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Severe outlook for Monday 7/13/15

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  • Author
One more question, will these be in waves/lines or constant rain? If it comes in lines and waves I'll be a lot less worried about the games

 

Just got through looking over the morning info for tomorrow. The chance for severe storms has increased significantly and I don't see how they'll have anything outdoors on Monday in Cincinnati and much of Kentucky. It may still be possible but I don't know.

  • Author

Morning update:

 

There is now a moderate risk for severe storms on Monday. Cities in the moderate risk area are Henderson, Louisville, Cincinnati and Lexington. Most of the rest of Kentucky is still in a enhance risk area for storms.

 

Moderate risk for storms means:

 

*widespread severe storms likely

*longlived widespread and intense

*strong tornadoes

*widespread wind damage

*destructive hail 2+" in diameter

 

Enhanced area means

 

*numerous severe storms possible

*more persistant and/or widespread

*a few tornadoes

*several reports of wind damage

*hail 1-2" in diameter

 

It looks like N KY and WRN OH could see storms throughout the day. All indications are supercell and damaging bowes possible with strong tornadoes and with very large hail possible.

 

By late afternoon additional activity is expected to develop. Storms are expected to form in CNTRL IL and move southeastward across the Ohio River. Widespread wind damage is expected across much of Kentucky. Hail and a couple of tornadoes can't be ruled out.

 

I want be able to update until later this evening. So everyone should prepare for today and especialy for tomorrow. Keep abreased of the weather in your area.

 

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  • Author
nWo do you know what the weather is going to be in Cleveland on Thursday and Friday? We have another trip planned. Thanks.

 

 

Thursday looks to be mostly sunny and around 80.

Friday look for thunderstorms and temps in the low to mid 80s. There is a 40% chance of showers and storms for Friday.

  • Author

I had to look up a weather term used for the afternoon storms on Monday. M.S.C. mesoscale convective system. This is a complex of thunderstorms which become organized on a larger scale than individual thunderstorms. They usually persist for several hours or more.

 

So outdoor activities late Monday afternoon and evening are not looking good at this time.

  • Author

Tuesday's chance of severe weather has increased also. I'll update that tomorrow morning.

Thursday looks to be mostly sunny and around 80.

Friday look for thunderstorms and temps in the low to mid 80s. There is a 40% chance of showers and storms for Friday.

 

Thanks so much. Last time we went we hit really bad rain and had to pull off the road twice. That was around the Columbus area.

  • Author

Quick evening update:

 

I checked the latest information. A significant severe weather event seems probable for Monday afternoon into the evening.

 

Widespread severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds...Tornadoes and large hail are likely. I've even seen some info that say we may see a derecho.

 

A derecho is a widespread, long-lived wind storm associated with a band of rapidly moving showers or thunderstorms variously known as a squall line, bow echo.

 

I'm going to wait til morning around 4 am if the threat is still there I plan on going into severe weather threat mode then. I'll be on BGP around that time.

 

Everyone should stay alert of the weather in their area on Monday.

Edited by nWo

@nWo don't forget I golf on Monday nights. Just sayin! You haven't let me down yet.

This really stinks. I was looking forward to the city putting on a good show for the game and HR derby.

  • Author
@nWo don't forget I golf on Monday nights. Just sayin! You haven't let me down yet.

 

It doesn't look like there'll be a lot of outside activites this afternoon and evening sorry. I'm going into severe weather alert day mode for Monday. I'll start another thread.

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