Okay ladies and gentlemen, you got a little taste of the Hensley Rating System towards the end of the regular season and now it is time to break out the HRS predictions for the 2008 postseason.

 

The rating is simple to explain. I combine the Cantral Rating from the Lexington Herald-Leader and the Lit Rating from the Louisville Courier-Journal and divide that by two (since there is just two factors at question) to get the average. That average is the HRS.

 

Over the last couple of seasons, I have done a postseason version of the HRS with predictions of every game and have been fairly successful. Now, most first round games will be easy to predict but others are not. I have been known from time to time to be exactly correct in how close a game will be while others have been way off.

 

Disclaimer: Please remember that this is NOT an official BGP poll nor should these predictions be used for any type of gambling. This is just one person having WAY TOO MUCH free time and loving to crunch numbers. Also, please don’t think that this is exactly how I think the games will go. There are some games throughout the six classes that I think will go a different way than the HRS is predicting.

 

To get the margin at which one team is predicted to win by, take the home team’s HRS and add six points for home field advantage and then subtract the visiting team’s HRS. If the number is positive, the home team should win by that much, and if it is negative, the visiting team should win by that much.

 

If this is still confusing, please ask me to explain better in a constructive manner.

 

So with all of this out of the way, here is the HRS for Class 3A entirely and the HRS predictions:

 

85.10 Central

81.25 Belfry

73.75 Mason County

69.15 Somerset

67.10 Breathitt County

66.60 Sheldon Clark

65.85 Union County

64.55 Western Hills

63.85 Paducah Tilghman

62.65 Henry County

61.65 Russell

60.25 Russellville

59.75 Pike County Central

55.45 McLean County

53.90 Edmonson County

53.35 North Oldham

52.80 Fleming County

51.40 Elizabethtown

50.20 Spencer County

47.75 Wayne County

47.10 Butler County

46.75 West Carter

46.15 Shawnee

45.90 Moore

43.20 Garrard County

40.95 Estill County

36.45 Taylor County

33.70 Magoffin County

33.55 Lewis County

31.25 Adair County

25.20 Hart County

23.95 Powell County

22.45 Casey County

22.10 Webster County

20.25 East Ridge

16.35 Jackson County

 

 

Region 1

(4) Adair Co. @ (1) Union Co. - UC by 40.6

(3) Paducah Tilghman @ (2) Edmonson Co. -PT by 3.95

(4) Webster Co. @ (1) Russellville - RHS by 44.15

(3) Butler Co. @ (2) McLean Co. - MC by 14.35

Region 2

(4) Spencer Co. @ (1) Central - CHS by 40.9

(3) Shawnee @ (2) Western Hills - WH by 24.4

(4) Moore @ (1) Henry Co. - HS by 22.75

(3) North Oldham @ (2) Elizabethtown - Etown by 3.05

Region 3

(4) Magoffin Co. @ (1) Somerset - SHS by 41.45

(3) Taylor Co. @ (2) Estill Co. - EC by 10.5

(4) Wayne Co. @ (1) Breathitt Co. - BC by 25.35

(3) Powell Co. @ (2) Garrard Co. - GC by 19.25

Region 4

(4) East Ridge @ (1) Mason Co. - MC by 59.5

(3) Fleming Co. @ (2) Pike Co. Central - PCC by 15.95

(4) Lewis Co. @ (1) Belfry - BHS by 53.7

(3) Sheldon Clark @ (2) Russell - RHS by 1.05

Is Central's QB out for the playoff's ? Read in another post he has a high angle sprain from last Friday game.

Is Central's QB out for the playoff's ? Read in another post he has a high angle sprain from last Friday game.

 

 

I honestly have no idea. That wouldn't have been factored in here since the numbers for each team's ranting is strictly the average of the Lit Rating and the Catrall Rating.

Is Central's QB out for the playoff's ? Read in another post he has a high angle sprain from last Friday game.

 

Mason County's is. Perhaps you read about him?

Sheldon Clark-Russell looks to be the barnburner of the first round.

Mason County's is. Perhaps you read about him?

 

But his was a knee injury, not a high ankle sprain.