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Sweet 16 Rankings by RPI

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It was brought up in the Girls' basketball forum that state champion Sacred Heart was ranked second in their region by RPI.  Not being an ardent fan of RPI, I thought it might be interesting to rank the Sweet 16 on the basis of RPI.  Here they are:

1.  Warren Central  .7252 (1)

2.  GRC  .6758 (2)

3.  Frederick Douglass  .6726 (3)

4.  Lyon County  .6654 (1)

5.  McCracken County  .6652 (1)

6.  Pulaski County  .6313 (1)

7.  Male  .6185 (3)

8.  North Laurel  .6125 (5)

9.  Newport  .6101  (3)

10. Ashland  .6009 (3)

11.  Martin County  .5957 (2)

12.  Breathitt County  .5857 (2)

13. Elizabethtown  .5741 (3)

14. Owensboro  .5685 (3)

15. Woodford County .5685 (8)

16.  Jeffersontown .5353 (9) 

 

The numbers in parentheses are the team regional RPI rankings.  And while I think that Warren Central, Clark and Freddy D are the three best teams in the field, some of the regional rankings are laughable.  North Laurel, 16-0 in the region, is ranked two spots below South Laurel (13-7 in the region).  North won all three meetings comfortably. J'town, 12-4 in the 6th, is ranked a spot below Beth Haven, 4-7 in the region and padding their record with wins over the likes of Cloverport, Fort Knox, and a smattering of home schools.  GRC is ranked below Mason County; while defeating every 10th Region opponent by double-digits.

Always fun to look at stuff like this.

Just goes to show how bad a formula RPI has.

To completely ignore out of state competition and not using H2H as a bigger component is ludicrous.

Massey a much better program 

  • Author
12 minutes ago, Falcon Pride said:

Just goes to show how bad a formula RPI has.

To completely ignore out of state competition and not using H2H as a bigger component is ludicrous.

Massey a much better program 

Agree eleventy billion percent. 

As a means of comparison, these are the Massey rankings of the field.  In parentheses is difference of the Massey position compared to RPI.

1. Warren Central - 8.33 (Same)
2. Frederick Douglass - 7.84 (+1)
3. Male - 7.76 (+4)
4. George Rogers Clark - 7.75 (-2)
5. North Laurel - 7.58 (+3)
6. Lyon County - 7.36 (-2)
7. McCracken County - 7.31 (-2)
8. Woodford County - 7.23 (+7)
9. Jeffersontown - 7.12 (+7)
10. Pulaski County - 7.07  (-4)
11. Newport - 7.06 (-2)
12. Ashland - 6.96 (-2)
13. Elizabethtown - 6.96 (Same)
14. Owensboro - 6.85 (Same)
15. Martin County - 6.36 (-4)
16. Breathitt County - 6.32 (-4)

Working hand in hand with that, Massey view Male, Frederick Doulgass, and Warren Central as the most likely to win their first round games, in that order, with each having an "Expected Win %" of over 80%.  Lyon County is next with 60%.  McCracken County, Ashland, GRC, and Woodford County are the other four teams expected to win their first game, with each being essentially a pick 'em. 

RPI also doesn't change after the regular season so any postseason games played aren't included in the formula. 

  • Author
1 hour ago, I gotta go to work said:

RPI also doesn't change after the regular season so any postseason games played aren't included in the formula. 

Reason number 4,639 to do away with it. 

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