Crazy weather for next week

[nWo]

I just got finished looking at the latest GFS run. I'm seeing rain moving into Kentucky west of I-65 by Tuesday morning and spread eastward covering the entire state by Tuesday afternoon. Temperatures look to rise as we enter into Tuesday night with high 50s and maybe reach the low 60s in western Kentucky.

 

The warms temps look to be short lived. With parts of Kentucky west of I-75 seeing temps in the lower to mid 40s by early Wednesday morning. By 7 am ET western Kentucky could see temps in upper 20s and the rest of the state temps. in the mid 30s to upper 40s. These will be the highs for Wednesday as the cold air mass moves in. The temps will fall throughout the day. By Wednesday night WKY could see single digit temps with the rest of the state being in the mid teens. Eastern Kentucky in the mid 20s.

 

As this cold air mass traverse the state snow will follow. As of now the GFS is showing 3-5" of snow across the entire state with pockets of maybe 6" if parts of central and eastern Kentucky.

 

I will update as we get closer.

 

Tuesday evening around 7 pm ET

 

 

Temps Tuesday night

 

 

Chance for thunderstorms some could be strong

 

Wednesday morning. The blue dotted lines shows where the cold air mass is. The red dotted lines the warm air.

 

 

 

Possible Snow Accumulations by Wednesday night.

 

[nWo]

Please note this is how it looks at the moment. I will update as we get closer. These conditions could change.

[nWo]

Friday morning update:

 

As of this morning, the possible snow accumulations look to be on the increase for the middle of next week. The Cincinnati/NKY could have 6-8" on the ground by Thursday afternoon. For now it looks like the heaviest accumulations will stay from around I-64 northward. 3-5" look to be possible for those in that area. 1-3" southward to about the Cumberland Pkwy. South of the pkwy from a dusting to about 1".

 

Parts of western Kentucky .07-.10" of ice accumulation. I will be keeping a close eye on this situation. The cold air we have coming in next week will be the coldest of the year so far.

 

Updates will come as the information changes.

 

Just think winter hasn't officially gotten here yet! :thumb:

[nWo]

Oh yeah, I may have to issue the first official BGP Brass Monkey Alert of the winter next week!

[Lawnboy13]

Friday morning update:

 

As of this morning, the possible snow accumulations look to be on the increase for the middle of next week. The Cincinnati/NKY could have 6-8" on the ground by Thursday afternoon.

 

This FedEx guy doesn't like seeing this. LOL

[Jumper_Dad]

You da man nWo, thanks for the heads up.

[nWo]

I'll probably give my first call for possible accumulations starting Sunday evening for the middle of the week. Starting to get a good read on it now because we are now getting in the time period where the NAM model is starting to show information.

 

As for next weekend the Polar Vortex that is heading our way will bring us the coldest temps of the winter so far. Also it is playing havoc with the weather models. They are having a tough time reading the future conditions. The GFS is vacillating from heavy snow to heavy ice so we will have to wait and see what we get.

[Jumper_Dad]

Looks like the snow model for mid week has changed today....or I'm looking at the wrong thing completely :lol2:

 

Which is highly possible.

[nWo]

Looks like the snow model for mid week has changed today.

It will more than likely change with each model run until we get closer to the event. That's what I've been seeing.

[Jumper_Dad]

It will more than likely change with each model run until we get closer to the event. That's what I've been seeing.

 

Yeah I was comparing the ones you posted to the current ones on Pivotal, a lot of changes. As you said it could get crazy, it's hard to tell.

[nWo]

Yeah I was comparing the ones you posted to the current ones on Pivotal, a lot of changes. As you said it could get crazy, it's hard to tell.

 

Tomorrow we should be able to start getting a good reading. Since the NAM model is now showing about the middle of next week. If the GFS and NAM are close then I can start looking at seeing what we may get.

[Jumper_Dad]

Tomorrow we should be able to start getting a good reading. Since the NAM model is now showing about the middle of next week. If the GFS and NAM are close then I can start looking at seeing what we may get.

 

:thumb:

[nWo]

@gold sunrise

 

As of this morning. I'm seeing 4-6" falling in the Cleveland area. Most this should come between now and Monday. The low temps look to the be in the high 20s on Tuesday morning with the highs reaching the low to mid 30s. For Wednesday morning the high temperature looks to be in the high teens to low 20s. The temps look to fall into the mid teens by Wednesday afternoon. For now it looks like it will be dry but cold during your trip to Cleveland. I should be able to give you the outlook for your trip back Thursday tomorrow.

[nWo]

I don't really like the trend the GFS is showing for next weekend. For a couple of runs now it is showing instead of snow now a major icing event. This is for those along the Ohio River and the Cincinnati/NKY area. I'm not going to give totals because as we have seen the GFS model has been jumping back and forth. Another reason is because of the long range CFS model is still showing snow for the same time period.

[gold sunrise]

@gold sunrise

 

As of this morning. I'm seeing 4-6" falling in the Cleveland area. Most this should come between now and Monday. The low temps look to the be in the high 20s on Tuesday morning with the highs reaching the low to mid 30s. For Wednesday morning the high temperature looks to be in the high teens to low 20s. The temps look to fall into the mid teens by Wednesday afternoon. For now it looks like it will be dry but cold during your trip to Cleveland. I should be able to give you the outlook for your trip back Thursday tomorrow.

 

Valuable info.thanks so much for taking the time to help me. I really appreciate it.