Always good to see what the computer analyst think.

 

Courier Journal

 

C-J Girls' Litkenhous Ratings

 

Last Updated:2008-01-31 :01:01

Top 20

1.Elizabethtown (14-5) 107.6

2.Lexington Catholic (19-4) 105.5

3.Manual (18-3) 105.2

4.Paul Dunbar (24-1) 105.0

5.Butler (18-3) 102.7

6.Montgomery County (16-4) 100.9

7.Lexington Christian (16-4) 99.6

8.Marion County (20-1) 98.4

9.Iroquois (16-2) 96.3

10.Sacred Heart (13-7) 95.9

11.Central Hardin (18-4) 95.8

12.North Hardin (16-5) 95.2

13.Franklin-Simpson (19-2) 94.8

14.Lafayette (16-5) 94.5

15.Clay County (15-5) 94.4

16.Bullitt East (16-7) 93.9

17.Henderson County (15-3) 93.8

18.Henry Clay (8-9) 93.5

19.Assumption (12-8) 93.4

20.Mercy (10-11) 92.5

 

REGION 1

1.Calloway County 88.1

2.Marshall County 87.0

3.Graves County 74.1

4.Paducah Tilghman 71.0

5.Ballard Memorial 68.4

6.Community Christian 63.7

7.Fulton County 63.1

8.Murray 58.6

9.Hickman County 55.7

10.Mayfield 54.5

11.Heath 53.7

12.St. Mary 53.2

13.Lone Oak 51.5

14.Carlisle County 50.2

15.Reidland 36.7

16.Fulton City 22.8

 

REGION 2

1.Henderson County 93.8

2.Christian County 82.2

3.Madisonville 79.7

4.Webster County 78.2

5.Hopkins Central 71.5

6.Hopkinsville 70.0

7.Livingston Central 67.0

8.Union County 63.9

9.Caldwell County 58.4

10.Crittenden County 57.7

11.Lyon County 55.6

12.University Heights 53.0

13.Dawson Springs 51.9

14.Trigg County 40.5

15.Fort Campbell 22.9

 

REGION 3

1.Muhlenberg North 89.8

2.Ohio County 87.8

3.Owensboro Catholic 84.6

4.Owensboro 82.6

5.Apollo 79.9

6.Grayson County 70.8

7.Daviess County 70.1

8.Meade County 66.6

9.Breckinridge County 62.2

10.Edmonson County 56.7

11.Hancock County 54.1

12.Butler County 52.9

13.McLean County 52.6

14.Whitesville Trinity 47.0

15.Muhlenberg South 45.1

16.Frederick Fraize 3.9

 

REGION 4

1.Franklin-Simpson 94.8

2.Warren East 84.6

3.Cumberland County 79.1

4.Monroe County 77.7

5.Barren County 76.6

6.Bowling Green 75.1

7.Allen County 73.8

8.Greenwood 68.0

9.Glasgow 66.6

10.Metcalfe County 60.7

11.Todd Central 59.3

12.Russell County 58.0

13.Clinton County 57.4

14.Warren Central 56.2

15.Logan County 55.2

16.Russellville 43.0

 

REGION 5

1.Elizabethtown 107.6

2.Marion County 98.4

3.Central Hardin 95.8

4.North Hardin 95.2

5.Hart County 84.6

6.Nelson County 83.6

7.Bardstown 78.8

8.Green County 77.8

9.John Hardin 70.0

10.Adair County 67.6

11.Bethlehem 60.4

12.Taylor County 60.1

13.Washington County 59.2

14.Larue County 51.8

15.Caverna 45.1

16.Campbellsville 43.0

17.Fort Knox 30.2

 

REGION 6

1.Butler 102.7

2.Iroquois 96.3

3.Bullitt East 93.9

4.Fairdale 90.6

5.North Bullitt 82.9

6.Presentation 79.1

7.Central 73.0

8.Holy Cross 71.3

9.PRP 66.4

10.Bullitt Central 59.7

11.Doss 53.4

12.Southern 50.5

13.Western 38.1

14.Shawnee 35.3

15.Valley 28.5

16.Brown 13.9

17.St. Francis 13.6

18.Evangel 9.9

19.Beth Haven 6.6

20.Portland Christian 2.8

 

REGION 7

1.Manual 105.2

2.Sacred Heart 95.9

3.Assumption 93.4

4.Mercy 92.5

5.Fern Creek 88.9

6.Christian Academy 88.6

7.Moore 85.6

8.Ballard 76.1

9.Jeffersontown 73.7

10.Male 70.9

11.Eastern 69.1

12.Whitefield Academy 53.2

13.Atherton 52.0

14.Seneca 48.8

15.KCD 40.0

16.Waggener 31.6

17.Collegiate 31.3

 

REGION 8

1.Simon Kenton 91.5

2.Shelby County 84.4

3.Anderson County 82.7

4.South Oldham 80.7

5.Oldham County 71.6

6.Walton-Verona 60.1

7.Owen County 59.2

8.Carroll County 58.9

9.Spencer County 57.5

10.Trimble County 55.8

11.Grant County 51.8

12.North Oldham 50.8

13.Gallatin County 48.7

14.Henry County 46.2

15.Williamstown 45.9

16.Eminence 14.6

 

REGION 9

1.Notre Dame 92.2

2.Boone County 90.4

3.Conner 86.9

4.Highlands 85.4

5.Newport Catholic 77.4

6.Holmes 76.8

7.Ryle 75.5

8.Covington Holy Cross 73.4

9.St. Henry 65.5

10.Dixie Heights 64.9

11.Ludlow 64.5

12.Villa Madonna 52.6

13.Bellevue 43.9

14.Erlanger Lloyd 43.6

15.Dayton 38.2

16.Newport 35.0

17.Beechwood 28.7

18.Covington Latin 10.8

 

REGION 10

1.Montgomery County 100.9

2.Mason County 89.2

3.Paris 79.1

4.Clark County 77.3

5.Bourbon County 72.0

6.Campbell County 69.7

7.Harrison County 68.7

8.Bishop Brossart 68.3

9.Scott High 63.3

10.St. Patrick 61.7

11.Bracken County 58.4

12.Pendleton County 56.3

13.Nicholas County 49.4

14.Deming 47.0

15.Calvary Christian 39.0

16.Augusta 22.2

 

REGION 11

1.Lexington Catholic 105.5

2.Paul Dunbar 105.0

3.Lexington Christian 99.6

4.Lafayette 94.5

5.Henry Clay 93.5

6.Scott County 90.6

7.Franklin County 80.5

8.Madison Central 80.4

9.Tates Creek 75.2

10.Woodford County 70.8

11.Western Hills 65.3

12.Bryan Station 63.7

13.Sayre 59.3

14.Madison Southern 48.7

15.Frankfort 44.9

16.Model 42.4

17.Berea 41.5

 

REGION 12

1.Casey County 91.5

2.Rockcastle County 87.0

3.Wayne County 86.7

4.Lincoln County 85.5

5.Southwestern 80.8

6.Somerset 77.9

7.Danville 76.1

8.Pulaski County 74.0

9.Mercer County 71.9

10.Monticello 70.9

11.East Jessamine 64.5

12.Garrard County 60.6

13.Boyle County 60.0

14.Burgin 55.4

15.West Jessamine 49.8

16.McCreary Central 48.6

17.Ky Deaf School 1.0

 

REGION 13

1.Clay County 94.4

2.Middlesboro 85.8

3.South Laurel 83.2

4.Whitley County 82.2

5.Corbin 74.7

6.North Laurel 74.3

7.Jackson County 73.3

8.Williamsburg 62.9

9.Cawood 58.3

10.Cumberland 54.1

11.Harlan 53.4

12.Knox Central 48.7

13.Barbourville 48.4

14.Lynn Camp 44.1

15.Pineville 42.5

16.Bell County 40.1

17.Evarts 36.9

18.Red Bird 34.5

19.Oneida Baptist 22.4

 

REGION 14

1.Breathitt County 75.0

2.Knott Central 69.2

3.Perry Central 69.0

4.Leslie County 62.0

5.Letcher Central 58.8

6.Powell County 58.8

7.June Buchanan 53.1

8.Hazard 52.3

9.Owsley County 41.5

10.Estill County 41.0

11.Lee County 40.9

12.Buckhorn 38.7

13.Jenkins 37.8

14.Wolfe County 33.7

15.Cordia 32.2

16.Riverside Christian 7.6

17.Jackson City 5.8

 

REGION 15

1.Pike Central 84.3

2.Johnson Central 80.9

3.Belfry 74.2

4.Shelby Valley 69.1

5.Paintsville 66.9

6.Sheldon Clark 66.8

7.Magoffin County 63.4

8.Betsy Layne 62.7

9.Phelps 57.2

10.Pikeville 55.4

11.East Ridge 53.7

12.Prestonsburg 52.4

13.Lawrence County 48.9

14.Allen Central 48.4

15.South Floyd 42.2

16.Piarist 1.0

 

REGION 16

1.Rowan County 90.1

2.Ashland Blazer 81.0

3.Elliott County 75.6

4.East Carter 73.9

5.Morgan County 73.5

6.Russell 71.6

7.Fleming County 70.4

8.West Carter 66.8

9.Boyd County 65.1

10.Raceland 62.5

11.Lewis County 61.2

12.Menifee County 50.5

13.Bath County 46.3

14.Rose Hill 37.9

15.Greenup County 37.8

16.Fairview 30.5

Now this is one tough region!

 

REGION 11

1.Lexington Catholic 105.5

2.Paul Dunbar 105.0

3.Lexington Christian 99.6

4.Lafayette 94.5

5.Henry Clay 93.5

6.Scott County 90.6

Hands down the BEST region in the state!

I don't understand how Lexington Catholic is in front of Dunbar...

I don't understand how Lexington Catholic is in front of Dunbar...

 

They have .5 more points.

They have .5 more points.

 

True, but how?

True, but how?

 

I have the same question about the 9th. How is Boone and Conner ranked above Highlands. I assume there is some formula for these rankings?

LIT ratings are based on scoring margin, strength of schedule, and overall record....I may be mistaken but I do know that the first two criteria are correct. There was an old post somewhere where they gave an exact definition.

 

Seems to me that Highlands should be higher because they have beaten teams ahead of them. Doesn't really appear to work that way.

 

When you have two teams with losing records in the top 20 - it doesn't necessarily mean it is totally accurate. I don't see how that is possible.

I have the same question about the 9th. How is Boone and Conner ranked above Highlands. I assume there is some formula for these rankings?

 

I think NDA is ranked high because of who they have played. Assumption twice, Lexington Catholic, Montgomery County, Boone, Highlands, Conner, Simon Kenton. Boone has also played some really tough opponents. No one really knows how the formula works because it is a secret but we do know that it only calculates Ky games and a close loss against a top ranked team seems better than a blow out win of a weak opponent.

There is a formula based on who you play/beat. ND & BC have the toughest schedules in the 9th by far. I just looked at BC's schedule/results on the scoreboard (listed below). Also, ND's biggest competition has been from out-of-state so I don't think their biggest wins even count in the LIT ratings.

 

BC beat the #1 in the 3rd, 8th, and 9th regions (according to LIT). They also beat #2 in the 8th and #3 (Bullet East) in the 6th.

 

They also play or played the #1 in the 5th, 6th, 10th...and #2 in the 7th (twice)

 

My guess is both teams get some kind of credit for playing such tough schedules. Not to mention, if I read scoreboard correctly, BC has beaten 3 of the teams that Highlands lost to so I'm sure that is factored in somehow.

 

It seems to be a little like college football. Done by a computer and no one can really figure it out how it really works. I guess it's good rankings mean nothing.

Casey County is 17-1, just beat Hart County on the roadby 30 points. How is Casey County not rated high? Mercy (10-11) is # 20 in the state, this is a joke.

 

Nov 27, '07 Southwestern Southwestern 68 - 52 (W)

Dec 1, '07 South Laurel Casey County 46 - 37 (W)

Dec 4, '07 Pulaski County Casey County 59 - 38 (W)

Dec 8, '07 Danville Casey County 54 - 48 (W)

Dec 10, '07 Somerset Casey County 42 - 41 (W)

Dec 14, '07 Whitley County Whitley County 56 - 44 (W)

Dec 20, '07 Smith County, TN Central Hardin 48 - 34 (W) Shively Sporting Goods Invitational

 

Dec 21, '07 Belfry Central Hardin 50 - 35 (W) Shively Sporting Goods Invitational

 

Dec 22, '07 Central Hardin Central Hardin 61 - 73 (L) Shively Sporting Goods Invitational

(championship)

Dec 22, '07 Ballard Central Hardin 48 - 38 (W) Shively Sporting Goods Invitational

 

Dec 27, '07 John Hardin Campbellsville University 69 - 38 (W) Campbellsville Univ./Coca-Cola Holiday Classic

 

Dec 28, '07 Taylor County Campbellsville University 55 - 27 (W) Campbellsville Univ./Coca-Cola Holiday Classic

 

Dec 29, '07 Clinton County Campbellsville 57 - 31 (W) Campbellsville Univ./Coca-Cola Holiday Classic

(championship)

Jan 4, '08 Rockcastle County Rockcastle County 49 - 45 (W)

Jan 11, '08 Somerset Somerset 41 - 36 (W)

Jan 19, '08 Garrard County Garrard County 67 - 30 (W)

Jan 22, '08 Pulaski County Pulaski County 63 - 49 (W)

Jan 25, '08 Rockcastle County Casey County 66 - 52 (W)

Jan 28, '08 Hart County Hart County 74 - 44 (W)

Feb 2, '08 Boyle County Casey County - 7:30 PM

Feb 4, '08 Russell County Russell County - 8:00 PM

Feb 7, '08 Burgin Burgin - 7:30 PM

Feb 9, '08 Lexington Christian Lexington Christian - 7:30 PM

Feb 11, '08 East Jessamine East Jessamine - 7:30 PM

Feb 16, '08 Mercer County Casey County - 7:30 PM

Feb 18, '08 Adair County Casey County - 5:00 PM

Feb 21, '08 McCreary Central McCreary Central - 7:30 PM

Feb 22, '08 Lincoln County Casey County - 7:30 PM

 

 

If you look the only L came in the 2nd game of the day on Dec 22, which was a 12 point game which ended up with Central shoting a lot of free throws at the end of the game. If I'm 0-17 and played the top 17 teams in the state does that mean I should be #18? Paul Dunbar and Marion County is the same way, with only one L.