands (5-5)

[6] North Oldham (2-8) at [3] Waggener (4-6)

 

Region III

[8] Rowan County (3-7) at [1] Boyle County (9-1)

[5] Anderson County (7-3) at [4] Rockcastle County (7-3)

[7] Lincoln County (3-7) at [2] Lexington Catholic (5-5)

[6] Franklin County (5-5) at [3] Johnson Central (8-2)

 

Region IV

[8] Clay County (2-8) at [1] Corbin (9-1)

[5] Harlan County (5-5) at [4] Perry County Central (7-3)

[7] Russell County (3-7) at [2] Wayne County (9-1)

[6] Whitley County (6-4) at [3] Knox Central (7-3)

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CLASS 5A

Region I

[8] Ohio County (7-3) at [1] Christian County (10-0)

[5] Owensboro (4-6) at [4] Apollo (7-3)

[7] Greenwood (3-7) at [2] South Warren (8-2)

[6] Logan County (10-0) at [3] Graves County (6-4)

 

Region II

[8] Grayson County (1-9) at [1] Bowling Green (8-2)

[5] Iroquois (4-6) at [4] North Bullitt (2-8)

[7] Barren County (1-9) at [2] Doss (7-3)

[6] Fairdale (2-8) at [3] Bullitt Central (6-4)

 

Region III

[8] Boone County (1-9) at [1] Covington Catholic (10-0)

[5] Moore (6-4) at [4] Cooper (2-8)

[7] Jeffersontown (3-7) at [2] South Oldham (9-1)

[6] Atherton (5-5) at [3] Conner (4-6)

 

Region IV

[8] West Jessamine (6-4) at [1] Southwestern (8-2)

[5] Pulaski County (4-6) at [4] Montgomery County (8-2)

[7] South Laurel (5-5) at [2] Madison Southern (7-3)

[6] East Jessamine (6-4) at [3] North Laurel (8-2)

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CLASS 6A

Region I

[8] Muhlenberg County (3-7) at [1] Central Hardin (7-3)

[5] Henderson County (4-6) at [4] North Hardin (3-7)

[7] Marshall County (4-6) at [2] McCracken County (6-4)

[6] Daviess County (5-5) at [3] Meade County (5-5)

 

Region II

[8] Southern (4-6) at [1] Trinity (10-0)

[5] Ballard (5-5) at [4] Bullitt East (4-6)

[7] Fern Creek (6-4) at [2] Simon Kenton (9-1)

[6] Lafayette (3-7) at [3] Pleasure Ridge Park (6-4)

 

Region III

[8] Bryan Station (1-9) at [1] St. Xavier (8-2)

[5] Henry Clay (5-5) at [4] Campbell County (6-4)

[7] Dixie Heights (3-7) at [2] Ryle (8-2)

[6] Manual (3-7) at [3] Frederick Douglass (8-2)

 

Region IV

[8] Oldham County (6-4) at [1] Scott County (8-2)

[5] Madison Central (6-4) at [4] Butler (6-4)

[7] George Rogers Clark (5-5) at [2] Male (8-2)

[6] Eastern (5-5) at [3] Tates Creek (8-2)

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