September 15, 201412 yr College is much more complex and with so many games, the percentages can change a lot. Some teams were showing up as 99% on Saturday morning but then drop into the 70's and vice versa. It seems that the public is wrong from 60-89% but if a game get up to 90+%, then they are more likely to be right. 3 WEEK TOTALS: Teams with 60-69% of bets: 18-29 Teams with 70-79% of bets: 25-18 Teams with 80-89% of bets: 18-23 Teams with 90+% of bets: 23-18 Nothing definitive but if you track it, a lot of the winners in the 70-89% range were in the 90% range throughout the week, so people are just taking advantage of a huge movement in the line. Georgia Southern, for example, was at 99% in the morning but at kick off was in the 70% range. So, I still think that if you track it, you can find some value.
September 15, 201412 yr FYI, 71% of the money is on Indy tonight. NFL money is pretty balanced so that number won't change much.
September 15, 201412 yr Author I agree that college numbers can look deceiving as a lot of games don't get the action like on Sundays. Baseball is even worse. I saw on Twitter that USC Stanford had more action than every baseball game combined that day.
September 18, 201412 yr Slick, Do you bet a lot of baseball? Some people say it's the easiest way to make money. I've never done particularly well with it.
September 18, 201412 yr The Falcons are the public's pick tonight at 80%. Until this trend takes a different turn (17-8 so far in NFL), I have to take Tampa. Similarly in the college game, Auburn is still at 67%. Thursday night is known for wild games and huge upsets. K-State at home on a Thursday and getting more than a TD.
September 18, 201412 yr Author Slick, Do you bet a lot of baseball? Some people say it's the easiest way to make money. I've never done particularly well with it. I bet baseball pretty much everyday, but locals that take regular season baseball are sometimes hard to find in small towns. Betting baseball should be a long term thing in my opinion. I like finding lesser known pitchers that I ride until Vegas figures them out.
September 18, 201412 yr Author I read on twitter that a guy hit 14 games on parlay card and lost on Indy on MNF. 5 dollar for 150 grand. Hopefully he hedged as much as he could.
September 18, 201412 yr Author Going to play under in Auburn game just because I got the total at 65 with one of my locals and it seems to be going down everywhere.
September 19, 201412 yr Falcons dominated last night, looking for a couple good college plays for tomorrow.
September 19, 201412 yr Author Studying tonight right now and will look at Saturday tonight. But I always bet against So. Miss. and I am reading some are on Ga. State. I don't play any online right now and haven't monitored yet this season, but Iowa 1Q bets were always auto plays for me.
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